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Prediction markets for Global Top 10

Will Hans Niemann be a top 10 chess player before 2030?

Oct 5, 10:46 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

25.46%chance

4617992

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1420

799

How many consecutive weeks will "Squid Game: Season 3" stay in the Netflix Top 10?

Jun 28, 7:14 PMAug 17, 7:08 PM

1911259

OptionProbability

7

0-6

8

9

10

11

Other

31

27

26

9

4

1

1

Will GiveWell fund HPV vaccination to prevent cervical cancer by 1st January 2027?

Dec 18, 12:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.26%chance

224741

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5159

2655

Will GiveWell fund Chlorhexidine for umbilical cord care by 1st January 2027?

Dec 18, 12:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.96%chance

123209

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6132

3376

Liang Wenfeng in Forbes' Top 10 Billionaires List by December 31, 2035

Jan 26, 6:03 AMDec 31, 12:00 AM

20.57%chance

6393

OptionVotes

YES

NO

197

51

Will the UAE be in the top 10 countries in Human Development Index (HDI) in 2031?

Jul 7, 10:22 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

60.07%chance

3350

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1227

815

Will 10% or more of the top 20 biggest companies today still be in the top 20 in 2050?

Apr 17, 7:54 PMDec 14, 12:00 PM

72%chance

14346

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1091

949

[Metaculus] Will any top 10 global meat processor/producer go bankrupt before 2028?

Oct 12, 10:35 PMJan 2, 11:58 PM

21.27%chance

682

OptionVotes

YES

NO

223

117

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