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Prediction markets for Gen

When will the first deliveries of the 2nd gen Tesla Roadster occur?

Mar 3, 3:50 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

154828

OptionProbability

Before 2040

Before 2033

Before 2029

Before 2028

Before 2027

Before 2026

81

77

50

35

3

0

Will Tesla Optimus Gen-2 be available for Sale General Availability (GA) by 2026?

Jan 16, 5:02 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9.98%chance

203537

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2737

513

Will the Tesla Roadster (2nd gen) be the fastest production car before 2032?

Sep 21, 3:46 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

11.68%chance

71750

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2750

364

When will we get the first successful video game that uses vid gen instead of a traditional engine?

May 25, 6:17 PMMay 26, 6:16 PM

111499

OptionProbability

2028

2029

2027

2026

2030

2025

33

28

21

11

6

1

2x2: Will Labour get majority, will fossil fuels (without imports) compose >33% of UK energy gen next Parliament?

Dec 20, 3:47 PMDec 27, 11:59 PM

3552

OptionProbability

Labour Majority, fossil fuels <=22%

Labour Majority, fossil fuels >22%

Not Labour Majority, fossil fuels >22%

Not Labour Majority, fossil fuels <=22%

51

47

1

1

Will I be able to build a bot that achieves #1 on the Gen 9 1v1 ladderboard on Pokemon Showdown before the end of 2026?

May 12, 2:50 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.77%chance

5432

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1432

698

When will the first Gen Z president be elected.

Jun 27, 6:01 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

7182

OptionProbability

2050s

2060s

2040s

2030s

2020s

38

34

14

9

5

Will China officially acknowledge its new sixth-gen tailless stealth fighter prototypes (J-36 / J-50) before 2027

Mar 7, 1:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.88%chance

5180

OptionVotes

YES

NO

362

212

Which of the following will Gen Z see in their lifetime?

Feb 4, 12:51 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

10144

OptionProbability

Humans on Mars

Operational Fusion Power Plants

Superintelligent Artificial General Intelligence

78

75

59

Will Gallup, Aella OR authoritative pollster show >1.25x OR <0.8x ratio between Gen Alpha M VS F non-cis rates in 2035?

Nov 18, 4:35 AMNov 17, 11:59 PM

54.53%chance

2105

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1095

913

Will Gallup, Aella OR authoritative pollster show a[n implied] drop in Gen Alpha afab non-cis rates, from 2025, in 2035?

Nov 18, 5:06 AMNov 17, 11:59 PM

54.53%chance

4105

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1095

913

Will a YouTube video of/about a Gen-AI film awards ceremony reach 1 million+ views within a year of release by 2030?"

Oct 3, 6:16 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

52.44%chance

150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1050

952

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