OptionProbability
GPT-5.3 (doesn't include GPT-5.3 Codex)
GPT-5.4 (includes GPT-5.4 Codex or other non-Pro variants)
Gemini 3.1 Flash Lite Preview
GPT-5.4 Pro
Grok 4.20 (out of beta)
Minimax M2.6/M2.7
Gemma 4
Haiku 4.6
Kimi K3
DeepSeek V4-Lite
Gemini 3.1 Flash Preview
GLM-5-Code
Gemini 3.1 Pro GA
Deepseek V4 (Full)
Opus 4.7
Gemini 3.1 Flash GA
Sonnet 5
Sonnet 4.7
Gemini 3.1 Flash Lite GA
Grok 5
Minimax M3
DeepSeek V3.3 or V3.5
GPT-5.3-Thinking
GPT-5.3-Pro
Meta Avocado (or any Meta model)
100
49
38
35
30
22
21
14
11
9
5
4
3
2
1
OptionVotes
NO
YES
1099
416
Before September 2026
Before August 2026
Before July 2026
Before June 2026
Before May 2026
Before April 2026
Before September 2025
Before October 2025
Before November 2025
Before December 2025
Before 2026
Before February 2026
Before March 2026
80
69
33
25
20
0
1806
397