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Prediction markets for Generative AI Platform

Will xAI release Grok 5 before May 1st 2026?

Feb 12, 1:41 AMApr 30, 11:59 PM

13.38%chance

305880

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2467

244

Will the AI-generated Bitcoin song "Chain of Infinite" by Lunr Reverb go viral and reach 1,000,000 streams before 2027?

Mar 15, 8:45 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.46%chance

273003

OptionVotes

YES

NO

243

41

Will photo/video "AI detection" meaningfully exist in December 2028?

Dec 1, 2:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.52%chance

272365

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1583

632

Will Moltbook be TIME person of the year 2026?

Jan 31, 5:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2%chance

181963

OptionVotes

YES

NO

700

14

Will a significant AI generated meme occur before 2027?

Jan 17, 5:33 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

75.61%chance

351625

OptionVotes

YES

NO

994

947

Will Major Copyright Reforms Affecting AI-Generated Works Be Enacted by 2026?

Nov 13, 7:47 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

62%chance

12753

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1277

783

9. One of the large global pharma companies will acquire one of the leading protein AI startups.

Dec 28, 11:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.78%chance

6671

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1221

822

Will AI-generated content be banned or clearly labeled by at least one major social platform (Meta, X, TikTok,YouTube)?

Jan 1, 1:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

96.5%chance

6435

OptionVotes

NO

YES

525

19

If the Take It Down Act becomes law, will it be used against satirists or journalists?

Mar 17, 4:13 PMMay 21, 6:59 AM

50.46%chance

8375

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1009

991

Will AI-generated media on major social media platforms be required to be labeled as such by the US government by 2026?

Jul 16, 3:06 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7.61%chance

10367

OptionVotes

YES

NO

348

29

Will a major social media platform allow users to hide AI-generated content in 2026?

Jan 8, 9:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.8%chance

7230

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

83

Will any of the top 10 "popular" Webtoons on July 1, 2026 openly use AI art?

Mar 30, 12:08 AMJul 1, 10:59 PM

41.04%chance

9213

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1199

834

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