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Prediction markets for Google Translate

Will Trump's 2nd Presidential term last exactly 42 months?

Nov 8, 12:33 AMAug 20, 3:59 AM

2.56%chance

1337815

OptionVotes

YES

NO

33573

1535

When will human interpreters become unnecessary?

Dec 11, 8:21 PMDec 31, 11:00 PM

11.14%chance

222054

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1667

986

When will human translators become unnecessary?

Dec 11, 5:12 PMDec 31, 11:00 PM

14.86%chance

231439

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1247

1152

Will Animal to Human translation be possible by 2050?

Oct 5, 1:23 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

75.56%chance

8484

OptionVotes

NO

YES

297

48

When will someone be able to recreate Google's Hands-on with Gemini video for the first time?

Dec 12, 4:33 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

8262

OptionProbability

2026 or later

Second half of 2025

First half of 2025

Q3 2024

Q4 2024

Q1 2024

Q2 2024

35

15

13

10

10

9

9

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