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Prediction markets for Glass

Apple reverts or allows reverting iOS 'liquid glass' UI by year-end?

Sep 16, 7:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.17%chance

267660

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2686

372

Will there exist popular smart glasses with LLM integration by 2027?

Apr 8, 6:49 PMJan 1, 6:29 PM

88.27%chance

384317

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2134

661

Will there exist popular smart glasses with LLM integration by 2030?

Apr 8, 6:49 PMJan 1, 6:29 PM

85.66%chance

434022

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3633

1265

Will AI "smart glasses" be a popular AI wearable form factor by 2027? (eg Meta Ray Bans)

Mar 25, 10:24 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

82.39%chance

473852

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2174

415

Will Google bring back Google Glasses before 2026?

Jun 17, 2:16 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

15.19%chance

523223

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1599

84

Apple releases AR Smart Glasses by 2030

Jan 23, 3:52 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

65%chance

182185

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1448

632

Will the website for Walton Goggins Goggle Glasses (https://gogginsgoggles.com/) exist on December 25, 2025?

Feb 18, 8:54 PMDec 26, 4:59 AM

79.46%chance

132062

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1967

508

Will "Momentum of Light in Glass" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Oct 20, 2:02 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

1700

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

Will Meta Hypernova glasses be available to order by the end of 2025?

Jan 21, 8:13 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.58%chance

5300

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1093

915

What price will Meta's consumer smart glasses be?

Nov 4, 7:14 AMJan 1, 3:59 AM

29.39%chance

3251

OptionVotes

YES

NO

155

65

Will demand for Rhodium from the glass industry be ≥ ~8900 ozt in 2026?

Sep 18, 12:04 PMJan 1, 1:04 PM

57.04%chance

225

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Will "Momentum of Light in Glass" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Oct 20, 2:02 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

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