
OptionProbability
The Jews control at least one nation's government
Orgies by the wealthy elite as portrayed in 'Eyes Wide Shut'.
The P320 pistol has a design flaw allowing it to fire without pulling the trigger
Imane Khelif is intersex
Orgies by the fucked-up poors as portrayed in "Eyes Wide Shut XXX" (2013)
Dream faked the Manhunt videos
DHMO in the water supply
Osama bin Laden didn't act alone
The 1% promoted culture wars to distract from class war
That motherfucker WAS real (Tiffany Gomas was wrong the whole time)
Ticketmaster is in cahoots with organized scalpers
√-1 isn't real
Smartphones listen in on private conversations
US security services use the Google Play Store as an attack vector for android devices
Santa is rigged
The UK security services are complicit in the coverup of a significant underage sex scandal closely linked to the monarchy, taking place in the UK in the period 1975-2015
Lionel Messi never played for a Real football (soccer) team
Atrazine works as an endocrine-disrupting chemical (EDC), converting testosterone to estrogen in the bodies of frogs leading to homosexual proclivities.
ASI will converge on agreeing (90%+ credence) that the Self-Indication Assumption is true.
Smart devices are almost always listening to your private conversations
Joe/Hunter Biden took bribe to protect Burisma from investigation
Annie Altman's abuse claims
The NBA rigs the draft lottery
That stock trading AI supposedly built by @SteveSokolowski is actually part of an elaborate scam
Major deaths, terror, and tragedy events are routinely hoaxes per Miles Mathis.
The CCP has a plan to exterminate a large number of people they consider to not be ethnically Chinese
Trump committed sex offenses against minors on Epstein Island
Gamergate was right
Dead Internet theory
Groundhog Day is rigged
Some answers in this market are psyops to discredit all the others
The CCP is directly supporting drug cartel activity in the West
Jeffrey Epstein didn't kill himself
Tiffany Gomas is not the same person as the TMINR lady in the video. She is a PSYOP for Barstool.
John McAfee didn't kill himself
An adversary is intentionally causing hysteria over drone incidents to force the US/UK's hand into revealing their anti-drone tech
@strutheo is @notrickspringfield
There are devices which have been used to alter the electric network frequency of a country in the Middle East to leave more identifiable traces in recorded video and audio clips
The U.S. military is the number one customer of Glitterex (a glitter company) but doesn't want anyone to know because it hurts their masculine image.
Germany has a well-prepared plan (in 2024-) to start mass producing nuclear weapons in <6 months (in case things go bad geopolitically)
At least 3 of the members elected to the French lower house of Parliament in 2024 are Russian agents
The Obamas have a loveless marriage, kept together for optics only
Bielefeld does not exist, but another city with the same name in the same place does
This one makes me feel evil, so I ROT13'd it, use ROT13 to decode if you want to keep me company in Hell: Ybh Truevt'f ergverzrag jnf npghnyyl na ZYO-znaqngrq fhfcrafvba
Eliezer wrote The Erogamer
The US/UK/French security services are sinking Russian ships in response to attacks on undersea cables and other hybrid warfare activities (since 2022)
Deepwater Horizon explosion due to sabotage
China made covid 19 in a lab
Rory Stewart worked for MI6
At least one UN recognised country is secretly controlled by a cabal following a religion shared by <5% of the country's population
The US, UK and French security services have collectively assassinated at least 10 German citizens in Germany since 2022
Michael Jordan's first NBA retirement was actually a forced suspension.
Eating your veggies is bad for your health
Covid was a deliberate test of pandemic preparedness in view of bacteriological war between China and the US
FDR deliberately left Pearl Harbor vulnerable, in order to goad Americans into war
The article "Deliberate Errors" documenting winks connecting Apollo and Kubrick films is correct, because Kubrick played a role in filming some of the Apollo missions.
The Romance languages are not descended from Classical Latin
The Church and elites deliberately suppressed and distorted the more Gnostic message of Jesus Christ.
Shakespeare didn’t write his own plays
The American govt is actually a totalitarian dictatorship
Youssoufa Moukoko (soccer player) was born earlier than he claims (earlier than 2004)
The Clintons assasinated their rivals
China was not genociding Uyghurs
A pharma company has a much better treatment for cancer that they are keeping secret because it would compete with their existing products
Bitcoin was created by a US three letter agency
My dog went to live on farm that was full of other dogs that he could run with and play with and he was much happier than staying with us and peeing on the rug.
lɐǝɹ ʇ,usᴉ ɐᴉlɐɹʇsn∀
Many vaccines on the standard CDC childhood immunization schedule have serious negative side effects (net negative on health) for at least 5% of the population.
Aluminum cookware actually *does* cause Alzheimers.
Hellenistic scientists could derive the correct refraction law by minimizing light travel time
The CIA killed JFK
Marilyn Manson had a rib removed in the late 1990s
Lee Harvey Oswald didn't act alone.
Members of US government had prior knowledge of 9/11 and let it happen
ASI will converge on agreeing (90%+ credence) that Trump/Musk model the first/second beast of Revelation.
Non-human intelligence affecting events on Earth is not extraterrestrial "aliens," and humans are incorrect in believing that reality consists only of the Universe.
Hellenistic science developed statistical mechanics to the point of being able to derive PV=nRT
The Hellenistic civilization was aware of the existence of Azeroth
Sue Gray was a spy
Dominic Cummings was/is a Russian spy
We live in an ancestor simulation per Nick Bostrom.
A cure for cancer has already been found
covid-19 vaccine is net negative for health for people who are under 35, with no aggravating condition, and not obese
The 1% promoted class war to distract from culture wars
As of June 2025, JD Vance is secretly making plans to use future ASI to sieze power and become eternal world dictator
The 9/11 terror attack date is meaningfully connected to Ernest Martin's theory that Jesus was born on September 11, 3 BC rather than a coincidence.
Ogopogo and the Yeti faked their relationship (to boost CFL ratings, to increase Taylor Swift's movie sales, support Trudeau's reelection, b/c Ogopogo is PSY, etc.)
The Hawk Tuah meme is a North Korean psyop
The hellenistic civilization was aware of the existence of the American continent
The pharma industry has a better version of Viagra that they keep secret to keep their profits up
Finno-Korean Hyperwar was real
Bush did 9/11
"Geoterrorism" (weather modification for terrorism) is real as of 2024
Israel killed JFK
The New Zealand government had advance knowledge of the sinking of the Rainbow Warrior
Hellenistic science advanced meta-thermodynamics to derive 𝑄 = 𝑛𝐶Δ𝑇(1 + 𝐻⊙⋆) using the Holtzman Generator
US security services asked Microsoft to buy Skype and alter the software so they could target users more easily
Elon Musk used Starlink to rig the 2024 election
Circa 1920 civilizational collapse (c.f. "Whither Tartaria?")
Covid 19 was made in a labradoodle
Trump and Netanyahu had Charlie Kirk killed to take control of TPUSA
Biden and/or US govt did Jan 6 (exclude trump)
The NBA rigged Shaq's free throws
Jet fuel *can* melt steel beams, but the official 9/11 narrative is sus because chemtrail chemicals cannot
The NFL is rigged
South Korea has had nuclear weapons since 2023
Harold Holt murdered
COVID-19 vaccine is net negative for health
Skin cancer is caused by a lack of melanin, regardless of sunlight exposure
Hellenistic scientists could derive the correct warp-induced refraction law by exceeding Warp Factor 9 under Cochrane’s Theorem
Ogopogo is real
QAnon
Princess Diana was assassinated
A support network of close friendships is bad for your health
Trump devolved the government in anticipation of 2020 election fraud and replaced Biden with an actor wearing a mask.
Shakespeare is not real - they claim he was married to Anne Hathaway but she's like only 40 or so
Human didnt evolve from apes
Exercise is bad for your health
Bitcoin was created by a 3 letter Hellenistic agency
Airplane trails have toxic chemicals (chemtrails)
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce faked their relationship (to boost NFL ratings, to increase Tay's movie sales, legitimize mRNA vaccines, b/c she is a PSYOP, etc.)
carbon dioxide isn't the main cause of global warming
Allen Iverson invented A.I.
The government iodizes the water and fluoridates salt when it should be the other way around
QR codes are satanic
Mossad releases video and audio clips, intended to be of interest to their adversaries, which play special sounds that humans don't notice
Mossad uses Hellenistic technology borrowed from the North Sentinelese
Xi Jinping had advance knowledge of the Hawk Tuah meme
China purposely spread covid 19 having intended it to escape the lab
Charles Manson had a rib removed in the late 1990s
Getting 8 hours of sleep is bad for your health
Tom Brady's retirement was actually an NFL mandated suspension
Hitler killed himself because the alternative was going to Argentina
Jerry Sandusky is innocent.
Skin cancer is caused by sunblock, not sunlight
Hellenistic science knew of quantum mechanics
Lee Harvey Oswald was an agent of the Hellenistic Civilization
South Sudan has had nukes since 2023
Famous Israeli agent Eisseberg was behind the sinking of the Titanic
xkcd 690: on 9/11, one of the towers was hit by a plane and the other was a controlled demolition
@HenriThunberg was paid to create the James Bond market to promote the upcoming movie
Marilyn Monroe had a rib removed in the late 1990s
Rationalussy isn't real.
Chinese people really *are* just saying the n-word.
Tupac is still alive in 2024
Bielefeld does not exist
The 2020 US presidential election was rigged/stolen
Walt Disney was cryogenically frozen, and they made the movie Frozen so that when people googled 'Walt Disney Frozen' the movie would come up first
The Mandella Effect in general is real
The Hellenistic Civilization made COVID-19 in a lab
The North Sentinelese have a non-secret aircraft carrier, they have announced it to the world loud and clear. Problem is: nobody speaks their language.
US government is harboring aliens
Monica Lewinsky was a Mossad agent
Birds aren't real
climate change isn't human caused
Effective Altruism is a scam and they just embezzle all the donations
Jeffrey Epstein is still alive
Tiger Woods is a militant separatist Tamil
The North Sentinelese have a secret aircraft carrier
Hurricane Katrina caused by HAARP
Climate change isn’t real
The moon landing was fake
The CIA killed Tupac, and JFK is still alive as of 2024
You personally live in Truman Show style captivity
The Romance languages are not descended from Latin
The 9/11 terror attack was a justified false flag to secure a weapon of mass destruction (destabalizing religious text and/or supertechnology) at the tomb of Gilgamesh.
The illuminati runs the world
*All* health care is net negative for health
Michelle Obama is a man
Brazilian money is not real
The Hellenistic civilization invented USB
The North Sentinelese are remnants of the Hellenistic civilization
Yeti is real or similar creature
Hitler didn't kill himself he went to Argentina
The earth is a dodecahedron
Skibidi Toilet is real
Q is Putin
It used to be spelled Berenstein Bears
Africa isn't real
Christiano Ronaldo never played for a Real football (soccer) team
There is no female orgasm
The North Sentinelese are concealing super-advanced technology.
The earth is flat
*All* vaccines are net negative for health
End of the world in 2012
Earth is hollow
Justin Trudeau is actually Black and has been wearing "whiteface" all along.
Finland isn't real
Australia isn't real.
5G will kill all vaccinated people once the towers are switched on
Nuclear weapons have never existed
Flossing is bad for your health
Brushing your teeth is bad for your health
HIV doesn’t cause AIDS
Taylor Swift and Mary Berg are the same person
The Epcot sphere was built by aliens as some sort of energy device powering the rat empire.
Nauru has had a working fusion reactor since 2001
91
91
90
89
85
84
80
76
75
74
74
71
70
69
67
55
52
51
50
46
46
44
42
42
41
40
40
39
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32
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5
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5
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
OptionProbability
Take control of the army National Guard of a state (not just announcement)
pass 500 or more executive orders
A literal red line on the ground/floor
complete 50% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer
request and successfully redraw 1 or more state districts
Stays alive
Pardons an officer for a crime committed on the job enforcing immigration laws
repeal or reform the dietary guidelines
forcibly shuts down a windmill farm power plant or revokes permits etc
intervenes to stop a federal criminal investigation into a high ranking republican
explicitly conditions FEMA aid to a blue state on unrelated ideological issue
request and successfully redraw 2 or more state districts
admin stops reccomending fluorinated water entirely
request and successfully redraw 3 or more state districts
Gets angry with Putin and renews (also indirect) nuclear threat.
Revoke ten or more citizenships
Weaken regulations on baby formula as per project 2025
Gets influence on Gaza strip to make investment deals with real estate or buys land.
complete 66% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer
Pardon himself
File lawsuit against a congressperson
have a journalist arrested
have any governmental officials visit Taiwan formally or informally
refuse to accept results of 2026 midterms in at least one state
repeal the Federal Sugar program (USDA) as suggested by project 2025
Enforce the Comstock Act at least once
Eliminate the two-person train crew safety regulations (DoT request from Project 2025)
sells 100 square miles or more of federal property to private owners or other countries
new blockade of a country
Prosecute someone for flag burning
Pardon a convicted pedophile
Pardons a private citizen for an act in opposition to an anti-trump protest
complete 75% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer
order the arrest of a governor by name even if it does not happen
Military against drug cartells on venezuelas ground
resume buying oil from Russia
declare war and send troops to aggressively enter any new country
Sunset the Office of Accountability and Whistleblower Protection (Veteran Affairs)
call for twitter / x to ban account of a democrat politician
Four or more protestors (or bystanders) killed by national guard
call someone retarded through text or speech
closes 1 or more national parks (63 as of question creation)
Dep
Nominate a family member to high office
Order the arrest of a sitting member of congress
have the DOJ "classify educators and public librarians" who discuss "transgender ideology" with minors as "sex offenders." as per project 2025
revoke broadcasting licenses of a media company he does not like
put his name on a ship in the navy
Uses the US military or National Guard to prevent at least one legal voter from casting a ballot during 2028 election
remove a major non NATO ally from the current list
His name is on the ballot for the 2028 Republican primaries in any state/territory
Closes or makes radical ideological changes to The National Museum of African American History and Culture
Call for the banning of HRT (hormone replacement therapy)
force a census to happen when it normally wouldnt
Actually privatizes at least part of the USPO
repeal the federal mandate to label genetically engineered food (as per project 2025)
Announce he’s running for a third term
Eliminate the Office of Enforcement and Compliance Assistance (EPA)
Bans / restricts guns for trans people (or tries to)
Orders an agency under federal control to arrest a congressperson
ten or more protestors killed during term
Eliminate ACA's requirement to cover the morning after pill
Lessen child labor regulations to allow "teenage workers" to work "inherently dangerous jobs". (DoL)
Prohibit use of aborted fetal cells in research for new medical applications as per project 2025
Ban construction of new windmills in the USA for power generation
Causes Tina Peters' early release
classify "transgender ideology" as "domestic terrorism," as per The Daily Wire
Pass a federal "Parents' Bill of Rights" with regard to Education
Eliminate the DHS Office of Intelligence and Analysis
Remove all unions in the Dept. of Homeland Security
federalize a city or area currently under control of another state (not DC)
End congressional review of arms transfers to foreign countries (DoD)
Sides with Putin because he has compromising information against Trump regarding the Epstein files.
Privatize the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program
call someone a pedophile explicitely by name through text or speech
Remove all federal funding for SNAP/food stamps
Pardon p diddy
Add a citizenship question to the census
Threatening to attack a US defence pact ally (e.g. NATO, Rio Pact etc.) with nuclear weapons
Raise contribution limits (FEC)
take state ownership in an airline
Deports at least one Olympic athlete during the 2028 Summer Olympics
Pardons someone acting as a private citizen for an act in support of immigration enforcement (not an on duty officer)
department of defense renamed to Dept of war
Pardon ghislaine maxwell
Remove tax exempt status from one or more universities
Call for the death penalty of any former president by name
Prevent the VA from covering abortion services
remove tax exempt from only certain religions
get ukraine to agree to give up ALL of the donbas AND crimea to russia
Airstrikes or bombs Mexican territory (drone artillery etc count)
appoint a family member to lead any federal agency
enact special taxes or tariffs on a subset of states he does not like
Call for the assassination of the leader of an allied nation
Deports at least one athlete during the 2026 FIFA World Cup
ban all new incoming students from china and/or india
Calls himself a dictator or unambiguous synonym (without equivocating)
threaten to disinter bodies from another country
Repeal the Global Change Research Act of 1990
Eliminate the Office of Children’s Health Protection
Dissolve/shut down/abolish NASA
Have USA test a nuclear bomb anywhere
Impose time-limits on how long low-income people can receive Medicaid in their lifetime
sends USA troops to enter Mexico without permission
Eliminate all administrative proceedings within the SEC
confiscate 1 million or more from the Democratic party itself
Mandate time-and-a-half compensation on a Sabbath (project 2025 request)
add a new federal holiday in his honor
take control of a part of ukraine
debank a congressperson governor or mayor
announce that a part of Canada belongs to the USA
Eliminate the Federal Reserve mission of full employment
change it so that presidents can serve 3 or more terms again
Replace his Vice President
stops all sanctions on Russia
Eliminate the U.S. Trade and Development Agency
force a former president to testify before Congress
Accept a gift of an airplane to *himself personally* (not a gift to the US government)
expand the borders of the usa
breaks ground on a trump building in Russia
repeal Obamacare
New restrictions on SSRIs (including a ban)
actually disinter bodies from another country
Four or more protestors/bystanders killed by national guard/military in one day
Repeal of the Antiquities Act of 1906
Delist the grizzly bear AND gray wolf from the Endangered Species Act
orders arrests of any Biden family member
repeal an amendment
Enact price controls on groceries
expand the supreme Court and appoint someone new
declare he has officially undone a past presidential pardon
host putin at mar a lago
make statements that are negative about labubu
complete 90% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer
cause Fox, nbc CNN MSNBC or another main news channel to shut down
take control of a part of greenland
have a supreme court justice impeached and/or removed
declares a white history month
ends black history month
all time high unemployment reached
Require all schools that receive federal funding to give students the military entrance test.
confiscate 1 million or more from an individual Congress person
After the ballroom he starts building a palace for the future Trump-Monarchy
have FBI DOJ or other agency charge a congressperson with treason
changes the logo or name of a previously offensive sport team (pressures until they actually do it)
Call for the default of the United States sovereign debt
Implement a federal age of consent
Eliminate the DOE Loan Program
Does Nazi / Roman salute with same passion as Elon's gesture
stop California from hosting the Olympics
Call for the abolition of the voting rights act or the 15th amendment
Causes derek chauvin's early release
fully nationalize an airline
Says 6 7 (or variant)
delete Juneteenth as a federal holiday
issue circulation coin or bill with his image or pass laws to do that in the near future
pardon derek chauvin
Raise the retirement age for social security
breaks ground on a trump building in Gaza
Salute Putin
Withdraw from NATO
Wind down and privatize Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac
Deports all the athletes of at least one nation during the 2028 Summer Olympics
Deports all the athletes of at least one nation during the 2026 FIFA World Cup
Call for the end of child marriage
Call for the end of gay marriage
Fully or partially privatize Social Security
change or add a face on Mount Rushmore
Annex any part of Mexico
change the borders of a state
add a new state
Detonates a nuclear weapon as an act of war
federally mandate ten commandments or Bible in classrooms
Call for the end of the House of Reps
Call for the end of the Senate
give sell or otherwise transfer a part of Alaska to Russia
Abolish the Federal Reserve and move to a "free banking" system
cancel the 2028 election / it doesnt happen for any reason
fauci in jail at least one week
enter a mutual defense partnership with russia or north korea
ban trans people from holding federal offices
Implement a federal abortion ban
bans anime
Dept of defense renamed to dept of peace
Call for the end of interracial marriage
Wearing a white dress after labor day
bans 6 7
pardon george santos
100
99
95
94
88
88
86
85
82
82
81
81
77
77
75
74
74
74
74
73
72
71
71
68
67
67
66
65
65
64
63
63
62
60
60
59
58
55
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9
9
9
8
8
7
7
7
7
7
7
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
3
3
3
2
2
2
1
OptionProbability
Jordan Pickford
Harry Kane
Bukayo Saka
Declan Rice
Jude Bellingham
Cole Palmer
Phil Foden
Marc Guehi
Eberechi Eze
Ezri Konsa
Morgan Rogers
Dean Henderson
Trent Alexander-Arnold
Noni Madueke
Myles Lewis-Skelly
Anthony Gordon
Reece James
Marcus Rashford
James Trafford
Levi Colwill
Ollie Watkins
John Stones
Dominic Solanke
Gibbs-White
Curtis Jones
Conor Gallagher
Adam Wharton
Jarrod Bowen
Ben White
Jarrad Branthwaite
Liam Delap
Valentino Livramento
Kobbie Mainoo
Jordan Henderson
Ivan Toney
Dan Burn
Kyle Walker
Lewis Hall
Aaron Ramsdale
Elliot Anderson
Rico Lewis
Ethan Nwaneri
Harry Maguire
Nick Pope
Trevoh Chalobah
Harvey Elliott
Luke Shaw
Jack Grealish
Angel Gomes
Jamie Jermaine Bynoe-Gittens
Jobe Bellingham
Jarell Quansah
Mason Mount
Harvey Barnes
James Maddison
Tyler Dibling
Jacob Ramsey
Archie Gray
Joe Gomez
James McAtee
Ben Chilwell
Tyrick Mitchell
Alex Scott
Michael Cooper
Callum Hudson-Odoi
Djed Spence
Sam Johnstone
Harwood-Bellis
Jack Hinshelwood
James Beadle
Max Kilman
Lewis Dunk
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
Callum Wilson
Edward Nketiah
Jadon Sancho
Omari Giraud-Hutchinson
Tyrone Mings
Ross Barkley
Rico Henry
Leif Davis
Keane Lewis-Potter
Adam Webster
James Ward-Prowse
Tosin Adarabioyo
Lewis Cook
Joseph Willock
Charlie Cresswell
Emile Smith-Rowe
88
86
86
85
83
80
79
75
70
67
67
66
62
62
62
61
55
55
55
55
52
51
50
50
50
50
50
48
48
45
45
44
44
40
39
39
38
37
34
32
28
28
27
27
25
25
22
22
22
22
20
20
19
17
17
17
16
16
15
14
13
13
11
11
11
11
9
9
9
9
8
7
7
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
OptionProbability
Lady Gaga - Mayhem
YE - Bully
Lana Del Rey - The Right Person Will Stay
Conan Gray - Wishbone
32
3
3
2
OptionVotes
NO
YES
2133
1742
OptionProbability
Anas Sarwar
Angus Robertson
Neil Gray
Jackie Baillie
Shona Robison
Mairi McAllan
Ash Regan
Douglas Ross
Lorna Slater
Kate Forbes
67
50
27
25
22
22
16
12
10
9
OptionProbability
Barbara Kirkmeyer
Other
Mark Baisley
Scott Bottoms
Jason Ray Clark
Jason Mikesell
Stevan Gess
Jon Gray-Ginsberg
Robin Jones
Greg Lopez
Paul Lundeen
36
17
9
8
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
OptionProbability
Marsh owl
Wapiti/American elk
Dhole/whistling dog/Indian wild dog
Common buttonquail
Gray whale*
None of the above will be return by 2050
Lion
17
16
16
16
16
16
4
OptionVotes
YES
NO
109
92
OptionProbability
Less than $10M or bankrupt
$10M - $100M
$100M - $1B
$1B+
60
14
14
11
OptionVotes
YES
NO
99
82
OptionVotes
NO
YES
102
80
