Google API News

Will AGI come from a company whose primary product involves selling a model over an API?

Aug 13, 11:21 AMAug 20, 7:59 PM

67.55%chance

10358928

OptionVotes

YES

144964

69643

Will a consumer AI meaningfully hack something to answer a question for a regular user by eoy 2027?

Jul 22, 2:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70.54%chance

17534125

OptionVotes

YES

14201

7469

Will OpenAI, Anthropic or Google cut API access to their text models, in 2026?

Apr 4, 6:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.42%chance

397097

OptionVotes

YES

2486

796

Which project will become the next web? (ie, replacing http/html/js)

Nov 20, 12:03 AMApr 4, 11:59 AM

243255

OptionProbability

The web will not substantially improve before 2032

WeChat

Appflowy

Agregore Browser

There wont be one next web. Web browsers of the future will run many protocols, competently, which are fairly well integrated, and for which there is no obvious general purpose winner

Orca Sandbox or something derived from it

The current web will reform before a transition can occur

Ad4m

Brave Browser

Replit

Something from Epic Games

Anytype

Logseq

Horizon Worlds

Modular Web

Playbit

VRChat

Discord

Flutter

Welkin

Gopher

Fuchsia OS

The Zed editor

emacs

World App (the one with the orbs)

X.com

roblox

Will a Google Deepmind model be ranked in the top 3 models at the end of 2026?

Aug 17, 5:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.92%chance

222242

OptionVotes

YES

1396

716

Will Google release a model officially named "Gemini 4 Flash" by November 13, 2026?

Oct 14, 5:14 AMNov 14, 7:59 AM

2.31%chance

14785

OptionVotes

YES

762

Will a US open-weights LLM outrank every Chinese open-weights LLM on LMArena at the end of 2027?

May 31, 5:28 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.55%chance

9346

OptionVotes

YES

144

Largest context window for an LLM from a top three AI lab in 2026?

Mar 9, 7:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6210

OptionProbability

At least 1.1 Million

At least 2 million

At least 4 million

At least 10 million

At least 20 million

Will free Gemini app users get access to Gemini 4 Argon by November 15, 2026?

Oct 15, 9:55 AMNov 16, 7:59 AM

5.24%chance

5170

OptionVotes

YES

268

Will we get AGI before widespread VR device usage in the US?

Feb 3, 10:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

74.54%chance

6122

OptionVotes

YES

171

Will a consumer AI meaningfully hack something to answer a question for a regular user by eoy 2027?

Aug 1, 4:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70.76%chance

173

OptionVotes

YES

119

Will AGI come from a company whose primary product involves selling a model over an API?

Aug 1, 4:23 PMAug 20, 7:59 PM

68.73%chance

212

OptionVotes

YES

105

Google API News

Prediction markets for Google API

Prediction markets for Google API

Prediction markets for Google API

Will AGI come from a company whose primary product involves selling a model over an API?

Will a consumer AI meaningfully hack something to answer a question for a regular user by eoy 2027?

Will OpenAI, Anthropic or Google cut API access to their text models, in 2026?

Which project will become the next web? (ie, replacing http/html/js)

Will a Google Deepmind model be ranked in the top 3 models at the end of 2026?

Will Google release a model officially named "Gemini 4 Flash" by November 13, 2026?

Will a US open-weights LLM outrank every Chinese open-weights LLM on LMArena at the end of 2027?

Largest context window for an LLM from a top three AI lab in 2026?

Will free Gemini app users get access to Gemini 4 Argon by November 15, 2026?

Will we get AGI before widespread VR device usage in the US?

Will a consumer AI meaningfully hack something to answer a question for a regular user by eoy 2027?

Will AGI come from a company whose primary product involves selling a model over an API?

Latest stories