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Prediction markets for GenOS

Will the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza?

Jan 3, 7:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.05%chance

358109164

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1876

1082

Will the Israeli Hamas conflict be described as a genocide in 10 years(2034)

Jan 15, 2:14 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

57.36%chance

8742600

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1359

588

2026 NFL Offseason - The Quarterback Carousel

Jan 29, 5:43 PMSep 10, 9:00 AM

2723496

OptionProbability

Jaxson Dart - Giants

Malik Willis - Dolphins

Tyler Shough - Saints

Geno Smith - Jets

Kyler Murray - Vikings

Tua Tagovailoa - Falcons

Kirk Cousins - Raiders

Deshaun Watson - Browns

Jacoby Brissett - Cardinals

Gardner Minshew - Cardinals

Shedeur Sanders - Browns

Justin Fields - Chiefs

Fernando Mendoza - Raiders

David Mills - Texans

Will Howard - Steelers

Brady Cook - Jets

Dillion Gabriel - Browns

Daniel Jones - Vikings

Mac Jones - Vikings

Ty Simpson - Browns

Trinidad Chambliss - Jets

Ty Simpson - Steelers

Malik Willis - Jets

Malik Willis - Browns

Kirk Cousins - Falcons

Kirk Cousins - Vikings

Ty Simpson - Jets

Trinidad Chambliss - Steelers

Trinidad Chambliss - Browns

Tyrod Taylor - Jets

Gardner Minshew - Chiefs

Malik Willis - Steelers

Malik Willis - Vikings

Kirk Cousins - Packers

Kirk Cousins - Steelers

Kirk Cousins - Cardinals

95

93

91

82

79

73

68

66

57

35

34

33

26

15

13

7

6

4

4

3

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

Will there be a trans genocide in America in the next four years?

Jun 30, 3:49 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

6.5%chance

3913977

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3792

264

Will Israel be found Guilty of Genocide at the ICJ ?

Jan 12, 5:04 PMMay 31, 10:59 PM

18.9%chance

10112562

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1437

919

Will ICJ find Israel in breach of the Genocide Convention?

Feb 15, 5:32 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

72.59%chance

332901

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1627

614

Will the US recognize another genocide before 2029?

Jul 2, 3:07 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

67.38%chance

17895

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1090

951

Will we be able to edit our own genomes by 2050?

Mar 27, 12:11 PMJan 1, 10:59 AM

63.62%chance

23756

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1033

947

Who will be the New York Jets’ starting quarterback for the first game of the 2026-2027 NFL regular season?

Feb 20, 2:32 PMSep 30, 8:00 PM

7648

OptionProbability

Geno Smith

Other

Mac Jones

Kyler Murray

Russell Wilson

Any rookie other than Fernando Mendoza

Malik Willis

Fernando Mendoza

92

4

1

1

1

1

0

0

Who will start Week One for the Jets at QB in 2026?

Oct 28, 2:47 AMSep 6, 11:59 PM

3318

OptionProbability

Geno Smith

Tyrod Taylor

Other

Justin Fields

90

4

4

1

Who will take the regular season first snap at QB for the Jets in 2026?

Jan 21, 5:37 AMSep 15, 12:00 PM

4151

OptionProbability

Geno Smith

Other

Tyrod Taylor

Brady Cook

Marcus Mariota

Jimmy Garoppolo

86

5

2

2

2

2

Which QB in a new spot will have more wins as a starter in 2026?

Mar 14, 4:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

564

OptionProbability

Kyler Murray

Malik Willis

Geno Smith

Tua Tagovailoa

51

24

15

10

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