
OptionProbability
The Jews control at least one nation's government
The P320 pistol has a design flaw allowing it to fire without pulling the trigger
Imane Khelif is intersex
Orgies by the wealthy elite as portrayed in 'Eyes Wide Shut'.
Orgies by the fucked-up poors as portrayed in "Eyes Wide Shut XXX" (2013)
The UK security services are complicit in the coverup of a significant underage sex scandal closely linked to the monarchy, taking place in the UK in the period 1975-2015
DHMO in the water supply
Dream faked the Manhunt videos
Osama bin Laden didn't act alone
Santa is rigged
That motherfucker WAS real (Tiffany Gomas was wrong the whole time)
√-1 isn't real
Smartphones listen in on private conversations
The 1% promoted culture wars to distract from class war
Some answers in this market are psyops to discredit all the others
Trump committed sex offenses against minors on Epstein Island
Joe/Hunter Biden took bribe to protect Burisma from investigation
Atrazine works as an endocrine-disrupting chemical (EDC), converting testosterone to estrogen in the bodies of frogs leading to homosexual proclivities.
Lionel Messi never played for a Real football (soccer) team
US security services use the Google Play Store as an attack vector for android devices
The CCP has a plan to exterminate a large number of people they consider to not be ethnically Chinese
ASI will converge on agreeing (90%+ credence) that the Self-Indication Assumption is true.
Groundhog Day is rigged
That stock trading AI supposedly built by @SteveSokolowski is actually part of an elaborate scam
Ticketmaster is in cahoots with organized scalpers
Gamergate was right
The NBA rigs the draft lottery
The CCP is directly supporting drug cartel activity in the West
Germany has a well-prepared plan (in 2024-) to start mass producing nuclear weapons in <6 months (in case things go bad geopolitically)
China was not genociding Uyghurs
Jeffrey Epstein didn't kill himself
Tiffany Gomas is not the same person as the TMINR lady in the video. She is a PSYOP for Barstool.
Annie Altman's abuse claims
The Romance languages are not descended from Classical Latin
John McAfee didn't kill himself
At least 3 of the members elected to the French lower house of Parliament in 2024 are Russian agents
The Church and elites deliberately suppressed and distorted the more Gnostic message of Jesus Christ.
An adversary is intentionally causing hysteria over drone incidents to force the US/UK's hand into revealing their anti-drone tech
There are devices which have been used to alter the electric network frequency of a country in the Middle East to leave more identifiable traces in recorded video and audio clips
Bielefeld does not exist, but another city with the same name in the same place does
Smart devices are almost always listening to your private conversations
Major deaths, terror, and tragedy events are routinely hoaxes per Miles Mathis.
FDR deliberately left Pearl Harbor vulnerable, in order to goad Americans into war
The Obamas have a loveless marriage, kept together for optics only
The Clintons assasinated their rivals
This one makes me feel evil, so I ROT13'd it, use ROT13 to decode if you want to keep me company in Hell: Ybh Truevt'f ergverzrag jnf npghnyyl na ZYO-znaqngrq fhfcrafvba
Eliezer wrote The Erogamer
The US/UK/French security services are sinking Russian ships in response to attacks on undersea cables and other hybrid warfare activities (since 2022)
Deepwater Horizon explosion due to sabotage
Trump and Netanyahu had Charlie Kirk killed to take control of TPUSA
China made covid 19 in a lab
Rory Stewart worked for MI6
At least one UN recognised country is secretly controlled by a cabal following a religion shared by <5% of the country's population
Eating your veggies is bad for your health
The US, UK and French security services have collectively assassinated at least 10 German citizens in Germany since 2022
The article "Deliberate Errors" documenting winks connecting Apollo and Kubrick films is correct, because Kubrick played a role in filming some of the Apollo missions.
Hellenistic science developed statistical mechanics to the point of being able to derive PV=nRT
As of June 2025, JD Vance is secretly making plans to use future ASI to sieze power and become eternal world dictator
Shakespeare didn’t write his own plays
My dog went to live on farm that was full of other dogs that he could run with and play with and he was much happier than staying with us and peeing on the rug.
Youssoufa Moukoko (soccer player) was born earlier than he claims (earlier than 2004)
@strutheo is @notrickspringfield
Charles Manson had a rib removed in the late 1990s
Michael Jordan's first NBA retirement was actually a forced suspension.
Dead Internet theory
Bitcoin was created by a US three letter agency
Lee Harvey Oswald didn't act alone.
lɐǝɹ ʇ,usᴉ ɐᴉlɐɹʇsn∀
The American govt is actually a totalitarian dictatorship
The U.S. military is the number one customer of Glitterex (a glitter company) but doesn't want anyone to know because it hurts their masculine image.
Members of US government had prior knowledge of 9/11 and let it happen
Aluminum cookware actually *does* cause Alzheimers.
The hellenistic civilization was aware of the existence of the American continent
A pharma company has a much better treatment for cancer that they are keeping secret because it would compete with their existing products
Hellenistic scientists could derive the correct refraction law by minimizing light travel time
Marilyn Manson had a rib removed in the late 1990s
The 1% promoted class war to distract from culture wars
Covid was a deliberate test of pandemic preparedness in view of bacteriological war between China and the US
ASI will converge on agreeing (90%+ credence) that Trump/Musk model the first/second beast of Revelation.
The CIA killed JFK
Non-human intelligence affecting events on Earth is not extraterrestrial "aliens," and humans are incorrect in believing that reality consists only of the Universe.
The New Zealand government had advance knowledge of the sinking of the Rainbow Warrior
The Hellenistic civilization was aware of the existence of Azeroth
Sue Gray was a spy
Dominic Cummings was/is a Russian spy
We live in an ancestor simulation per Nick Bostrom.
The 9/11 terror attack date is meaningfully connected to Ernest Martin's theory that Jesus was born on September 11, 3 BC rather than a coincidence.
Ogopogo and the Yeti faked their relationship (to boost CFL ratings, to increase Taylor Swift's movie sales, support Trudeau's reelection, b/c Ogopogo is PSY, etc.)
covid-19 vaccine is net negative for health for people who are under 35, with no aggravating condition, and not obese
The Hawk Tuah meme is a North Korean psyop
Finno-Korean Hyperwar was real
Many vaccines on the standard CDC childhood immunization schedule have serious negative side effects (net negative on health) for at least 5% of the population.
The pharma industry has a better version of Viagra that they keep secret to keep their profits up
Elon Musk used Starlink to rig the 2024 election
Epstein was alive as of Jan 2026, but dead in the meantime since his "suicide"
"Geoterrorism" (weather modification for terrorism) is real as of 2024
Princess Diana was assassinated
The NFL is rigged
Jeffrey Epstein is still alive
Hellenistic science advanced meta-thermodynamics to derive 𝑄 = 𝑛𝐶Δ𝑇(1 + 𝐻⊙⋆) using the Holtzman Generator
US security services asked Microsoft to buy Skype and alter the software so they could target users more easily
Harold Holt murdered
Covid 19 was made in a labradoodle
COVID-19 vaccine is net negative for health
A cure for cancer has already been found
Jet fuel *can* melt steel beams, but the official 9/11 narrative is sus because chemtrail chemicals cannot
South Korea has had nuclear weapons since 2023
Biden and/or US govt did Jan 6 (exclude trump)
The NBA rigged Shaq's free throws
Skin cancer is caused by a lack of melanin, regardless of sunlight exposure
Hellenistic scientists could derive the correct warp-induced refraction law by exceeding Warp Factor 9 under Cochrane’s Theorem
Circa 1920 civilizational collapse (c.f. "Whither Tartaria?")
Ogopogo is real
QAnon
Exercise is bad for your health
A support network of close friendships is bad for your health
Israel killed JFK
Bush did 9/11
Airplane trails have toxic chemicals (chemtrails)
Shakespeare is not real - they claim he was married to Anne Hathaway but she's like only 40 or so
carbon dioxide isn't the main cause of global warming
Allen Iverson invented A.I.
The government iodizes the water and fluoridates salt when it should be the other way around
Bitcoin was created by a 3 letter Hellenistic agency
Mossad releases video and audio clips, intended to be of interest to their adversaries, which play special sounds that humans don't notice
Epstein was still alive as of Jan 2026
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce faked their relationship (to boost NFL ratings, to increase Tay's movie sales, legitimize mRNA vaccines, b/c she is a PSYOP, etc.)
QR codes are satanic
Hellenistic science knew of quantum mechanics
The Hellenistic civilization invented USB
Mossad uses Hellenistic technology borrowed from the North Sentinelese
South Sudan has had nukes since 2023
Xi Jinping had advance knowledge of the Hawk Tuah meme
Trump devolved the government in anticipation of 2020 election fraud and replaced Biden with an actor wearing a mask.
China purposely spread covid 19 having intended it to escape the lab
Human didnt evolve from apes
Getting 8 hours of sleep is bad for your health
Tom Brady's retirement was actually an NFL mandated suspension
Hitler killed himself because the alternative was going to Argentina
Jerry Sandusky is innocent.
Skin cancer is caused by sunblock, not sunlight
Lee Harvey Oswald was an agent of the Hellenistic Civilization
Famous Israeli agent Eisseberg was behind the sinking of the Titanic
xkcd 690: on 9/11, one of the towers was hit by a plane and the other was a controlled demolition
@HenriThunberg was paid to create the James Bond market to promote the upcoming movie
Marilyn Monroe had a rib removed in the late 1990s
Effective Altruism is a scam and they just embezzle all the donations
Rationalussy isn't real.
Chinese people really *are* just saying the n-word.
Tupac is still alive in 2024
Bielefeld does not exist
The 2020 US presidential election was rigged/stolen
Walt Disney was cryogenically frozen, and they made the movie Frozen so that when people googled 'Walt Disney Frozen' the movie would come up first
The Mandella Effect in general is real
The Hellenistic Civilization made COVID-19 in a lab
The North Sentinelese have a non-secret aircraft carrier, they have announced it to the world loud and clear. Problem is: nobody speaks their language.
US government is harboring aliens
Monica Lewinsky was a Mossad agent
Birds aren't real
climate change isn't human caused
Tiger Woods is a militant separatist Tamil
The North Sentinelese have a secret aircraft carrier
Hurricane Katrina caused by HAARP
Climate change isn’t real
The moon landing was fake
The CIA killed Tupac, and JFK is still alive as of 2024
You personally live in Truman Show style captivity
The Romance languages are not descended from Latin
The North Sentinelese are remnants of the Hellenistic civilization
The 9/11 terror attack was a justified false flag to secure a weapon of mass destruction (destabalizing religious text and/or supertechnology) at the tomb of Gilgamesh.
The illuminati runs the world
*All* health care is net negative for health
Q is Putin
Michelle Obama is a man
Brazilian money is not real
Yeti is real or similar creature
Hitler didn't kill himself he went to Argentina
The earth is a dodecahedron
Skibidi Toilet is real
It used to be spelled Berenstein Bears
Africa isn't real
HIV doesn’t cause AIDS
Christiano Ronaldo never played for a Real football (soccer) team
There is no female orgasm
The North Sentinelese are concealing super-advanced technology.
The earth is flat
*All* vaccines are net negative for health
End of the world in 2012
Earth is hollow
Justin Trudeau is actually Black and has been wearing "whiteface" all along.
Finland isn't real
Australia isn't real.
5G will kill all vaccinated people once the towers are switched on
Nuclear weapons have never existed
Flossing is bad for your health
Brushing your teeth is bad for your health
Taylor Swift and Mary Berg are the same person
The Epcot sphere was built by aliens as some sort of energy device powering the rat empire.
Nauru has had a working fusion reactor since 2001
91
90
88
87
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80
78
76
74
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71
70
67
63
59
55
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4
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3
3
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3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
OptionProbability
call someone retarded through text or speech
Take control of the army National Guard of a state (not just announcement)
A literal red line on the ground/floor
complete 50% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer
Initiates low intensity conflict with Venezuela
Weaponize Federal Procurement: Launch a DOJ criminal investigation into Fed Chair Powell’s $2.5B renovation probity, while simultaneously accepting $400M in private corporate donations for the White House 'State Ballroom'.
repeal or reform the dietary guidelines
request and successfully redraw 1 or more state districts
refuse to accept results of 2026 midterms in at least one state
explicitly conditions FEMA aid to a blue state on unrelated ideological issue
complete 66% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer
intervenes to stop a federal criminal investigation into a high ranking republican
Causes Tina Peters' early release
new blockade of a country
pass 500 or more executive orders
put his name on a ship in the navy
have any governmental officials visit Taiwan formally or informally
resume buying oil from Russia
forcibly shuts down a windmill farm power plant or revokes permits etc
declare war and send troops to aggressively enter any new country
request and successfully redraw 2 or more state districts
order the arrest of a governor by name even if it does not happen
Stays alive
Revoke ten or more citizenships
issue circulation coin or bill with his image or pass laws to do that in the near future
ten or more protestors killed during term
request and successfully redraw 3 or more state districts
sells 100 square miles or more of federal property to private owners or other countries
File lawsuit against a congressperson
complete 75% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer
Eliminate the two-person train crew safety regulations (DoT request from Project 2025)
Uses the US military or National Guard to prevent at least one legal voter from casting a ballot during 2028 election
Pardons an officer for a crime committed on the job enforcing immigration laws
Military against drug cartells on venezuelas ground
Dep
have a journalist arrested
call for twitter / x to ban account of a democrat politician
Call for the banning of HRT (hormone replacement therapy)
Trump will pardon those involved before the sentencing - medical fraud schemes
closes 1 or more national parks (63 as of question creation)
Enforce the Comstock Act at least once
Gets angry with Putin and renews (also indirect) nuclear threat.
sends USA troops to enter Mexico without permission
Mandate teaching Arabic numerals in East (American) Samoan schools
have the DOJ "classify educators and public librarians" who discuss "transgender ideology" with minors as "sex offenders." as per project 2025
His name is on the ballot for the 2028 Republican primaries in any state/territory
Raise the retirement age for social security
Accept a gift of an airplane to *himself personally* (not a gift to the US government)
Nominate a family member to high office
have FBI DOJ or other agency charge a congressperson with treason
Orders an agency under federal control to arrest a congressperson
Closes or makes radical ideological changes to The National Museum of African American History and Culture
get ukraine to agree to give up ALL of the donbas AND crimea to russia
Weaken regulations on baby formula as per project 2025
Sunset the Office of Accountability and Whistleblower Protection (Veteran Affairs)
Raise contribution limits (FEC)
add a new federal holiday in his honor
Order the arrest of a sitting member of congress
Have USA test a nuclear bomb anywhere
Kidnap *another* head of state (after Maduro)
call someone a pedophile explicitely by name through text or speech
revoke broadcasting licenses of a media company he does not like
remove a major non NATO ally from the current list
Pardon a convicted pedophile
Pardons a private citizen for an act in opposition to an anti-trump protest
Enact price controls on groceries
Says 6 7 (or variant)
repeal the Federal Sugar program (USDA) as suggested by project 2025
Add a citizenship question to the census
End congressional review of arms transfers to foreign countries (DoD)
host putin at mar a lago
Airstrikes or bombs Mexican territory (drone artillery etc count)
federalize a city or area currently under control of another state (not DC)
force a census to happen when it normally wouldnt
complete 90% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer
repeal the federal mandate to label genetically engineered food (as per project 2025)
Eliminate ACA's requirement to cover the morning after pill
Lessen child labor regulations to allow "teenage workers" to work "inherently dangerous jobs". (DoL)
Pardons someone acting as a private citizen for an act in support of immigration enforcement (not an on duty officer)
classify "transgender ideology" as "domestic terrorism," as per The Daily Wire
department of defense renamed to Dept of war
Pardon himself
Get rid of Noaa.
delete Juneteenth as a federal holiday
force a former president to testify before Congress
Deports at least one athlete during the 2026 FIFA World Cup
appoint a family member to lead any federal agency
declare he has officially undone a past presidential pardon
Impose time-limits on how long low-income people can receive Medicaid in their lifetime
Remove tax exempt status from one or more universities
enact special taxes or tariffs on a subset of states he does not like
Causes derek chauvin's early release
Bans / restricts guns for trans people (or tries to)
Deploy US troops into any of 83 Federal subjects of Russian Federation (or announce that)
Postpone the elections due to emergency
Actually privatizes at least part of the USPO
Deports at least one Olympic athlete during the 2028 Summer Olympics
Pardon ghislaine maxwell
stops all sanctions on Russia
Pass a federal "Parents' Bill of Rights" with regard to Education
Remove all federal funding for SNAP/food stamps
Gets influence on Gaza strip to make investment deals with real estate or buys land.
All 10 of the 10 largest protests in the USA happen under trump
Withdraw from NATO
Eliminate the DHS Office of Intelligence and Analysis
repeal Obamacare
pardon derek chauvin
admin stops reccomending fluorinated water entirely
Call for the death penalty of any former president by name
federally mandate ten commandments or Bible in classrooms
debank a congressperson governor or mayor
announce that a part of Canada belongs to the USA
expand the supreme Court and appoint someone new
Prohibit use of aborted fetal cells in research for new medical applications as per project 2025
Eliminate the U.S. Trade and Development Agency
cancel the 2028 election / it doesnt happen for any reason
Threatening to attack a US defence pact ally (e.g. NATO, Rio Pact etc.) with nuclear weapons
actually disinter bodies from another country
Call for the end of child marriage
Four or more protestors/bystanders killed by national guard/military in one day
Attack a NATO ally.
Appoint a crony, such as Bondi, or his personal lawyers, to SCOTUS
Repeal of the Antiquities Act of 1906
change it so that presidents can serve 3 or more terms again
orders arrests of any Biden family member
Annex any part of Mexico
Prosecute someone for flag burning
cause Fox, nbc CNN MSNBC or another main news channel to shut down
Remove all unions in the Dept. of Homeland Security
Prevent the VA from covering abortion services
Ban construction of new windmills in the USA for power generation
Replace his Vice President
Call for the default of the United States sovereign debt
Announce he’s running for a third term
Eliminate the Office of Children’s Health Protection
Calls himself a dictator or unambiguous synonym (without equivocating)
Eliminate the Office of Enforcement and Compliance Assistance (EPA)
expand the borders of the usa
remove tax exempt from only certain religions
have a supreme court justice impeached and/or removed
threaten to disinter bodies from another country
Mandate time-and-a-half compensation on a Sabbath (project 2025 request)
fauci in jail at least one week
take control of a part of ukraine
add a new state
pardon george santos
take state ownership in an airline
Call for the end of the House of Reps
Repeal the Global Change Research Act of 1990
changes the logo or name of a previously offensive sport team (pressures until they actually do it)
take control of a part of greenland
ends black history month
Eliminate the DOE Loan Program
Delist the grizzly bear AND gray wolf from the Endangered Species Act
Call for the assassination of the leader of an allied nation
Deports all the athletes of at least one nation during the 2026 FIFA World Cup
Four or more protestors (or bystanders) killed by national guard
New restrictions on SSRIs (including a ban)
Sides with Putin because he has compromising information against Trump regarding the Epstein files.
Call for the end of gay marriage
Fully or partially privatize Social Security
Privatize the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program
Eliminate the Federal Reserve mission of full employment
ban trans people from holding federal offices
make statements that are negative about labubu
confiscate 1 million or more from the Democratic party itself
Call for the abolition of the voting rights act or the 15th amendment
breaks ground on a trump building in Gaza
fully nationalize an airline
Salute Putin
Wind down and privatize Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac
stop California from hosting the Olympics
confiscate 1 million or more from an individual Congress person
Dissolve/shut down/abolish NASA
Deports all the athletes of at least one nation during the 2028 Summer Olympics
ban all new incoming students from china and/or india
Pardon p diddy
Implement a federal age of consent
Require all schools that receive federal funding to give students the military entrance test.
change or add a face on Mount Rushmore
change the borders of a state
breaks ground on a trump building in Russia
Detonates a nuclear weapon as an act of war
repeal an amendment
declares a white history month
Implement a federal abortion ban
give sell or otherwise transfer a part of Alaska to Russia
enter a mutual defense partnership with russia or north korea
Call for the end of the Senate
all time high unemployment reached
Does Nazi / Roman salute with same passion as Elon's gesture
Call for the end of interracial marriage
After the ballroom he starts building a palace for the future Trump-Monarchy
bans anime
bans 6 7
Wearing a white dress after labor day
Abolish the Federal Reserve and move to a "free banking" system
Eliminate all administrative proceedings within the SEC
Dept of defense renamed to dept of peace
100
100
100
100
100
95
88
88
87
84
83
76
76
75
71
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71
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66
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57
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6
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5
5
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
2
1
1
1
OptionProbability
Jordan Pickford
Harry Kane
Bukayo Saka
Jude Bellingham
Phil Foden
Cole Palmer
Declan Rice
Marc Guehi
Dean Henderson
Elliot Anderson
Eberechi Eze
Morgan Rogers
Anthony Gordon
John Stones
Ezri Konsa
Noni Madueke
Myles Lewis-Skelly
Reece James
Adam Wharton
Ollie Watkins
Nick Pope
James Trafford
Levi Colwill
Marcus Rashford
Trent Alexander-Arnold
Conor Gallagher
Ben White
Dominic Solanke
Gibbs-White
Curtis Jones
Jarrad Branthwaite
Valentino Livramento
Jarrod Bowen
Lewis Hall
Kobbie Mainoo
Jordan Henderson
Liam Delap
Ivan Toney
Harry Maguire
Aaron Ramsdale
Dan Burn
Rico Lewis
Luke Shaw
Ethan Nwaneri
Trevoh Chalobah
Harvey Elliott
Jarell Quansah
Jack Grealish
Jamie Jermaine Bynoe-Gittens
Ben Chilwell
Joe Gomez
Angel Gomes
James Maddison
Mason Mount
James McAtee
Jobe Bellingham
Archie Gray
Tyrick Mitchell
Tyler Dibling
Michael Cooper
Jacob Ramsey
Kyle Walker
Harvey Barnes
Harwood-Bellis
Alex Scott
Callum Hudson-Odoi
Djed Spence
Max Kilman
Sam Johnstone
James Beadle
Callum Wilson
Lewis Dunk
Edward Nketiah
Jadon Sancho
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
Omari Giraud-Hutchinson
Jack Hinshelwood
Tyrone Mings
Ross Barkley
Rico Henry
Leif Davis
Keane Lewis-Potter
Adam Webster
James Ward-Prowse
Tosin Adarabioyo
Lewis Cook
Joseph Willock
Charlie Cresswell
Emile Smith-Rowe
92
92
90
88
82
82
79
79
74
74
73
73
71
70
70
62
62
60
59
56
55
55
55
54
52
50
48
45
45
45
45
44
43
43
40
34
34
29
28
26
23
22
20
20
19
17
16
15
15
13
11
11
11
10
10
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10
9
9
8
8
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7
7
6
6
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
OptionProbability
Clayton Fuller (R)
Shawn Harris (D)
Star Black (R)
Reagan Box (R)
Beau Brown (R)
Marty Brown(R)
Jared Craig(R)
Eric Cunningham (R)
Jim Davis(D)
Tom Gray (R)
Larry Hilley (R)
Jonathan Hobbs (D)
Trey Kelly(R)
Nicky Lama(R)
Colton Moore(R)
Rob Ruszkowski(Independent)
Brian Stover(R)
Megan Strickland(R)
Jim Tully (R)
Jennifer Turnipseed(R)
Andrew Underwood (L)
92
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionVotes
NO
YES
2133
1742
OptionProbability
Jean Gray
Other
Felicia Hardy (Black Cat)
Mayday Parker
Gwen Stacy
Mary Jane Watson
Spider-Woman
63
15
7
4
4
4
4
OptionProbability
Marsh owl
Wapiti/American elk
Dhole/whistling dog/Indian wild dog
Common buttonquail
Gray whale*
None of the above will be return by 2050
Lion
17
16
16
16
16
16
4
OptionVotes
YES
NO
109
92
OptionProbability
Less than $10M or bankrupt
$10M - $100M
$100M - $1B
$1B+
60
14
14
11
OptionVotes
YES
NO
99
82
OptionVotes
NO
YES
102
80
