Gen AI News

When will a YouTube or Twitch channel start streaming realtime AI-generated video?

Mar 7, 1:54 PMMar 14, 10:59 PM

305279

OptionProbability

Before 2027-04-01

Before 2027-01-01

Before 2026-10-01

Before 2026-07-01

Before 2026-04-01

Q1 2024

Q2 2024 or earlier

Q3 2024 or earlier

Q4 2024 or earlier

Q1 2025 or earlier

Q2 2025 or earlier

Q3 2025 or earlier

Q4 2025 or earlier

Will Grok make a "really good movie" in 2027?

Oct 10, 2:58 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.8%chance

365077

OptionVotes

YES

3049

331

What happened to missing Air Force General, William Neil McCasland?

Mar 14, 4:02 AMMay 13, 2:56 AM

72115

OptionProbability

He is dead or incapacitated, due to an unintentional medical mishap or injury

No answers resolve by resolution date (5/12/26)

He was murdered

He got lost while on a walk or hike

He is dead, due to suicide

He was abducted or killed by a non-government associated individual or group

The disappearance is related to UFO/UAP knowledge or theories

He was abducted or killed by individuals following an official or unofficial action of the US Government

He was abducted or killed by individuals following an official or unofficial action of a foreign government

He is alive and well, but choosing to remain hidden

Total subscriber size of non‑porn AI romance/companionship subreddits on Reddit on Aug 17, 2026

Aug 26, 6:04 AMAug 17, 11:59 PM

5384

OptionProbability

> 500,000

180,001–280,000

280,001–500,000

≤ 180,000

Will there ever be a Generation X president of the US?

Aug 31, 7:52 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

83.31%chance

12248

OptionVotes

YES

223

By the end of 2026, will AI have empowered me to build a bot that can reach the top 500 in the current gen of OU?

Oct 16, 3:38 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

38%chance

451

OptionVotes

YES

110

Will a YouTube video of/about a Gen-AI film awards ceremony reach 1 million+ views within a year of release by 2030?"

Oct 3, 6:16 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

52.44%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

1050

952

An LLM beats the Champion in FireRed BEFORE achieving it in Gen 1 Red?

May 27, 10:30 PMAug 25, 12:00 AM

33.78%chance

340

OptionVotes

YES

140

How many years until a game like Red Dead Redemption 2 could be developed by a handful (5-20) of people within 2 years.

Jan 6, 3:11 PM

190

Gen AI News

Prediction markets for Gen AI

Prediction markets for Gen AI

Prediction markets for Gen AI

When will a YouTube or Twitch channel start streaming realtime AI-generated video?

Will Grok make a "really good movie" in 2027?

What happened to missing Air Force General, William Neil McCasland?

Total subscriber size of non‑porn AI romance/companionship subreddits on Reddit on Aug 17, 2026

Will there ever be a Generation X president of the US?

By the end of 2026, will AI have empowered me to build a bot that can reach the top 500 in the current gen of OU?

Will a YouTube video of/about a Gen-AI film awards ceremony reach 1 million+ views within a year of release by 2030?"

An LLM beats the Champion in FireRed BEFORE achieving it in Gen 1 Red?

How many years until a game like Red Dead Redemption 2 could be developed by a handful (5-20) of people within 2 years.

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