Good One News

My kid chooses her favorite picture

Nov 22, 8:12 PMDec 11, 4:50 AM

8589857

OptionProbability

Other

Bob holding teddy: https://imgur.com/a/sro75PQ

"Fairy adventure with my dad" : https://shorturl.at/9nP0r

Optical Illusion - https://tinyurl.com/2t8tt49z

Cosmic quokka - https://tinyurl.com/d87tcub7

Bird friends - https://tinyurl.com/kxf74j8t

Gabby's Dollhouse : https://i.scdn.co/image/ab6761610000e5eb20614df23a12d79157222fbd

nagai hiroshi - https://tinyurl.com/bwfnbnkf

The State Flag of the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics: https://files.catbox.moe/9960nc.png

USA flag - https://shorturl.at/wtuaQ

Will GiveWell fund Intermittent preventive treatment in infants (IPTi) for malaria by 1st January 2027?

Dec 18, 12:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.79%chance

1964882

OptionVotes

YES

6128

4633

Will good quality personalised AI novels be instantly and cheaply available by the end of 2027?

Jun 27, 3:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47%chance

16739510

OptionVotes

YES

1643

1186

Will GiveWell fund Electronic partogram by 1st January 2027?

Dec 18, 12:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.5%chance

1812354

OptionVotes

YES

9625

2195

Will GiveWell fund Sayana® Press by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 4:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.05%chance

145589

OptionVotes

YES

7177

3289

Will GiveWell fund Community health promoters (eg those run by Living Goods) by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 7:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.01%chance

175392

OptionVotes

YES

9916

2845

Will GiveWell fund HPV vaccination to prevent cervical cancer by 1st January 2027?

Dec 18, 12:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.26%chance

224741

OptionVotes

YES

5159

2655

Will GiveWell fund Chlorhexidine for umbilical cord care by 1st January 2027?

Dec 18, 12:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.96%chance

123209

OptionVotes

YES

6132

3376

Are the pronatalist couple good parents?

Jun 12, 8:06 PMJan 29, 4:59 AM

47.75%chance

282492

OptionVotes

YES

1046

956

In one year from now, will Manifold think Trump's March-April tariff shenanigans were good for America/Americans?

Apr 11, 8:37 AMApr 12, 8:36 AM

5%chance

14595

OptionVotes

YES

436

If, before 2050, AI kills more than 1 million people, will the policy response be insufficient?

Aug 8, 5:43 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

68.45%chance

365

OptionVotes

YES

4047

3968

What are your favorite quick, healthy, and tasty recipes for one adult and one toddler? Good lunch leftovers is a plus.

Oct 11, 2:50 PM

Good One News

Prediction markets for Good One

Prediction markets for Good One

Prediction markets for Good One

My kid chooses her favorite picture

Will GiveWell fund Intermittent preventive treatment in infants (IPTi) for malaria by 1st January 2027?

Will good quality personalised AI novels be instantly and cheaply available by the end of 2027?

Will GiveWell fund Electronic partogram by 1st January 2027?

Will GiveWell fund Sayana® Press by 1st January 2027?

Will GiveWell fund Community health promoters (eg those run by Living Goods) by 1st January 2027?

Will GiveWell fund HPV vaccination to prevent cervical cancer by 1st January 2027?

Will GiveWell fund Chlorhexidine for umbilical cord care by 1st January 2027?

Are the pronatalist couple good parents?

In one year from now, will Manifold think Trump's March-April tariff shenanigans were good for America/Americans?

If, before 2050, AI kills more than 1 million people, will the policy response be insufficient?

What are your favorite quick, healthy, and tasty recipes for one adult and one toddler? Good lunch leftovers is a plus.

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