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Prediction markets for Glass

Will there exist popular smart glasses with LLM integration by 2027?

Apr 8, 6:49 PMJan 1, 6:29 PM

88.27%chance

384317

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2134

661

Will there exist popular smart glasses with LLM integration by 2030?

Apr 8, 6:49 PMJan 1, 6:29 PM

85.66%chance

434022

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3633

1265

Will AI "smart glasses" be a popular AI wearable form factor by 2027? (eg Meta Ray Bans)

Mar 25, 10:24 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

82.44%chance

443737

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2178

414

Will Google bring back Google Glasses before 2026?

Jun 17, 2:16 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

17.09%chance

513173

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1549

93

Apple releases AR Smart Glasses by 2030

Jan 23, 3:52 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

65%chance

182185

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1448

632

Will the website for Walton Goggins Goggle Glasses (https://gogginsgoggles.com/) exist on December 25, 2025?

Feb 18, 8:54 PMDec 26, 4:59 AM

57.65%chance

101262

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1167

857

Will Meta Hypernova glasses be available to order by the end of 2025?

Jan 21, 8:13 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.25%chance

2100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1100

909

Will there be a Glass of Water emoji by the end of 2028?

Aug 19, 5:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

62.78%chance

798

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

77

Same-day getting a pair of glasses in California

Apr 25, 3:43 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

30.82%chance

355

OptionVotes

YES

NO

214

125

Will a Presbyopia treatment be approved by Dec 31, 2025 to fully restore near vision without glasses or contact lenses?

Oct 28, 3:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

28.07%chance

340

OptionVotes

YES

NO

145

81

Will "Momentum of Light in Glass" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Oct 20, 2:02 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

Will "Momentum of Light in Glass" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Oct 20, 2:02 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

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