Google One News

Instant deepfakes of anyone (doing anything) by the end of 2027?

Dec 7, 10:12 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

78.67%chance

480696936

OptionVotes

YES

16706

12559

Will Trump's 2nd Presidential term last exactly 42 months?

Nov 8, 12:33 AMAug 20, 3:59 AM

1.88%chance

2148226

OptionVotes

YES

41008

1368

In 2028, will traditional Big Tech be clearly ahead of AI-specific companies in AI technology?

Feb 20, 10:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

31.95%chance

1428966

OptionVotes

YES

3125

2071

Will a mainstream AI model pass the stick figure arrow name test in 2026?

Jan 3, 12:26 AMJan 1, 12:23 AM

65.82%chance

455116

OptionVotes

YES

1388

721

Will Mr Beast ever be elected President of the United States of America?

Aug 30, 10:54 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

5%chance

222601

OptionVotes

YES

1184

959

Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?

Nov 26, 6:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

74.89%chance

311936

OptionVotes

YES

1629

626

Daily Coinflip

Feb 5, 7:32 PMFeb 7, 4:59 AM

50.11%chance

12998

OptionVotes

YES

10022

9978

Will the Elbaf arc have a higher peak worldwide Google Trends search interest than any previous One Piece arc?

Nov 1, 5:49 PMJan 1, 1:00 PM

58.05%chance

5821

OptionVotes

YES

1176

850

What will the prevailing sentiment be about Rapamycin as a longevity drug in 2028?

Aug 4, 9:29 PMJul 2, 6:59 AM

10662

OptionProbability

Ineffective: Any benefits are too small to be worth the drawbacks

Unproven but promising: Too early to tell

Valuable but imperfect: Some healthy adults should consider it, but there are major drawbacks

Harmful/scandalous: Clear serious drawbacks that last beyond cessation of treatment

Wonder-drug: Most adults should consider it

Will AI take over density functional theory by 2035?

Nov 27, 1:07 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.05%chance

10358

OptionVotes

YES

1122

880

Will a Russian actor be publicly attributed with stealing weights from a frontier AI developer before 2030?

Oct 30, 11:42 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

50.47%chance

3107

OptionVotes

YES

1059

1041

Citation trends for the AdS/CFT paper

Oct 11, 3:18 PMOct 19, 3:59 AM

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2028

2029

Google One News

Prediction markets for Google One

Prediction markets for Google One

Prediction markets for Google One

Instant deepfakes of anyone (doing anything) by the end of 2027?

Will Trump's 2nd Presidential term last exactly 42 months?

In 2028, will traditional Big Tech be clearly ahead of AI-specific companies in AI technology?

Will a mainstream AI model pass the stick figure arrow name test in 2026?

Will Mr Beast ever be elected President of the United States of America?

Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?

Daily Coinflip

Will the Elbaf arc have a higher peak worldwide Google Trends search interest than any previous One Piece arc?

What will the prevailing sentiment be about Rapamycin as a longevity drug in 2028?

Will AI take over density functional theory by 2035?

Will a Russian actor be publicly attributed with stealing weights from a frontier AI developer before 2030?

Citation trends for the AdS/CFT paper

Latest stories