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Good Neighbor News
Prediction markets for Good Neighbor
Prediction markets for Good Neighbor
By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?
Sep 30, 5:54 PM
Feb 1, 7:59 AM
29.63%
chance
793
419120
Option
Votes
YES
NO
25141
17457
Will GPT-5 be able to solve A::B system puzzles consistently
Apr 5, 2:04 PM
Jan 1, 9:59 PM
78.85%
chance
50
5008
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1565
729
Will the Gulf Railway be completed by 2030?
Aug 15, 5:40 AM
Dec 31, 3:59 PM
29%
chance
7
120
Option
Votes
YES
NO
203
149
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