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Grok Imagine News

    Prediction markets for Grok Imagine

    Elon Musk (props)

    Mar 7, 12:23 PMMar 7, 12:23 PM
    309142

    OptionProbability

    Optimus Gen 3 revealed by June 30, 2026

    Grok Imagine #1 on Artificial Analysis video leaderboard end of March

    Elon Musk publicly calls for pausing advanced AI development or joins a major AI safety treaty by December 31, 2026

    Starship V3 reaches orbit by May 1, 2026

    Neuralink implants surpass 1,000 humans by December 31, 2026

    xAI releases Grok 4.5 or Grok 5 by March 14, 2026

    Elon Musk visits China by March 14, 2026

    Elon Musk visits India by March 14, 2026

    Elon Musk visits Norway by March 13, 2026

    Starship V3 reaches orbit by March 13, 2026

    Grok 4.2 reaches No.1 on LMArena Text leaderboard by March 13, 2026

    Optimus Gen 3 available for public purchase before March 13, 2026

    Cybercab available for public purchase before March 13 2026

    68

    21

    19

    16

    8

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    xAI (props)

    Mar 7, 11:36 AMMar 7, 11:36 AM
    9888

    OptionProbability

    Grok-5 publicly released by August 1, 2026

    Grok-5 utilizes a multi-agent architecture composed of several LLMs like Grok-4.2

    Grok Imagine supports 1080p 30s videos by September 30, 2026

    xAI's Macrohard publicly deploys agent workflows (AI agents emulating a digital company) that generate revenue directly (not via API) by December 31, 2026

    Colossus supercluster hits 1.5GW by May 1, 2026

    xAI publicly deploys a multi-agent AI system (multiple collaborating agents emulating digital humans) by December 31, 2026

    xAI model holds #1 on Prediction Arena leaderboard on or before June 1, 2026

    64

    63

    44

    43

    39

    38

    26

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