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Top stories

Nansen Launches Season 01 Loyalty Program With Four Tiers, Bybit Partnership, and Up to 88,000 USDT Rewards

Nansen Launches Season 01 Loyalty Program With Four Tiers, Bybit Partnership, and Up to 88,000 USDT Rewards

Authors

9

1 month ago

Prediction markets for Green

Who will be elected to the Green Party of England and Wales Leadership next?

May 22, 5:01 PMSep 2, 4:58 PM

72316

OptionProbability

Zack Polanski

Adrian Ramsay & Ellie Chowns

Other

88

9

4

Will Marjorie Taylor Greene ever be president of a new confederacy?

Aug 13, 1:47 PMAug 21, 3:59 AM

4.86%chance

401659

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1473

915

Will "On green" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Mar 25, 12:04 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

81.04%chance

161020

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1069

874

Will a Hubble Servicing mission receive a green light in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)

Jan 1, 7:17 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

32.89%chance

6995

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1428

700

Will John Green's next book be fiction?

Mar 11, 5:15 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

77.01%chance

5850

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1830

546

There are no USA Presidents that had Green eyes. Will there be one by March 1st 2063?

Mar 21, 5:50 PMMar 2, 4:59 AM

28.47%chance

12547

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1003

926

Will Congress pass a bill eliminating or increasing per-country caps on employment-based green cards by December 31 2026

Jan 30, 6:42 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM

37.29%chance

4302

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1297

771

Will the Green Anaconda, a.k.a. Giant Anaconda (Eunectes murinus) become extinct in the current century?

Mar 28, 7:22 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

17.5%chance

5268

OptionVotes

YES

NO

716

410

Will the number of employment-based green cards awarded in 2025 be lower than 160,000?

Nov 8, 11:39 AMOct 2, 2:59 AM

82.64%chance

8216

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1185

931

Will Majorie Taylor Greene get nominated for Chief of Space Operations during Trump’s second term?

Nov 14, 2:21 PMJan 16, 7:59 AM

14.33%chance

10200

OptionVotes

YES

NO

245

41

Will Green Goblin be added to Marvel Rivals before 2028?

May 14, 6:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

78.47%chance

3112

OptionVotes

NO

YES

191

52

Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Will any 'Green' party, except the DPP, win seats in the 2028 Legislative Election?

Jan 14, 4:41 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

54.95%chance

215

OptionVotes

NO

YES

75

65

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