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Prediction markets for Google Spaces

Instant deepfakes of anyone (doing anything) by the end of 2027?

Dec 7, 10:12 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

78.67%chance

480696936

OptionVotes

YES

NO

16706

12559

7. Sam Altman will step aside as CEO of OpenAI.

Dec 28, 11:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.07%chance

193036

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3171

316

Yann LeCun's new AI startup reaches $100M+ valuation by end of 2027?

Nov 20, 8:19 PMDec 31, 4:59 AM

68.91%chance

19761

OptionVotes

NO

YES

149

67

How many Google AI satellites will be in space by EOY 2027?

Nov 5, 1:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3188

OptionProbability

1 - 2

0

3 - 4

5 - 6

7 - 8

9 - 10

Above 10

43

37

9

3

3

3

3

When will Genie-like methods be used to train a frontier model on computer-use tasks?

Sep 17, 11:10 PMDec 31, 11:43 PM

2130

OptionProbability

2029

2027

49

39

Is this "savage" takedown of Jose Luis Ricon actually savage?

Dec 11, 8:01 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10

Word counter website/extension customized to Common App

Dec 20, 10:48 PM

00

If AI were the internet, what year would we be in with regards to progress and maturity

Feb 16, 11:53 PM

270

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