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Giving Pledge News
Prediction markets for Giving Pledge
Prediction markets for Giving Pledge
Will an EA who had <$100M in Feb 28 2021 become a billionaire (in 2021 dollars) by Feb 28 2031, by means other than crypto or inheritance?
Feb 20, 6:13 AM
Feb 28, 5:00 AM
90.33%
chance
46
3285
Option
Votes
NO
YES
2396
728
Will >10 EA who had <$100M in Feb 28 2021 become a billionaire (in 2021 dollars) by Feb 28 2031, *including* crypto or inheritance?
Dec 10, 1:36 PM
Feb 28, 5:00 AM
86.43%
chance
21
2078
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1953
86
Will the US Government make a show of declassifying everything on UFOs / UAPs before 2030
Jul 14, 8:55 PM
Dec 31, 4:59 PM
40.18%
chance
28
1561
Option
Votes
NO
YES
991
983
Nicki Minaj performs at the Kennedy Center during Trump's current presidential term
Jan 29, 6:21 PM
Jan 20, 11:59 AM
20.83%
chance
17
1278
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1949
513
Will >10 people committed to EA who had <$100M in Feb 28 2021 become billionaires (in 2021 dollars) by Feb 28 2031, by means other than crypto or inheritance?
Dec 10, 1:35 PM
Feb 28, 5:00 AM
39.6%
chance
19
799
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1192
506
Will Clean Air Task Force be recommended as a top charity by Founders Pledge or Giving Green in 2026?
May 23, 3:46 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
76%
chance
5
314
Option
Votes
NO
YES
334
180
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