Google for Work News

Instant deepfakes of anyone (doing anything) by the end of 2027?

Dec 7, 10:12 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

78.67%chance

480696936

OptionVotes

YES

16706

12559

When will human interpreters become unnecessary?

Dec 11, 8:21 PMDec 31, 11:00 PM

8.52%chance

449720

OptionProbability

YES

5408

3352

Will we have high-quality real-time age transitions for video calls before 2026 ends?

Jul 10, 12:58 PMDec 31, 6:29 AM

74.23%chance

455869

OptionVotes

YES

1143

874

Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?

Nov 26, 6:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

74.89%chance

311936

OptionVotes

YES

1629

626

2. Details of SSI’s research and technology will leak. The big labs will make meaningful adjustments [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:21 AMDec 29, 11:20 AM

36.9%chance

151455

OptionVotes

YES

1310

766

2030 – 2. We interact with a wide range of AIs in our daily lives as naturally as we interact with other humans today

Mar 11, 12:07 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

88.83%chance

141045

OptionVotes

YES

1519

876

6. Many more AI companies will begin building custom chips.

Dec 28, 11:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.48%chance

14895

OptionVotes

YES

1759

570

Meta sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?

Oct 30, 1:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.22%chance

14858

OptionVotes

YES

1271

787

Kindle+LLM+audio readout combination product is available from Amazon by mid 2027

Dec 16, 5:23 PMJul 1, 5:59 AM

38.74%chance

17460

OptionVotes

YES

1116

1014

Will Google, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft get into pharma in the next 5 years?

Jun 13, 7:39 AMJun 13, 8:59 PM

63.2%chance

13363

OptionVotes

YES

989

Which MATH-AI 23 works will have >50 Google Scholar citations by end of 2026?

Oct 31, 5:12 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

2195

OptionProbability

Magnushammer: A Transformer-Based Approach to Premise Selection

AlphaEvolve: A coding agent for scientific and algorithmic discovery

llmstep: LLM proofstep suggestions in Lean

AI for Mathematics: A Cognitive Science Perspective

When Google gets a new CEO, will they have at least 3 years of experience working there?

Jun 26, 6:37 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

73.82%chance

10172

OptionVotes

YES

194

178

Google for Work News

Prediction markets for Google for Work

Prediction markets for Google for Work

Prediction markets for Google for Work

Instant deepfakes of anyone (doing anything) by the end of 2027?

When will human interpreters become unnecessary?

Will we have high-quality real-time age transitions for video calls before 2026 ends?

Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?

2. Details of SSI’s research and technology will leak. The big labs will make meaningful adjustments [See full title!]

2030 – 2. We interact with a wide range of AIs in our daily lives as naturally as we interact with other humans today

6. Many more AI companies will begin building custom chips.

Meta sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?

Kindle+LLM+audio readout combination product is available from Amazon by mid 2027

Will Google, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft get into pharma in the next 5 years?

Which MATH-AI 23 works will have >50 Google Scholar citations by end of 2026?

When Google gets a new CEO, will they have at least 3 years of experience working there?

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