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Pakistan-Linked APT36 Deploys Linux Desktop Shortcut Malware in Fresh India Spying Push

1 year ago

Alphabet (MNX)

Sep 11, 11:02 PM

37844120

Will Bitcoin ever go below $10,000 again?

Jan 20, 12:18 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

50%chance

206336212

OptionVotes

YES

1402

869

Will Pavel Durov (Telegram’s CEO) go to jail?

Aug 24, 10:15 PMAug 25, 8:59 PM

6.37%chance

10157956

OptionVotes

YES

5848

493

Will Manifold go bankrupt before 2030?

Sep 11, 4:13 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

17.05%chance

7512851

OptionVotes

YES

1364

850

Will Pete Hegseth go to prison?

Dec 21, 5:14 AMDec 21, 5:12 AM

154444

OptionProbability

Not before 31 December 2030

in 2030

in 2028

in 2029

in 2026

in 2027

Should smart, ethical people go into AI rather than climate tech? (subsidized)

Oct 17, 6:41 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

75.85%chance

313269

OptionVotes

YES

1088

928

Will U.S. employment in Diagonistic Imaging Centers (proxy for radiologists) go below 2022 levels by 2034?

Sep 15, 9:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61.06%chance

82522

OptionVotes

YES

12522

7986

Will Bitcoin go below $1000 USD before 2035?

Jan 30, 10:45 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

8%chance

141225

OptionVotes

YES

1286

947

Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact go into effect by the 2032 election?

Oct 30, 12:02 AMNov 2, 6:59 AM

52%chance

191015

OptionVotes

YES

2820

1923

Will the US Gini index measured by the OECD go above 0.43 before the end of 2028, potentially due to AI developments ?

Dec 27, 4:20 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

55%chance

11274

OptionVotes

YES

242

126

What restaurants in NYC will I like if I go to them? [ADD RESPONSES]

May 27, 7:03 PMDec 31, 8:00 PM

OptionProbability

Gage & Tollner

Dhamaka

Theodora

Atoboy

Tadhana

Semma

Dirt Candy

Rezdora

Crown Shy

Atera

Farra

Zou Zou

Will all comic con events go on in 2027?

Nov 3, 8:39 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

OptionProbability

Yes, all scheduled Comic-Con events worldwide will proceed without cancellation in 2027

No, at least one major Comic-Con event will be canceled or postponed in 2027

No, all Comic-Con events will be cancelled or postponed in 2027

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Alphabet (MNX)

Will Bitcoin ever go below $10,000 again?

Will Pavel Durov (Telegram’s CEO) go to jail?

Will Manifold go bankrupt before 2030?

Will Pete Hegseth go to prison?

Should smart, ethical people go into AI rather than climate tech? (subsidized)

Will U.S. employment in Diagonistic Imaging Centers (proxy for radiologists) go below 2022 levels by 2034?

Will Bitcoin go below $1000 USD before 2035?

Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact go into effect by the 2032 election?

Will the US Gini index measured by the OECD go above 0.43 before the end of 2028, potentially due to AI developments ?

What restaurants in NYC will I like if I go to them? [ADD RESPONSES]

Will all comic con events go on in 2027?

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