DeepNewz, mobile.
People-sourced. AI-powered. Unbiased News.
Dismiss
Open main menu
Search
For You
AI
Business
Crypto
Culture
Environment
Politics
Science
Sports
Tech
United States
World
GPT Engineer News
Prediction markets for GPT Engineer
Prediction markets for GPT Engineer
Will mechanistic interpretability be essentially solved for GPT-2 before 2030?
Apr 14, 12:41 AM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
30.76%
chance
95
31424
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1365
1072
Will mechanistic interpretability be essentially solved for GPT-3 before 2030?
Apr 14, 12:44 AM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
13.3%
chance
38
13776
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1263
918
Will any GPT beat Stockfish in a fair fight before 2030?
Dec 14, 3:25 AM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
23.77%
chance
56
10829
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1240
876
Will mechanistic interpretability be essentially solved for GPT-4 before 2030?
Apr 14, 12:45 AM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
11%
chance
28
6231
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1299
934
Will GPT-5 be able to get gold on the International Mathematical Olympiad?
Mar 4, 1:06 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
11.67%
chance
28
3035
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1136
935
In 2027, will AI be able to generate a good "X-ing the technical interview" aphyr.com post?
Jan 4, 2:54 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
52.63%
chance
4
352
Option
Votes
NO
YES
105
95
Will training on o1/o3 traces improve GPT-5 performance on a broad set of tasks?
Jan 17, 11:57 PM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
62.98%
chance
3
180
Option
Votes
NO
YES
130
77
Will NASA approve the Uranus Orbiter before 2030?
Mar 30, 10:44 PM
Dec 31, 3:59 PM
33.78%
chance
4
120
Option
Votes
YES
NO
150
82
Could GPT-4 recursively self-improve to AGI with the right cognitive architecture? [@Altimor, twitter]
Sep 13, 6:36 AM
Sep 14, 6:59 AM
8.9%
chance
2
110
Option
Votes
YES
NO
180
36
Latest stories
