OptionProbability
Before August 2027
Before July 2027
Before June 2027
Before May 2027
Before April 2027
Before March 2027
Before February 2027
Before 2027
Before December 2026
Before November 2026
Before September 2025
Before October 2025
Before November 2025
Before December 2025
Before 2026
Before February 2026
Before March 2026
Before April 2026
Before May 2026
Before June 2026
Before July 2026
Before August 2026
Before September 2026
Before October 2026
82
76
74
72
66
53
43
15
4
1
0
Before January 2027
94
91
63
2
OptionVotes
YES
NO
1108
903
Not released in 2026
December 1–31, 2026
By November 30, 2026
86
11
3
Will SpaceX report at least 8 GW of nameplate AI compute capacity as of December 31, 2027?
Will SpaceX report at least $35 billion in total GAAP revenue for Q1 2027?
Will SpaceX reach $400B annualized recurring revenue (ARR) by the end of 2027?
Will Grok exceed 10% of paid frontier-model API revenue by YE2027?
52
28
21
8
