OptionProbability
US Dollar (USD)*
Chinese Renminbi (CNY)*
Euro (EUR)*
Bitcoin (BTC)*
Unit of Computation (FLOP/IOP, etc.)
Energy-based Unit (Joule/Wh, etc.)
Ethereum (ETH)*
Gold (Au)
Reputation-based Currency (e.g., Whuffie points)
Emission-Linked Financial Instrument (e.g., carbon coin)
Worldcoin (WLD)*
Paperclips
Utilitarian Value-based Currency (DALY, QALY, dead children, etc.)
TRUMP
Manifold Mana
57
32
24
8
7
6
5
4
2
Forever Alone >2025 (i.e. not in 2025)
I'll be your present in Winter late 2025
Pumpkin gets spiced in Autumn 2025
November or December 2024
Snug Romantic cozy up in new-year Winter early 2025
Hormonal activation in Spring 2025
Digging holes in beach together in Summer 2025
80
17
14
0
OptionVotes
NO
YES
438
23
130
67
110
91
