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Prediction markets for Gene

Will Gene McCarthy's DNA analysis of humans as bonobo/pig hybrids be confirmed by 2030?

Sep 7, 10:46 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

7.36%chance

4810748

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3547

282

Barron Trump is not fully natural [Mod Note: OP includes "steroids, gene therapy, IVF, etc."]

Jun 13, 9:36 PMJun 21, 4:59 AM

42.29%chance

206464

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12015

8196

[ACX 2026] Will the US, UK or EU approve a gene editing therapy for a new condition during 2026?

Jan 6, 10:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.51%chance

215857

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5765

4833

By 2030, will gene editing to cure serious genetic diseases be seen as generally uncontroversial?

Dec 23, 2:32 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.65%chance

463124

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1750

720

By 2026, will Gene Haas sell Haas Formula 1 Team?

Feb 5, 5:31 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

13.25%chance

292944

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2546

353

Will a gene therapy that edits multiple genes using CRISPR be approved by the FDA before 2030?

Jan 26, 12:13 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

79.02%chance

271175

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1262

899

Will GiveWell research gene-editing mosquitoes to eradicate malaria?

Dec 29, 10:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

57.65%chance

24774

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1040

926

Will a gene drive for making humans more peaceful be released by the start of 2040?

Oct 27, 8:55 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

6.69%chance

7593

OptionVotes

YES

NO

518

103

Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?

Aug 10, 5:55 PMDec 18, 2:59 PM

59.88%chance

19407

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1081

928

Does Janssen's CD59 gene therapy for age-related macular degeneration work?

Jun 4, 2:58 AMJun 11, 6:59 AM

34.12%chance

3401

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1393

723

Will I receive any kind of gene therapy created using CRISPR before I die?

Feb 7, 1:48 PMFeb 8, 6:59 AM

62%chance

12116

OptionVotes

NO

YES

172

133

Will someone prominent like Bill Fallon get gene therapy of the yamanaka factors by EOY 2027

Dec 9, 5:47 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

26.48%chance

385

OptionVotes

YES

NO

163

81

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