Google Spaces News

Instant deepfakes of anyone (doing anything) by the end of 2027?

Dec 7, 10:12 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

78.04%chance

508725007

OptionVotes

YES

16811

12177

Will space be the cheapest place to put AI by end of Feb 2029?

Feb 16, 4:26 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

10.24%chance

10921732

OptionVotes

YES

2960

338

7. Sam Altman will step aside as CEO of OpenAI.

Dec 28, 11:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.77%chance

347169

OptionVotes

YES

3717

270

will ram prices go down by the end of 2027

Mar 21, 7:58 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.35%chance

183167

OptionVotes

YES

204

Which happens first? [Ads in AI][OpenAI vs Anthropic]

Feb 9, 7:33 PMFeb 10, 5:59 AM

7302

OptionProbability

OpenAI significantly expands the scope of Ads in ChatGPT

OpenAI removes ads in ChatGPT

Anthropic adds Ads in one of their primary AI apps (currently Claude)

How many Google AI satellites will be in space by EOY 2027?

Nov 5, 1:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3188

OptionProbability

1 - 2

3 - 4

5 - 6

7 - 8

9 - 10

Above 10

Which of Jack Clark's Oxford lecture AI predictions will come true?

May 22, 11:08 PMJan 1, 12:59 AM

3180

OptionProbability

Apr '28: Bipedal robots meaningfully assist human tradespeople in their work

Dec '28: AI systems able to autonomously design their successors (RSI)

Nov '26: AI good enough at biology to both advance science and potentially proliferate bioweapon risks

Nov '27: Autonomous companies exist and generate $10m+ revenues

Apr '27: A team of humans collaborating with AI will make a Nobel-winning discovery

When will Genie-like methods be used to train a frontier model on computer-use tasks?

Sep 17, 11:10 PMDec 31, 11:43 PM

2130

OptionProbability

2029

2027

Word counter website/extension customized to Common App

Dec 20, 10:48 PM

If AI were the internet, what year would we be in with regards to progress and maturity

Feb 16, 11:53 PM

290

Is this "savage" takedown of Jose Luis Ricon actually savage?

Dec 11, 8:01 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

Google Spaces News

Prediction markets for Google Spaces

Prediction markets for Google Spaces

Prediction markets for Google Spaces

Instant deepfakes of anyone (doing anything) by the end of 2027?

Will space be the cheapest place to put AI by end of Feb 2029?

7. Sam Altman will step aside as CEO of OpenAI.

will ram prices go down by the end of 2027

Which happens first? [Ads in AI][OpenAI vs Anthropic]

How many Google AI satellites will be in space by EOY 2027?

Which of Jack Clark's Oxford lecture AI predictions will come true?

When will Genie-like methods be used to train a frontier model on computer-use tasks?

Word counter website/extension customized to Common App

If AI were the internet, what year would we be in with regards to progress and maturity

Is this "savage" takedown of Jose Luis Ricon actually savage?

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