OptionProbability
January 20, 2029 (Whole term)
January 20, 2026 (First year)
January 20, 2025 (Inauguration Day)
February 20, 2025 (First month)
April 29, 2025 (First 100 days)
79
56
0
Covid
Russia-Ukraine War
Brexit
January 6th
Israel-Hamas War
US Withdrawal from Afghanistan
LLMs
George Floyd Protests
The Rise of China
Private Spaceflight
Bitcoin
Violent repression of women in Iran
New York v Trump 2024
Tigray War
BRICS Expansion
Meme stocks
Enshittification
97
94
88
86
82
77
75
63
61
57
54
51
40
21
13
OptionVotes
NO
YES
1398
870
