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Prediction markets for GenOS

Will the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza?

Jan 3, 7:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.78%chance

348101616

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2426

968

Will the Israeli Hamas conflict be described as a genocide in 10 years(2034)

Jan 15, 2:14 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

31.99%chance

6726012

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1142

924

Will there be a trans genocide in America in the next four years?

Jun 30, 3:49 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

6.5%chance

3913977

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3792

264

Will Israel be found Guilty of Genocide at the ICJ ?

Jan 12, 5:04 PMMay 31, 10:59 PM

13.9%chance

9912138

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1881

833

Will my Nucleus Genomics DNA test reveal me to be above 5% jewish?

Apr 24, 11:26 PMApr 24, 11:20 PM

33.3%chance

187719

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14154

7065

Will the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza, Palestine?

Mar 14, 5:30 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

10.94%chance

184126

OptionVotes

YES

NO

285

35

Will ICJ find Israel in breach of the Genocide Convention?

Feb 15, 5:32 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

72.59%chance

332901

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1627

614

Will the US recognize another genocide before 2029?

Jul 2, 3:07 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

67.45%chance

16894

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1092

950

Will all extant mammal species have their genome sequenced and assembled by 2035?

Aug 29, 11:05 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

11.57%chance

13769

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1332

926

Will we be able to edit our own genomes by 2050?

Mar 27, 12:11 PMJan 1, 10:59 AM

63.62%chance

23756

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1033

947

Gaza genocide still labeled as genocide by Wikipedia in 2030?

Oct 21, 12:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.7%chance

8539

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

91

Will the ICJ determine that Myanmar committed genocide?

May 31, 9:28 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

40.58%chance

675

OptionVotes

YES

NO

121

83

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