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Prediction markets for Google Translate

Will Trump's 2nd Presidential term last exactly 42 months?

Nov 8, 12:33 AMAug 20, 3:59 AM

2.33%chance

1940221

OptionVotes

YES

NO

35720

1481

When will human interpreters become unnecessary?

Dec 11, 8:21 PMDec 31, 11:00 PM

8.52%chance

449720

OptionProbability

YES

NO

5408

3352

When will human translators become unnecessary?

Dec 11, 5:12 PMDec 31, 11:00 PM

14.28%chance

241489

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1297

1143

When will someone be able to recreate Google's Hands-on with Gemini video for the first time?

Dec 12, 4:33 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

10589

OptionProbability

2026 or later

Second half of 2025

First half of 2025

Q1 2024

Q2 2024

Q3 2024

Q4 2024

59

9

8

6

6

6

6

Will Animal to Human translation be possible by 2050?

Oct 5, 1:23 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

88.08%chance

9584

OptionVotes

NO

YES

397

27

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