OptionProbability
Anthropic
OpenAI
DeepMind
Other
Elon's X.AI company
The US Government (DARPA or Similar Org)
The Chinese Communist Party
DeepSeek
A single individual not listed here
Google Brain
IBM
Microsoft
28
23
21
15
4
3
2
1
0
US Government
people not employed by a company
Communist Party of China
xAI
N/A
Safe Superintelligence (SSI)
Nvidia
Tesla
eleutherai
character.ai
microsoft
Meta
google brain
None of the above
Keen
25
13
7
5
OptionVotes
YES
NO
3638
276
1374
730
166
60