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Syria’s Sharaa to Address UNGA, Ending 50-Year Absence
Authors
16
8 months ago
Prediction markets for General Assembly
Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?
Mar 25, 11:43 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM
3.74%chance
9431761
OptionVotes
4066
649
Will the Virginia Redistricting Referendum be certified by June 30th?
Apr 27, 3:28 PMJun 30, 3:27 PM
82.28%chance
515014
OptionVotes
5064
4665
Will Palestine become a full United Nations member state before 2030?
Nov 17, 7:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
13.53%chance
343134
OptionVotes
2044
748
🇮🇱 Will 'Greater Israel' successfully include all the territories of Gaza and West Bank by 2030? 🇮🇱
Nov 1, 6:37 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
13.08%chance
322986
OptionVotes
1738
817
Will there be a United Nations General Assembly discussing the benefits and risks of AGI before June 2026?
Jun 13, 7:28 PMJun 3, 4:41 PM
15.21%chance
152357
OptionVotes
2361
424
Will Russia be removed from the UN Security Council in the next 5 years?
Nov 5, 3:13 AMNov 12, 4:59 AM
3.68%chance
141429
OptionVotes
2195
908
Will a general molecular assembler, as imagined by Eric Drexler, be built before 2035?
Nov 2, 4:01 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
32.46%chance
14587
OptionVotes
1139
442
After a superintelligent AI is created, how long will it take for the first Drexlerian assembler to be developed?
Dec 31, 9:55 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM
10432
OptionProbability
51
30
9
2
2
2
2
2
2
OptionProbability
40
18
14
14
5
4
2
2
2
Will Ohio House Bill 249 be signed into law in the 136th General Assembly?
Apr 2, 3:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
61.1%chance
4351
OptionVotes
1253
798
OptionVotes
721
356
Will there be a new UN-recognized country before 2030?
Apr 4, 11:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
67.88%chance
12270
OptionVotes
1071
801