Google API News

Will AGI come from a company whose primary product involves selling a model over an API?

Aug 13, 11:21 AMAug 20, 7:59 PM

67.02%chance

9257160

OptionVotes

YES

143218

70492

Will Anthropic models still be hosted on at least one of AWS, GCP, or Azure at expiry

Feb 28, 12:08 AMAug 31, 10:59 PM

97.94%chance

2915988

OptionVotes

YES

7381

168

By when will Google add ads to Gemini?

Dec 8, 7:05 PMDec 8, 6:54 PM

2411233

OptionProbability

By Jan 1, 2028

By Jan 1, 2027

By Dec 1, 2026

By Nov 1, 2026

By Oct 1, 2026

By Sep 1, 2026

By Aug 1, 2026

By Jul 1, 2026

By Jun 1, 2026

By May 1, 2026

By Jan 1, 2026

By Feb 1, 2026

By Mar 1, 2026

By Apr 1, 2026

Will OpenAI, Anthropic or Google cut API access to their text models, in 2026?

Apr 4, 6:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.42%chance

387095

OptionVotes

YES

2486

796

Which project will become the next web? (ie, replacing http/html/js)

Nov 20, 12:03 AMApr 4, 11:59 AM

243255

OptionProbability

The web will not substantially improve before 2032

WeChat

Appflowy

Agregore Browser

There wont be one next web. Web browsers of the future will run many protocols, competently, which are fairly well integrated, and for which there is no obvious general purpose winner

Orca Sandbox or something derived from it

The current web will reform before a transition can occur

Ad4m

Brave Browser

Replit

Something from Epic Games

Anytype

Logseq

Horizon Worlds

Modular Web

Playbit

VRChat

Discord

Flutter

Welkin

Gopher

Fuchsia OS

The Zed editor

emacs

World App (the one with the orbs)

X.com

roblox

Will Claude Fable 5 be API Pricing Only when public access returns?

Jun 14, 2:21 AMJan 1, 2:21 AM

15.39%chance

121728

OptionVotes

YES

2345

426

Will Google DeepMind release Gemini 3.5 by July 31, 2026?

Apr 29, 9:35 AMJul 31, 10:00 PM

99%chance

81161

OptionVotes

YES

1235

Will Claude Sonnet 5 be released before June 28?

Jun 22, 9:36 PMJun 27, 11:59 PM

13.5%chance

201116

OptionVotes

YES

253

Will Dome (YC startup) succeed before 2027?

Oct 23, 9:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.31%chance

5550

OptionVotes

YES

1192

839

New gemini version out in june

Jun 8, 10:37 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

37.19%chance

21439

OptionVotes

YES

130

Largest context window for an LLM from a top three AI lab in 2026?

Mar 9, 7:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5194

OptionProbability

At least 1.1 Million

At least 2 million

At least 4 million

At least 10 million

At least 20 million

Google AI Pro/Ultra usable in third party apps before 2027?

May 16, 8:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.61%chance

545

OptionVotes

YES

134

Google API News

Prediction markets for Google API

Prediction markets for Google API

Prediction markets for Google API

Will AGI come from a company whose primary product involves selling a model over an API?

Will Anthropic models still be hosted on at least one of AWS, GCP, or Azure at expiry

By when will Google add ads to Gemini?

Will OpenAI, Anthropic or Google cut API access to their text models, in 2026?

Which project will become the next web? (ie, replacing http/html/js)

Will Claude Fable 5 be API Pricing Only when public access returns?

Will Google DeepMind release Gemini 3.5 by July 31, 2026?

Will Claude Sonnet 5 be released before June 28?

Will Dome (YC startup) succeed before 2027?

New gemini version out in june

Largest context window for an LLM from a top three AI lab in 2026?

Google AI Pro/Ultra usable in third party apps before 2027?

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