Google One News

Instant deepfakes of anyone (doing anything) by the end of 2027?

Dec 7, 10:12 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

71.54%chance

465679880

OptionVotes

YES

17813

9130

Which AI tech companies will be acquired for more than $1B in 2025? 💰

Jan 8, 7:47 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

2744804

OptionProbability

Groq

Stability AI

Mistral AI

ElevenLabs (audio)

Runway AI

Figure AI

Cohere

Grammarly

Perplexity

Devin (Cognition)

Pinecone (database)

Magic (coding)

Midjourney

Nous Research (open source, decentralized AI)

Hugging Face

DataBricks

Suno (music)

Anthropic

xAI

SSI (Ilya Sutskever)

OpenAI

Will Trump's 2nd Presidential term last exactly 42 months?

Nov 8, 12:33 AMAug 20, 3:59 AM

2.56%chance

1337815

OptionVotes

YES

33573

1535

What organization will top the LLM leaderboards on LMArena at end of 2025? 🤖📊

Jan 6, 5:14 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3017454

OptionProbability

Google / DeepMind

OpenAI

xAI / Grok

Anthropic / Claude

DeepSeek

Other

Meta / Facebook

Will Ethereum outperform Bitcoin over three years from 2023?

Oct 15, 12:45 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

1.53%chance

418751

OptionVotes

YES

7453

103

In 2028, will traditional Big Tech be clearly ahead of AI-specific companies in AI technology?

Feb 20, 10:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

30.12%chance

1398607

OptionVotes

YES

3286

1999

Daily Coinflip

Aug 17, 4:05 AMAug 19, 3:59 AM

50.5%chance

122741

OptionVotes

YES

10101

9900

Will Mr Beast ever be elected President of the United States of America?

Aug 30, 10:54 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

5%chance

202095

OptionVotes

YES

1184

959

Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?

Nov 26, 6:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

74.89%chance

311936

OptionVotes

YES

1629

626

What will the prevailing sentiment be about Rapamycin as a longevity drug in 2028?

Aug 4, 9:29 PMJul 2, 6:59 AM

10662

OptionProbability

Ineffective: Any benefits are too small to be worth the drawbacks

Unproven but promising: Too early to tell

Valuable but imperfect: Some healthy adults should consider it, but there are major drawbacks

Harmful/scandalous: Clear serious drawbacks that last beyond cessation of treatment

Wonder-drug: Most adults should consider it

Will AI take over density functional theory by 2035?

Nov 27, 1:07 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.05%chance

10358

OptionVotes

YES

1122

880

Daily Coinflip 4

Aug 17, 12:17 AMAug 18, 12:00 AM

50.52%chance

4118

OptionVotes

YES

1011

990

Google One News

Prediction markets for Google One

Prediction markets for Google One

Prediction markets for Google One

Instant deepfakes of anyone (doing anything) by the end of 2027?

Which AI tech companies will be acquired for more than $1B in 2025? 💰

Will Trump's 2nd Presidential term last exactly 42 months?

What organization will top the LLM leaderboards on LMArena at end of 2025? 🤖📊

Will Ethereum outperform Bitcoin over three years from 2023?

In 2028, will traditional Big Tech be clearly ahead of AI-specific companies in AI technology?

Daily Coinflip

Will Mr Beast ever be elected President of the United States of America?

Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?

What will the prevailing sentiment be about Rapamycin as a longevity drug in 2028?

Will AI take over density functional theory by 2035?

Daily Coinflip 4

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