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Prediction markets for Grants Pass

Will Benjamin Netanyahu still be Prime Minister at the end of 2026?

Feb 13, 5:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61.62%chance

335596

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1267

789

Which Russian regions will hold referendums and declare independence from the Russian Federation by 2040?

Oct 17, 10:23 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

113151

OptionProbability

Tuva

Ingria

Chechnya (Ichkeria)

Zaporozhye (Zaporizhzhia) Oblast

Kaliningrad (Königsberg)

Bashkortostan

Tatarstan

Udmurtia

Chuvashia

Sakha (Yakutia)

Karelia

Dagestan

Buryatia

50

34

16

15

10

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

Will a Mythos-tier-at-cybersecurity open-source model be released before end of 2027?

Jul 24, 3:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

75.09%chance

13885

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1795

255

Will the US Congress authorize the issue of letters of marque and reprisal before 2050?

Apr 2, 3:23 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

28.04%chance

9562

OptionVotes

YES

NO

314

227

will any AI become a citizen of any internationally recognized country before 2030?

Jun 2, 9:04 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

22.84%chance

14521

OptionVotes

NO

YES

998

947

Will the US recognize AI property rights under federal law before 2040?

Nov 25, 9:20 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

37.54%chance

5431

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1290

775

Will the “Stop climate shakedowns act” pass by the end of 2026?

Jun 29, 6:40 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.31%chance

3297

OptionVotes

YES

NO

267

37

Any province legalizes psilocybin for recreational use?

Feb 1, 11:40 AMDec 17, 11:59 PM

9.62%chance

4145

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1040

996

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