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Prediction markets for Generative AI Platform

Will photo/video "AI detection" meaningfully exist in December 2028?

Dec 1, 2:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.31%chance

343656

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1591

628

Will the AI-generated Bitcoin song "Chain of Infinite" by Lunr Reverb go viral and reach 1,000,000 streams before 2027?

Mar 15, 8:45 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.83%chance

293327

OptionVotes

YES

NO

501

20

Will a significant AI generated meme occur before 2027?

Jan 17, 5:33 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

34%chance

422919

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1515

240

Will Moltbook be TIME person of the year 2026?

Jan 31, 5:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1.22%chance

192163

OptionVotes

YES

NO

900

11

Will Temu go out of business in the EU before 2028?

Jul 5, 2:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.5%chance

131943

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1319

758

Does AI help drug discovery?

Oct 14, 1:50 AMJan 2, 2:47 AM

77.52%chance

61565

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4063

2475

Will Substack implement an automatic AI-generated-content filter by EoY 2026?

Aug 2, 9:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.07%chance

81347

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1562

640

Will Major Copyright Reforms Affecting AI-Generated Works Be Enacted by 2026?

Nov 13, 7:47 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

38.09%chance

141245

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1275

784

Will AI impersonation on social media cause a minimum of $50M+ in reported US corporate losses in 2026?

Feb 12, 12:05 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.56%chance

101181

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1708

117

If the Take It Down Act becomes law, will it be used against satirists or journalists?

Mar 17, 4:13 PMMay 21, 6:59 AM

37%chance

9694

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1305

766

Will AI-generated content be banned or clearly labeled by at least one major social platform (Meta, X, TikTok,YouTube)?

Jan 1, 1:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

92.7%chance

10464

OptionVotes

NO

YES

356

28

Will a major social media platform allow users to hide AI-generated content in 2026?

Jan 8, 9:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.53%chance

9256

OptionVotes

YES

NO

144

69

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