Google API News

Will AGI come from a company whose primary product involves selling a model over an API?

Aug 13, 11:21 AMAug 20, 7:59 PM

67.51%chance

9858808

OptionVotes

YES

144853

69696

Will a consumer AI meaningfully hack something to answer a question for a regular user by eoy 2027?

Jul 22, 2:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70.2%chance

17132633

OptionVotes

YES

14073

7523

Will OpenAI, Anthropic or Google cut API access to their text models, in 2026?

Apr 4, 6:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.42%chance

397097

OptionVotes

YES

2486

796

Gemini 3.8+ Flash (Google) release date

Aug 31, 2:57 PMDec 1, 4:59 AM

175700

OptionProbability

Before 2026-09-11

Before 2026-09-21

Before 2026-10-01

Before 2026-10-11

Before 2026-10-21

Before 2026-11-01

Before 2026-12-01

Which project will become the next web? (ie, replacing http/html/js)

Nov 20, 12:03 AMApr 4, 11:59 AM

243255

OptionProbability

The web will not substantially improve before 2032

WeChat

Appflowy

Agregore Browser

There wont be one next web. Web browsers of the future will run many protocols, competently, which are fairly well integrated, and for which there is no obvious general purpose winner

Orca Sandbox or something derived from it

The current web will reform before a transition can occur

Ad4m

Brave Browser

Replit

Something from Epic Games

Anytype

Logseq

Horizon Worlds

Modular Web

Playbit

VRChat

Discord

Flutter

Welkin

Gopher

Fuchsia OS

The Zed editor

emacs

World App (the one with the orbs)

X.com

roblox

Will a Google Deepmind model be ranked in the top 3 models at the end of 2026?

Aug 17, 5:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.57%chance

151707

OptionVotes

YES

1621

617

Will Dome (YC startup) succeed before 2027?

Oct 23, 9:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.31%chance

5550

OptionVotes

YES

1192

839

Largest context window for an LLM from a top three AI lab in 2026?

Mar 9, 7:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6210

OptionProbability

At least 1.1 Million

At least 2 million

At least 4 million

At least 10 million

At least 20 million

Will Google release a higher-quality successor to Nano Banana Pro before November?

Aug 29, 4:48 PMOct 31, 11:59 PM

54%chance

5127

OptionVotes

YES

108

Will we get AGI before widespread VR device usage in the US?

Feb 3, 10:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

74.54%chance

6122

OptionVotes

YES

171

Will a consumer AI meaningfully hack something to answer a question for a regular user by eoy 2027?

Aug 1, 4:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70.76%chance

173

OptionVotes

YES

119

Will AGI come from a company whose primary product involves selling a model over an API?

Aug 1, 4:23 PMAug 20, 7:59 PM

68.73%chance

212

OptionVotes

YES

105

Google API News

Prediction markets for Google API

Prediction markets for Google API

Prediction markets for Google API

Will AGI come from a company whose primary product involves selling a model over an API?

Will a consumer AI meaningfully hack something to answer a question for a regular user by eoy 2027?

Will OpenAI, Anthropic or Google cut API access to their text models, in 2026?

Gemini 3.8+ Flash (Google) release date

Which project will become the next web? (ie, replacing http/html/js)

Will a Google Deepmind model be ranked in the top 3 models at the end of 2026?

Will Dome (YC startup) succeed before 2027?

Largest context window for an LLM from a top three AI lab in 2026?

Will Google release a higher-quality successor to Nano Banana Pro before November?

Will we get AGI before widespread VR device usage in the US?

Will a consumer AI meaningfully hack something to answer a question for a regular user by eoy 2027?

Will AGI come from a company whose primary product involves selling a model over an API?

Latest stories