OptionProbability
US Dollar (USD)*
Chinese Renminbi (CNY)*
Euro (EUR)*
Bitcoin (BTC)*
Ethereum (ETH)*
Unit of Computation (FLOP/IOP, etc.)
Energy-based Unit (Joule/Wh, etc.)
Gold (Au)
Reputation-based Currency (e.g., Whuffie points)
Worldcoin (WLD)*
Emission-Linked Financial Instrument (e.g., carbon coin)
Utilitarian Value-based Currency (DALY, QALY, dead children, etc.)
TRUMP
Manifold Mana
Paperclips
57
32
24
8
7
6
5
4
2
Pumpkin gets spiced in Autumn 2025
Forever Alone >2025 (i.e. not in 2025)
Digging holes in beach together in Summer 2025
I'll be your present in Winter late 2025
November or December 2024
Snug Romantic cozy up in new-year Winter early 2025
Hormonal activation in Spring 2025
41
36
22
11
0
OptionVotes
YES
NO
188
53
438
23
120
83
130
67
110
91
