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Prediction markets for Grammys

Will the first AI-generated song win a major music award (like a Grammy, MTV VMA, or similar) by the end of 2026?

Nov 17, 2:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 PM

8.29%chance

5830374

OptionVotes

YES

NO

33270

3010

Best Album at 2027 Grammy Award ceremony?

Apr 13, 12:29 PMFeb 1, 11:59 PM

1615433

OptionProbability

Olivia Rodrigo, You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love

Rosalia, Lux

Olivia Dean, The Art of Loving

Noah Kahan, The Great Divide

Phoebe Bridgers, Lost Weekend

Madonna, Confessions II

Ella Langley, Dandelion

Taylor Swift, The Life of a Showgirl

Other

Brandi Carlisle, Returning To Myself

Bruno Mars, The Romantic

Justin Bieber, Swag II

Rob Thomas, All Night Days

Cardi B, Am I the Drama?

Doja Cat, Vie

Tame Impala, Deadbeat

21 Savage, What Happened to the Streets?

Snow tha Product, Before I Crash Out

NOFX, A to H

Alter Bridge, Alter Bridge

ASAP Rocky, Don't Be Dumb

Nick Jonas, Sunday Best

Charli XCX, Wuthering Heights

Mumford & Sons, Prizefighter

Gorillaz, The Mountain

Hillary Duff, Luck. . . Or Something

Yungblud, Idols II

BLACKPINK, DEADLINE

BTS, Arirang

Nine Inch Nails, Nine Inch Noize

Demi Lovato, It's Not That Deep

Foo Fighters, Your Favorite Toy

Jason Aldean, Songs About Us

Gracie Abrams, Daughter from Hell

Ariana Grande, Petal

Flea, Honora

Harry Styles, Kiss All the Time. Disco, Occasionally

Drake, Iceman

Evanescence, Sanctuary

Afroman, Freedom of Speech

M.I.A., M.I.7.

Goose, Big Modern!

Hayley Kiyoko, Girls like Girls

The Warning, Everything's Falling

Paul McCartney, The Boys of Dungeon Lane

Raye, This Music May Contain Hope

47

18

13

6

6

4

2

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Grammy nominees: Song of the Year

Oct 3, 8:28 AMNov 1, 3:00 PM

74250

OptionProbability

Man I Need - Olivia Dean

the cure - Olivia Rodrigo

Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley

I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift

WHERE IS MY HUSBAND! - Raye

hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande

Aperture - Harry Styles

I Just Might - Bruno Mars

drop dead - Olivia Rodrigo

The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift

So Easy (To Fall In Love) - Olivia Dean

92

88

87

86

81

35

27

3

2

1

1

Will an AI generated song win a Grammy before 2050?

Jun 7, 4:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50.52%chance

7401

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10134

9925

Will an AI-generated song receive a Grammy by 2028?

Sep 21, 3:18 AMMar 1, 4:59 AM

13.28%chance

12388

OptionVotes

YES

NO

411

124

Will AI-generated content be nominated for a major award (like the Oscars or Grammys) by the end of 2026

Jul 8, 7:04 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3.96%chance

13324

OptionVotes

YES

NO

492

20

Will a primarily AI-generated work be nominated for a major entertainment award (Emmy, Grammy, Oscar, Tony) in 2026?

Dec 21, 9:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.78%chance

6208

OptionVotes

YES

NO

274

37

Will an AI-generated song be Grammy nominated by 2028?

Sep 21, 3:21 AMMar 1, 4:59 AM

15.55%chance

7205

OptionVotes

YES

NO

241

60

Will Olivia Rodrigo’s you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love win Album of the Year at the 2027 Grammys?

Oct 23, 5:11 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

18.48%chance

5112

OptionVotes

YES

NO

210

48

Will AI-generated music receive a Grammy nomination by end of 2028?

Mar 28, 4:16 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM

7.92%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

95

Will Miss Tutti and the Fruity band be nominated for a Grammy by the end of 2030?

Aug 4, 3:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.78%chance

534

OptionVotes

YES

NO

128

78

Will Hatsune Miku or Sasaki Wataru or Crypton Future win a Grammy by the end of 2028?

May 2, 5:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

46.73%chance

17

OptionVotes

YES

NO

107

94

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