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Prediction markets for Google Spaces

Instant deepfakes of anyone (doing anything) by the end of 2027?

Dec 7, 10:12 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

81.13%chance

496718382

OptionVotes

YES

NO

16276

14269

Will space be the cheapest place to put AI by end of Feb 2029?

Feb 16, 4:26 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

4.19%chance

9514585

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4785

209

7. Sam Altman will step aside as CEO of OpenAI.

Dec 28, 11:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.58%chance

193559

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2640

380

will ram prices go down by the end of 2027

Mar 21, 7:58 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28%chance

112988

OptionVotes

YES

NO

160

62

Yann LeCun's new AI startup reaches $100M+ valuation by end of 2027?

Nov 20, 8:19 PMDec 31, 4:59 AM

67.92%chance

211112

OptionVotes

NO

YES

145

69

Which happens first? [Ads in AI][OpenAI vs Anthropic]

Feb 9, 7:33 PMFeb 10, 5:59 AM

6211

OptionProbability

OpenAI significantly expands the scope of Ads in ChatGPT

OpenAI removes ads in ChatGPT

Anthropic adds Ads in one of their primary AI apps (currently Claude)

70

20

10

How many Google AI satellites will be in space by EOY 2027?

Nov 5, 1:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3188

OptionProbability

1 - 2

0

3 - 4

5 - 6

7 - 8

9 - 10

Above 10

43

37

9

3

3

3

3

When will Genie-like methods be used to train a frontier model on computer-use tasks?

Sep 17, 11:10 PMDec 31, 11:43 PM

2130

OptionProbability

2029

2027

49

39

Will St George Coffee (NYC) reopen after their "Summer Break"?

Feb 14, 8:24 AMDec 31, 12:00 AM

57.33%chance

235

OptionVotes

NO

YES

116

86

If AI were the internet, what year would we be in with regards to progress and maturity

Feb 16, 11:53 PM

270

Word counter website/extension customized to Common App

Dec 20, 10:48 PM

00

Is this "savage" takedown of Jose Luis Ricon actually savage?

Dec 11, 8:01 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10

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