GPT Next News

OpenAI's next "GPT-OSS" release date

Aug 8, 7:45 PMDec 31, 8:44 PM

329889

OptionProbability

Before 2027

Before December 2026

Before November 2026

Before October 2026

Before September 2026

Before August 2026

Before July 2026

Before September 2025

Before October 2025

Before November 2025

Before December 2025

Before 2026

Before February 2026

Before March 2026

Before April 2026

Before May 2026

Before June 2026

By when will AIs perform at least as well as humans on GAIA?

Feb 21, 4:36 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

269246

OptionProbability

Before 2035-01-01

Before 2030-01-01

Before 2027-01-01

Before 2028-01-01

Before 2024-06-01

Before 2025-01-01

Before 2026-01-01

GPT-6 released in 2026?

Aug 7, 11:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.23%chance

568014

OptionVotes

YES

1575

636

Will the next full gemini model be as good as opus 4.7 or gpt 5.5 at coding?

May 19, 1:01 AMJul 19, 1:00 AM

58.95%chance

496593

OptionVotes

YES

1198

835

Will the first AGI be a large language model?

Apr 18, 4:09 PMFeb 1, 3:59 PM

63.18%chance

676570

OptionVotes

YES

1479

344

Will GPT-5 make Manifold think very near-term AGI is more likely?

Mar 3, 1:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.29%chance

464116

OptionVotes

YES

2622

208

Will GPT-5 be able to get gold on the International Mathematical Olympiad?

Mar 4, 1:06 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.67%chance

283035

OptionVotes

YES

1136

935

What Will Be the Next Big Tech Industry Hype Cycle Thing After GPT-Enabled LLM's?

Mar 12, 6:40 PMDec 1, 5:59 AM

19463

OptionProbability

Robots

Some As of Early 2024 Not Even Published Yet Architecture as Revolutionary as Transformers was in 2017

Synthetic Biology / Genetic Engineering: For example, developing new vaccines, engineering proteins for sustainable fabric production, developing cell-cultured meats, plant-based meat alternatives, and engineering human immune cells.

Quantum Computing

Will OpenAI publicly release a GPT-5.6 model by August 31, 2026?

Jun 15, 7:16 PMSep 1, 12:00 AM

92.52%chance

11350

OptionVotes

YES

216

Will the next major AI model (GPT-5, Gemini 2.0, etc.) be able to correctly predict this market's resolution?

Dec 14, 12:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.91%chance

8249

OptionVotes

YES

163

What IMO Shortlist topic (ACN) will be the second easiest for the first AI solving multiple shortlist problems?

Jan 17, 11:18 PMDec 30, 10:59 PM

8128

OptionProbability

Algebra

Number Theory

Combinatorics

OpenAI will acheive market dominance with GPT (AKA monopoly) and then INCREASE prices within the next 10 years

Jul 18, 6:19 AMJul 25, 6:59 AM

27.28%chance

495

OptionVotes

YES

163

GPT Next News

Prediction markets for GPT Next

Prediction markets for GPT Next

Prediction markets for GPT Next

OpenAI's next "GPT-OSS" release date

By when will AIs perform at least as well as humans on GAIA?

GPT-6 released in 2026?

Will the next full gemini model be as good as opus 4.7 or gpt 5.5 at coding?

Will the first AGI be a large language model?

Will GPT-5 make Manifold think very near-term AGI is more likely?

Will GPT-5 be able to get gold on the International Mathematical Olympiad?

What Will Be the Next Big Tech Industry Hype Cycle Thing After GPT-Enabled LLM's?

Will OpenAI publicly release a GPT-5.6 model by August 31, 2026?

Will the next major AI model (GPT-5, Gemini 2.0, etc.) be able to correctly predict this market's resolution?

What IMO Shortlist topic (ACN) will be the second easiest for the first AI solving multiple shortlist problems?

OpenAI will acheive market dominance with GPT (AKA monopoly) and then INCREASE prices within the next 10 years

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