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Prediction markets for General Election

Will Keir Starmer lead the Labour party into the next General Election?

Jan 6, 4:28 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

20%chance

7120586

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2000

500

What will be the outcome of the 2026 New Zealand General Election?

Jan 2, 2:49 AMOct 16, 11:59 PM

1013909

OptionProbability

National coalition

Labour coalition

No government formed

Other

53

38

5

4

Largest party in the next New Zealand general election?

Sep 17, 5:51 AMDec 19, 10:59 AM

189307

OptionProbability

Labour Party

National Party

New Zealand First Party

Green Party

ACT Party

Te Pāti Māori

The Opportunities Party

57

41

1

0

0

0

0

Will Reform UK and the Conservative Party merge before the next General Election, OR 15 August 2029?

Jan 3, 1:57 PMAug 15, 10:59 PM

15.45%chance

206717

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2340

427

Will Kemi Badenoch lead the Conservative party into the next General Election?

Jan 6, 4:29 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

42.49%chance

274462

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1165

861

Will the next elected leader of the Conservative Party be their leader by the time the next general election is held?

Jul 10, 3:40 PMJul 4, 10:59 PM

33.49%chance

324282

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1933

1197

Will Nigel Farage lead the Reform UK party into the next General Election?

Jan 5, 3:07 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

80.96%chance

273181

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2062

485

How many MPs will Reform UK have when the next UK General Election is called?

Mar 24, 7:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

163107

OptionProbability

Above 15

8 - 10

5 - 7

11 - 15

0

1

2

3 - 4

46

21

13

12

2

2

2

2

Will Restore Britain win any seats at the next UK general election?

Feb 15, 4:08 PMAug 15, 11:59 PM

47.52%chance

232765

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1051

952

Will the triple lock pension be scrapped before the next General Election?

Jan 18, 4:47 PMJul 4, 9:59 PM

47.91%chance

13977

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1043

959

What percentage of votes will the Partito Democratico win in the upcoming general election in Italy?

Jan 19, 3:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.5%chance

3356

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10232

9936

Wisconsin US House District Three General Election - Will Derek Van Orden be reelected?

Mar 3, 6:49 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM

21.53%chance

2110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

191

52

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