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Prediction markets for General Assembly
Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?
Mar 25, 11:43 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM
4.1%chance
9934619
OptionVotes
3768
661
🇮🇱 Will 'Greater Israel' successfully include all the territories of Gaza and West Bank by 2030? 🇮🇱
Nov 1, 6:37 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
16.28%chance
323292
OptionVotes
1431
869
Will Palestine become a full United Nations member state before 2030?
Nov 17, 7:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
13.53%chance
343134
OptionVotes
2044
748
OptionProbability
33
26
24
7
4
2
2
1
0
0
Will Russia be removed from the UN Security Council in the next 5 years?
Nov 5, 3:13 AMNov 12, 4:59 AM
4.83%chance
141932
OptionVotes
1691
930
Will any ballot boxes or mail in ballots be confiscated in the 2026 midterms?
Sep 26, 1:46 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM
44.05%chance
141025
OptionVotes
1127
887
Will Ohio House Bill 249 be signed into law in the 136th General Assembly?
Apr 2, 3:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
48.19%chance
9759
OptionVotes
1037
964
Will a general molecular assembler, as imagined by Eric Drexler, be built before 2035?
Nov 2, 4:01 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
34.7%chance
14622
OptionVotes
1157
406
Will there be a new UN-recognized country before 2030?
Apr 4, 11:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
67.88%chance
12270
OptionVotes
1071
801
Which party will control the New Jersey General Assembly after the 2027 election?
Nov 5, 11:19 PMNov 3, 12:00 PM
2252
OptionProbability
88
12
OptionProbability
56
26
18
OptionProbability
40
23
8
8
8
8
4