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Prediction markets for Grammys

Will @levifinkelstein become a platinum selling hip hop artist or win a grammy for his rap music?

Oct 3, 12:21 PMDec 30, 10:59 PM

2.34%chance

246796

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6883

556

Will the first AI-generated song win a major music award (like a Grammy, MTV VMA, or similar) by the end of 2026?

Nov 17, 2:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 PM

31.74%chance

306234

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14661

6824

Who will win Album of the Year at the 2026 Grammy Awards?

Feb 3, 2:15 AMMar 1, 4:59 AM

135335

OptionProbability

Lady Gaga - Mayhem

YE - Bully

Lana Del Rey - The Right Person Will Stay

Conan Gray - Wishbone

32

3

3

2

Will AI-generated content be nominated for a major award (like the Oscars or Grammys) by the end of 2025

Jul 8, 5:44 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4.48%chance

294758

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4829

423

Song of the Year at the 2026 Grammy Awards?

Nov 10, 11:12 AMFeb 9, 5:59 AM

161305

OptionProbability

Golden - Hunter/x

Luther - Kendrick Lamar & SZA

Wildflower - Billie Eilish

Abracadabra - Lady Gaga

Anxiety - Doechii

APT. - Rosé & Bruno Mars

DtMF - Bad Bunny

Manchild - Sabrina Carpenter

40

33

11

9

2

2

2

2

Who will win Album of the Year at the 2026 Grammy Awards?

Nov 8, 7:49 PMFeb 1, 11:30 PM

11756

OptionProbability

Bad Bunny — DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS

Lady Gaga — MAYHEM

Kendrick Lamar — GNX

Tyler, the Creator — Chromakopia

Sabrina Carpenter — Man’s Best Friend

Leon Thomas — MUTT

Clipse, Pusha T & Malice — Let God Sort Em Out

Justin Bieber — SWAG

32

29

23

8

3

3

2

1

Will an AI-generated song receive a Grammy by 2028?

Sep 21, 3:18 AMMar 1, 4:59 AM

17.5%chance

10308

OptionVotes

YES

NO

331

139

Will AI-generated content be nominated for a major award (like the Oscars or Grammys) by the end of 2026

Jul 8, 7:04 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

11.42%chance

8232

OptionVotes

YES

NO

279

36

Will an AI-generated song be Grammy nominated by 2028?

Sep 21, 3:21 AMMar 1, 4:59 AM

15.16%chance

5143

OptionVotes

YES

NO

245

60

Best New Artist at the 2026 Grammy Awards?

Nov 17, 11:03 AMFeb 10, 5:59 AM

225

OptionProbability

Olivia Dean

Addison Rae

Katseye

The Marias

Sombr

Leon Thomas

Alex Warren

Lola Young

36

12

9

9

9

9

9

9

Will an AI generated song win a Grammy before 2050?

Jun 7, 4:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.9%chance

321

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10021

9979

Will Hatsune Miku or Sasaki Wataru or Crypton Future win a Grammy by the end of 2028?

May 2, 5:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

46.73%chance

17

OptionVotes

YES

NO

107

94

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