GPT Next News

OpenAI's next "GPT-OSS" release date

Aug 8, 7:45 PMJun 1, 3:59 AM

4414596

OptionProbability

Before June 2027

Before May 2027

Before April 2027

Before March 2027

Before February 2027

Before 2027

Before December 2026

Before November 2026

Before September 2025

Before October 2025

Before November 2025

Before December 2025

Before 2026

Before February 2026

Before March 2026

Before April 2026

Before May 2026

Before June 2026

Before July 2026

Before August 2026

Before September 2026

Before October 2026

Will the first AGI be a large language model?

Apr 18, 4:09 PMFeb 1, 3:59 PM

63.39%chance

696760

OptionVotes

YES

1483

342

Will GPT-5 make Manifold think very near-term AGI is more likely?

Mar 3, 1:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.48%chance

474616

OptionVotes

YES

3122

158

Will GPT-5 be able to get gold on the International Mathematical Olympiad?

Mar 4, 1:06 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.56%chance

334011

OptionVotes

YES

1018

672

Will GPT-6 be released before January 1, 2027?

Jul 11, 8:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

97.45%chance

283906

OptionVotes

YES

506

Will the next Claude Fable release score higher on ECI than the next GPT Astra release?

Sep 3, 9:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.18%chance

171530

OptionVotes

YES

1101

908

What Will Be the Next Big Tech Industry Hype Cycle Thing After GPT-Enabled LLM's?

Mar 12, 6:40 PMDec 1, 5:59 AM

19463

OptionProbability

Robots

Some As of Early 2024 Not Even Published Yet Architecture as Revolutionary as Transformers was in 2017

Synthetic Biology / Genetic Engineering: For example, developing new vaccines, engineering proteins for sustainable fabric production, developing cell-cultured meats, plant-based meat alternatives, and engineering human immune cells.

Quantum Computing

Will the next major AI model (GPT-5, Gemini 2.0, etc.) be able to correctly predict this market's resolution?

Dec 14, 12:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.91%chance

8249

OptionVotes

YES

163

What will the top score on the CritPt research-physics benchmark be on November 30, 2026? (Epoch AI)

Nov 1, 5:40 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

2101

OptionProbability

46% or higher

Below 38%

38% to below 42%

42% to below 46%

OpenAI will acheive market dominance with GPT (AKA monopoly) and then INCREASE prices within the next 10 years

Jul 18, 6:19 AMJul 25, 6:59 AM

27.28%chance

495

OptionVotes

YES

163

Will the next Astra 6.1+ beat the next Fable 5.2+ on Epoch's ECI? (Apr 30 snapshot)

Nov 2, 7:04 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

52.35%chance

569

OptionVotes

YES

105

What will the top score on Epoch AI's MirrorCode benchmark be on November 30, 2026?

Nov 4, 2:15 AMNov 30, 11:59 PM

115

OptionProbability

85% to under 90%

80% to under 85%

90% or higher

Under 80%

GPT Next News

Prediction markets for GPT Next

Prediction markets for GPT Next

Prediction markets for GPT Next

OpenAI's next "GPT-OSS" release date

Will the first AGI be a large language model?

Will GPT-5 make Manifold think very near-term AGI is more likely?

Will GPT-5 be able to get gold on the International Mathematical Olympiad?

Will GPT-6 be released before January 1, 2027?

Will the next Claude Fable release score higher on ECI than the next GPT Astra release?

What Will Be the Next Big Tech Industry Hype Cycle Thing After GPT-Enabled LLM's?

Will the next major AI model (GPT-5, Gemini 2.0, etc.) be able to correctly predict this market's resolution?

What will the top score on the CritPt research-physics benchmark be on November 30, 2026? (Epoch AI)

OpenAI will acheive market dominance with GPT (AKA monopoly) and then INCREASE prices within the next 10 years

Will the next Astra 6.1+ beat the next Fable 5.2+ on Epoch's ECI? (Apr 30 snapshot)

What will the top score on Epoch AI's MirrorCode benchmark be on November 30, 2026?

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