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Prediction markets for Gold

When will an open-sourced AI win a Gold Medal in the International Math Olympiad?

May 26, 11:35 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

70114952

OptionProbability

2026-2027

2027-2028

2025-2026

2028-2029

2029-2030

2030-2031

2031-2032

2032-2033

2033-2034

2034-2035

2035-2036

2036-2037

2037-2038

2038-2039

2039-2040

2040-2041

2041-2042

2042-2043

2043-2044

2044-2045

2045-2046

80

10

4

2

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will unlimited 3% cash back on the Robinhood Gold Card last at least 18 months?

Mar 29, 6:43 PMJun 15, 6:59 AM

96.06%chance

6911283

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6548

216

Artificially produced gold on a significant scale by 2035?

Jul 18, 10:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.84%chance

949025

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2749

369

Will Gold be between $5000 - $6000 by the end of March?

Feb 27, 6:16 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

38.62%chance

335188

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1261

793

Will Gold hit $6,000 per ounce in 2026?

Jan 26, 1:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.88%chance

263630

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1421

704

Gold above $6k in 2026?

Jan 23, 7:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

67.45%chance

192405

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1575

485

2026 World Figure Skating Championships: Women's Gold Medal Winner

Mar 17, 7:09 AMMar 25, 11:59 AM

51796

OptionProbability

Kaori SAKAMOTO (JPN)

Ami NAKAI (JPN)

Amber GLENN (USA)

Other

Mone CHIBA (JPN)

50

23

17

6

3

Will the first AI to get IMO gold cite AlphaZero?

Dec 11, 6:03 AMNov 11, 11:59 PM

63.47%chance

191636

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1151

604

Will more than a gram of non-radioactive gold be produced from mercury by 2030?

Jul 21, 10:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15%chance

61549

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2380

420

Will India win a gold medal in the men's Twenty20 Cricket at the 2028 Summer Olympics in Los Angeles?

Aug 13, 5:21 AMSep 20, 2:29 PM

57.16%chance

10847

OptionVotes

NO

YES

160

140

If the US Women were considered a country, will they be in the Top 3 for the gold medal count at the 2028 Olympics?

Aug 11, 5:35 PMAug 19, 6:59 AM

68.84%chance

5500

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1486

673

Will Hersey's revive the Hershey's Gold candy bar by Jan 1st 2028?

Dec 2, 7:21 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

60.56%chance

13159

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1053

987

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