OptionProbability
Human domestic robots like Optimus and Figure will be all demo and very little product.
We won’t get to AGI in 2026 (or 7).
No country will take a decisive lead in the GenAI “race”.
Work on new approaches such as world models and neurosymbolic will escalate.
Backlash to Generative AI and radical deregulation will escalate.
2025 will be known as the year of the peak bubble, and also the moment at which Wall Street began to lose confidence in generative AI.
93
82
71
60
53
49
OptionVotes
YES
NO
121
170
130
