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Prediction markets for Google AI Edge
Prediction markets for Google AI Edge
Instant deepfakes of anyone (doing anything) by the end of 2027?
Dec 7, 10:12 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
81.04%
chance
503
720483
Option
Votes
YES
NO
16293
14198
Will space be the cheapest place to put AI by end of Feb 2029?
Feb 16, 4:26 PM
Feb 28, 11:59 PM
11.24%
chance
107
21582
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2810
356
Eliezer Yudkowsky irrelevant by 2030
Jul 17, 4:23 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
42%
chance
70
7063
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1272
725
6. Many more AI companies will begin building custom chips.
Dec 28, 11:29 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
60%
chance
21
1899
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1227
818
Will retrieval-augmented-generation (RAG) still be used in 2026?
Aug 12, 4:11 PM
Dec 13, 4:59 AM
85.11%
chance
22
1741
Option
Votes
NO
YES
2434
426
Will GMail get blocked in Russia by the end of 2026
Jun 1, 8:20 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
9.17%
chance
7
1135
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2066
834
2030 – 2. We interact with a wide range of AIs in our daily lives as naturally as we interact with other humans today
Mar 11, 12:07 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
88.83%
chance
14
1045
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1519
876
Will any frontier LLM provider introduce a model explicitly optimized for aesthetic judgment or ‘taste’ in 2026?
Apr 14, 5:36 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
32.74%
chance
7
479
Option
Votes
YES
NO
143
70
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