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Prediction markets for Global Top 10

Will Chittagong Bangladesh be declared the most liveable city in the world by the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 5:17 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

1%chance

24173148

OptionVotes

YES

NO

99499

1005

How many consecutive weeks will "KPop Demon Hunters" stay in the Netflix Top 10?

Sep 4, 10:22 PMMar 11, 10:18 PM

6444544

OptionProbability

Other

22-23

32

38

39

40

<13

14-15

16-17

18-19

20-21

24-25

26

27

28

29

30

31

33

34

35

36

37

93

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will Hans Niemann be a top 10 chess player before 2030?

Oct 5, 10:46 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

30%chance

4922110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1233

871

Will GiveWell fund HPV vaccination to prevent cervical cancer by 1st January 2027?

Dec 18, 12:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.26%chance

224741

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5159

2655

Will GiveWell fund Chlorhexidine for umbilical cord care by 1st January 2027?

Dec 18, 12:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.96%chance

123209

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6132

3376

How many days will Avatar: Fire and Ash be #1 in US Box Office?

Jan 7, 1:49 PMAug 31, 8:59 PM

53150

OptionProbability

29 - 34

35 - 40

41 - 46

Below 29

47 - 52

53 - 56

Above 56

92

5

1

0

0

0

0

Liang Wenfeng in Forbes' Top 10 Billionaires List by December 31, 2035

Jan 26, 6:03 AMDec 31, 12:00 AM

20.57%chance

6393

OptionVotes

YES

NO

197

51

Will the UAE be in the top 10 countries in Human Development Index (HDI) in 2031?

Jul 7, 10:22 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

59.49%chance

4360

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1212

825

Will 10% or more of the top 20 biggest companies today still be in the top 20 in 2050?

Apr 17, 7:54 PMDec 14, 12:00 PM

72%chance

14346

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1091

949

More Avatar movies vs more Avengers movies in Top 10 WW A-T before end of 2030?

Dec 17, 8:20 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

6181

OptionProbability

More Avengers movies in Top 10 WW A-T

More Avatar movies in Top 10 WW A-T

Other

63

28

8

[Metaculus] Will any top 10 global meat processor/producer go bankrupt before 2028?

Oct 12, 10:35 PMJan 2, 11:58 PM

21.27%chance

682

OptionVotes

YES

NO

223

117

When will one of the top 5 U.S. universities (HYPSM) fall out of the top 10?

Aug 6, 7:32 AMSep 30, 7:26 AM

110

OptionProbability

After 2045

2025-2029

2030-2034

2035-2039

2040-2044

33

17

17

17

17

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