GPT Next News

OpenAI's next "GPT-OSS" release date

Aug 8, 7:45 PMDec 31, 8:44 PM

187035

OptionProbability

Before 2027

Before December 2026

Before November 2026

Before October 2026

Before September 2026

Before August 2026

Before July 2026

Before June 2026

Before May 2026

Before April 2026

Before March 2026

Before September 2025

Before October 2025

Before November 2025

Before December 2025

Before 2026

Before February 2026

GPT-6 released in 2026?

Aug 7, 11:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

78.24%chance

416225

OptionVotes

YES

1898

528

Will the first AGI be a large language model?

Apr 18, 4:09 PMFeb 1, 3:59 PM

45.33%chance

645998

OptionVotes

YES

1202

578

Will GPT-5 make Manifold think very near-term AGI is more likely?

Mar 3, 1:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.29%chance

464116

OptionVotes

YES

2622

208

Will GPT-5 be able to get gold on the International Mathematical Olympiad?

Mar 4, 1:06 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10.05%chance

262827

OptionVotes

YES

1313

914

When will the next paradigm in LLMs (after reasoning) be released?

Feb 17, 4:24 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

51228

OptionProbability

Q1/Q2 '26

Q3/Q4 '26

Q3/Q4 '25

Q1/Q2 '27

Q1/Q2 '25

Q3/Q4 '27

2028 or later

What Will Be the Next Big Tech Industry Hype Cycle Thing After GPT-Enabled LLM's?

Mar 12, 6:40 PMDec 1, 5:59 AM

19463

OptionProbability

Robots

Some As of Early 2024 Not Even Published Yet Architecture as Revolutionary as Transformers was in 2017

Synthetic Biology / Genetic Engineering: For example, developing new vaccines, engineering proteins for sustainable fabric production, developing cell-cultured meats, plant-based meat alternatives, and engineering human immune cells.

Quantum Computing

Will the next major AI model (GPT-5, Gemini 2.0, etc.) be able to correctly predict this market's resolution?

Dec 14, 12:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.72%chance

8246

OptionVotes

YES

166

Will OpenAI release a product named ChatGPT6?

Jan 3, 8:44 PMDec 31, 8:44 PM

85.99%chance

11194

OptionVotes

YES

248

What IMO Shortlist topic (ACN) will be the second easiest for the first AI solving multiple shortlist problems?

Jan 17, 11:18 PMDec 30, 10:59 PM

8128

OptionProbability

Algebra

Number Theory

Combinatorics

OpenAI will acheive market dominance with GPT (AKA monopoly) and then INCREASE prices within the next 10 years

Jul 18, 6:19 AMJul 25, 6:59 AM

27.28%chance

495

OptionVotes

YES

163

By which year (EOY) 80% of the world population will live in countries that completely ban single use plastic bags?

Apr 23, 1:25 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

350

OptionProbability

2030

2029

2028

GPT Next News

Prediction markets for GPT Next

Prediction markets for GPT Next

Prediction markets for GPT Next

OpenAI's next "GPT-OSS" release date

GPT-6 released in 2026?

Will the first AGI be a large language model?

Will GPT-5 make Manifold think very near-term AGI is more likely?

Will GPT-5 be able to get gold on the International Mathematical Olympiad?

When will the next paradigm in LLMs (after reasoning) be released?

What Will Be the Next Big Tech Industry Hype Cycle Thing After GPT-Enabled LLM's?

Will the next major AI model (GPT-5, Gemini 2.0, etc.) be able to correctly predict this market's resolution?

Will OpenAI release a product named ChatGPT6?

What IMO Shortlist topic (ACN) will be the second easiest for the first AI solving multiple shortlist problems?

OpenAI will acheive market dominance with GPT (AKA monopoly) and then INCREASE prices within the next 10 years

By which year (EOY) 80% of the world population will live in countries that completely ban single use plastic bags?

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