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Top stories

Workato Launches ‘Workato One,’ Positioning AI Agents as Enterprise Colleagues

Workato Launches ‘Workato One,’ Positioning AI Agents as Enterprise Colleagues

Authors

14

4 months ago

Prediction markets for Genie

Google props

Oct 23, 8:32 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

133995

OptionProbability

Gemini 3 released in November

Share value reaches $300 in 2025

Google Search significant overhaul in 2025

Google Skills AI program launched in 2025

Genie related product released to public before 2027

Imagen 5 released in 2026

Veo 4 released in 2025

100

100

100

100

85

53

23

When will Genie 3 be available to the public?

Aug 5, 5:42 PMDec 6, 6:40 PM

72834

OptionProbability

9/2025-1/2026

7/2026-12/2026

2/2026-6/2026

1/2027-6/2027

1/2028-6/2028

7/2027-12/2027

7/2028-12/2028

1/2029-1/2030

27

27

20

14

4

3

3

3

Will the USA have lasers in space capable of destroying enemy satellites by 2027?

Apr 16, 5:53 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

23.52%chance

14656

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1108

944

Will there be "compulsory genital inspection regime" in the USA by the end of Trump's term?

Jan 22, 1:22 PMJan 30, 10:59 PM

11.43%chance

19519

OptionVotes

YES

NO

278

36

Will the first clone of a genius demonstrate similar intelligence?

Mar 8, 11:08 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

61.53%chance

23481

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1105

912

Will a genius grant be awarded to someone acknowledged to be the result of genetic IQ selection before 2055

Jun 29, 10:37 PMMar 2, 7:59 AM

26.85%chance

7136

OptionVotes

YES

NO

233

133

When will Genie-like methods be used to train a frontier model on computer-use tasks?

Sep 17, 11:10 PMDec 31, 11:43 PM

2130

OptionProbability

2029

2027

49

39

Genichi Sojo Stock

Feb 19, 4:57 PM

00

OptionProbability

NO

YES

50

50

What is the optimal set of three wishes from a genie?

Jan 10, 4:46 PM

00

is Jorge Bravo Abad a genius?

Nov 28, 6:32 PM

00

Would you consider Elon Musk a genius

Jan 26, 5:15 PM

540

Are men more likely to be geniuses or quasi-geniuses than women?

Jan 25, 6:43 PM

180

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