General Election News

Will Keir Starmer lead the Labour party into the next General Election?

Jan 6, 4:28 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

2.73%chance

9331343

OptionVotes

YES

5971

167

What will be the outcome of the 2026 New Zealand General Election?

Jan 2, 2:49 AMOct 16, 11:59 PM

2429072

OptionProbability

National coalition

Labour coalition

No government formed

Other

Which Party will win the Mt Albert electorate in the 2026 NZ General election?

Jul 20, 5:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

410646

OptionProbability

Labour - Helen White

National - Melissa Lee

Opportunity - Qiulae Wong

Other

Will Reform UK and the Conservative Party merge before the next General Election, OR 15 August 2029?

Jan 3, 1:57 PMAug 15, 10:59 PM

5.22%chance

227665

OptionVotes

YES

4263

235

Will the next elected leader of the Conservative Party be their leader by the time the next general election is held?

Jul 10, 3:40 PMJul 4, 10:59 PM

70.97%chance

346153

OptionVotes

YES

2432

809

Starmer vs Burnham decision market - will Labour win a majority in the next general election?

Jun 20, 10:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

155892

OptionProbability

**Assuming Burnham is Labour leader**, Labour wins a majority

**Assuming Starmer is Labour leader**, Labour wins a majority

Will Opportunities Party get at least one seat in the next New Zealand General Election?

Jun 4, 11:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

87.18%chance

293531

OptionVotes

YES

1810

760

How many MPs will Reform UK have when the next UK General Election is called?

Mar 24, 7:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

173157

OptionProbability

Above 15

8 - 10

5 - 7

11 - 15

3 - 4

Will Opportunity party get 9.000% or more of the party vote in the 2026 NZ general election?

Sep 4, 3:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.38%chance

52116

OptionVotes

YES

2544

393

Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats at the next general election for the House of Representatives?

May 21, 6:31 AMJun 30, 6:29 AM

56.51%chance

6722

OptionVotes

YES

1080

933

What percentage of votes will the Partito Democratico win in the upcoming general election in Italy?

Jan 19, 3:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.89%chance

3406

OptionVotes

YES

10051

9986

IF Andy Burnham leads Labour into the next General Election, will Labour win?

May 18, 5:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7353

OptionProbability

Labour LOSES next General Election (led by Andy Burnham, using FPTP)

Labour WINS next General Election (led by Andy Burnham, under FPTP)

Andy Burnham does not lead Labour into the next General Election

Labour loses next General Election (led by Andy Burnham, but NOT using FPTP)

Labour wins next General Election (led by Andy Burnham, but NOT using FPTP)

General Election News

Prediction markets for General Election

Prediction markets for General Election

Prediction markets for General Election

Will Keir Starmer lead the Labour party into the next General Election?

What will be the outcome of the 2026 New Zealand General Election?

Which Party will win the Mt Albert electorate in the 2026 NZ General election?

Will Reform UK and the Conservative Party merge before the next General Election, OR 15 August 2029?

Will the next elected leader of the Conservative Party be their leader by the time the next general election is held?

Starmer vs Burnham decision market - will Labour win a majority in the next general election?

Will Opportunities Party get at least one seat in the next New Zealand General Election?

How many MPs will Reform UK have when the next UK General Election is called?

Will Opportunity party get 9.000% or more of the party vote in the 2026 NZ general election?

Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats at the next general election for the House of Representatives?

What percentage of votes will the Partito Democratico win in the upcoming general election in Italy?

IF Andy Burnham leads Labour into the next General Election, will Labour win?

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