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Prediction markets for Global Top 10

How many consecutive weeks will "KPop Demon Hunters" stay in the Netflix Top 10?

Sep 4, 10:22 PMOct 10, 10:18 PM

9276726

OptionProbability

Other

<13

14-15

16-17

18-19

20-21

22-23

24-25

26

27

28

29

30

31

32

33

34

35

36

37

38

39

40

41

42

43

44

48

49

50

51

52

99

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will Hans Niemann be a top 10 chess player before 2030?

Oct 5, 10:46 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

45.59%chance

6024914

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1121

812

Will GiveWell fund HPV vaccination to prevent cervical cancer by 1st January 2027?

Dec 18, 12:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.87%chance

234991

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5409

2578

Will GiveWell fund Chlorhexidine for umbilical cord care by 1st January 2027?

Dec 18, 12:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.96%chance

123209

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6132

3376

Trump will announce tariffs on a European country to pay towards the Iran war by end of Jun 2026

Apr 1, 4:36 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

8.83%chance

20685

OptionVotes

YES

NO

321

31

Liang Wenfeng in Forbes' Top 10 Billionaires List by December 31, 2035

Jan 26, 6:03 AMDec 31, 12:00 AM

20.57%chance

6393

OptionVotes

YES

NO

197

51

Will the UAE be in the top 10 countries in Human Development Index (HDI) in 2031?

Jul 7, 10:22 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

59.49%chance

4360

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1212

825

Will 10% or more of the top 20 biggest companies today still be in the top 20 in 2050?

Apr 17, 7:54 PMDec 14, 12:00 PM

72%chance

14346

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1091

949

Will a Top 100 Global Bank collapse or require emergency bailout before 2027?

Feb 25, 4:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.74%chance

7194

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

96

More Avatar movies vs more Avengers movies in Top 10 WW A-T before end of 2030?

Dec 17, 8:20 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

6181

OptionProbability

More Avengers movies in Top 10 WW A-T

More Avatar movies in Top 10 WW A-T

Other

63

28

8

Which university will be in second place in the upcoming (June 2026) QS Global University Rankings 2027?

May 28, 3:28 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

699

OptionProbability

National University of Singapore

Imperial College

Stanford

MIT

Harvard

University of Oxford

Other

University of Cambridge

23

16

14

13

10

10

10

6

[Metaculus] Will any top 10 global meat processor/producer go bankrupt before 2028?

Oct 12, 10:35 PMJan 2, 11:58 PM

21.27%chance

682

OptionVotes

YES

NO

223

117

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