Government Work Report News

Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?

Nov 26, 6:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

74.89%chance

311936

OptionVotes

YES

1629

626

Which Chinese tech companies announce a formal AI partnership with a Russian entity before 2027?

Oct 29, 2:22 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

41525

OptionProbability

Huawei

Alibaba

ByteDance

Xiaomi

Lenovo

Cambricon

Tencent

Baidu

SenseTime

Zhipu AI

Moonshot AI

iFlyTek

Deepseek

MiniMax

By the end of 2028, it will be confirmed that Jeffrey Epstein was an foreign, or domestic intelligence asset.

Dec 20, 7:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.96%chance

241185

OptionVotes

YES

149

London Bridge literally falls down in the next 5 years (like the rhyme)

Jan 17, 4:25 AMJan 17, 4:24 AM

5.12%chance

12959

OptionVotes

YES

431

Construction on Billy Bishop to enable jets started?

Mar 15, 7:39 PMMar 22, 7:28 PM

31%chance

7704

OptionVotes

YES

1492

670

Will Brazil implement a four-day work week before 2030?

Oct 12, 3:59 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM

5.57%chance

10577

OptionVotes

YES

700

Of the top 18 jobs in the US in the year 2022, which one will be first to lose at least 1/2 of its workers?

Dec 19, 9:33 PMJul 18, 5:59 AM

12574

OptionProbability

Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers (2022 value: 2.0m)

Office Clerks, General (2022 value: 2.5m)

Customer Service Representatives (2022 value: 2.9m)

Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive (2022 value: 1.8m)

Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks (2022 value: 1.6m)

Retail Salespersons (2022 value: 3.6m)

Fast Food and Counter Workers (2022 value: 3.3m)

Cashiers (2022 value: 3.3m)

Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand (2022 value: 2.9m)

Stockers and Order Fillers (2022 value: 2.8m)

Waiters and Waitresses (2022 value: 2.1m)

Software Developers (2022 value: 1.5m)

Home Health and Personal Care Aides (2022 value: 3.5m)

General and Operations Managers (2022 value: 3.4m)

Registered Nurses (2022 value: 3.1m)

Janitors and Cleaners, Except Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners (2022 value: 2.1m)

First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers (2022 value: 1.5m)

Maintenance and Repair Workers, General (2022 value: 1.5m)

Will there be a large protest across US based on a political/ economical/ social issue?

Sep 30, 10:27 AMMar 31, 9:58 AM

59%chance

15419

OptionVotes

YES

120

Will credible evidence emerge before 2027 that Meta can access the content of WhatsApp messages despite end-to-end encry

Jan 27, 10:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11%chance

8250

OptionVotes

YES

284

China provides Russia >100k AI chips by 2030?

Oct 30, 12:17 PMJul 1, 10:59 PM

51.45%chance

4170

OptionVotes

YES

1095

1027

Will the UK introduce compulsory English lessons for adult migrants receiving public benefits before 2027?

Jul 21, 10:14 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30%chance

9166

OptionVotes

YES

153

US Federal Gov't ports their physical mail addresses to something online by mid 2031

Mar 8, 4:48 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

44.14%chance

2125

OptionVotes

YES

1125

889

Government Work Report News

Prediction markets for Government Work Report

Prediction markets for Government Work Report

Prediction markets for Government Work Report

Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?

Which Chinese tech companies announce a formal AI partnership with a Russian entity before 2027?

By the end of 2028, it will be confirmed that Jeffrey Epstein was an foreign, or domestic intelligence asset.

London Bridge literally falls down in the next 5 years (like the rhyme)

Construction on Billy Bishop to enable jets started?

Will Brazil implement a four-day work week before 2030?

Of the top 18 jobs in the US in the year 2022, which one will be first to lose at least 1/2 of its workers?

Will there be a large protest across US based on a political/ economical/ social issue?

Will credible evidence emerge before 2027 that Meta can access the content of WhatsApp messages despite end-to-end encry

China provides Russia >100k AI chips by 2030?

Will the UK introduce compulsory English lessons for adult migrants receiving public benefits before 2027?

US Federal Gov't ports their physical mail addresses to something online by mid 2031

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