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Top stories

Tesla Integrates DeepSeek and ByteDance’s Doubao AI Voice Assistants in China’s Model Y L With Navigation and Entertainment Controls

Tesla Integrates DeepSeek and ByteDance’s Doubao AI Voice Assistants in China’s Model Y L With Navigation and Entertainment Controls

Authors

16

4 months ago

Prediction markets for Grok AI

Which AI tech companies will be acquired for more than $1B in 2025? 💰

Jan 8, 7:47 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

38143845

OptionProbability

Hugging Face

DataBricks

ElevenLabs (audio)

Suno (music)

Pinecone (database)

Runway AI

Grammarly

Nous Research (open source, decentralized AI)

Perplexity

Devin (Cognition)

Magic (coding)

Figure AI

Groq

Midjourney

Stability AI

OpenAI

Anthropic

xAI

SSI (Ilya Sutskever)

Cohere

Mistral AI

6

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

2

2

2

2

2

1

Humanity's Last Exam score in 2025?

Feb 28, 10:12 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

108130933

OptionProbability

Above 10%

Above 25%

Above 50%

Above 75%

Above 90%

100

100

11

5

1

Will X/Elon Musk achieve AGI by next year?

May 26, 12:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.65%chance

6023926

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4373

746

Grok's male AI companion more popular than its female companion?

Jul 17, 10:41 PMDec 31, 11:34 PM

12.53%chance

888612

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2643

378

Will Elon Musk's AI Company (xAI) exceed OpenAI in valuation anytime before 2035?

Mar 2, 8:16 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

32.53%chance

467945

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1119

373

Will an AI model use more than 1e28 FLOPS in training before 2026?

Apr 4, 12:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.98%chance

96293

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3184

314

Will Grok make a "really good movie" in 2027?

Oct 10, 2:58 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.42%chance

354930

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3101

323

Twitter For You page Grok-conversation-adjustable and open sourced in 2025?

Sep 21, 1:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.68%chance

363001

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1846

542

xAI builds truth-seeking AI before 2027?

May 7, 12:46 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

43.64%chance

121346

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1136

880

air traffic control integrated with grok by end of Trump admin?

Feb 5, 7:27 PMJan 23, 4:59 AM

3.41%chance

12731

OptionVotes

YES

NO

532

19

Will a frontier model be delayed in the EU by 90+ days in 2025?

Aug 15, 1:29 PMMar 30, 10:59 PM

34.87%chance

6425

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1367

732

Will 'From Keynes to the Machine Age' receive substantive critical engagement from qualified experts by 2026?

Oct 11, 4:16 PMJul 1, 10:59 PM

39.02%chance

3250

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1250

800

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