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Grok language News
Prediction markets for Grok language
Prediction markets for Grok language
2025 SOTA LLM releases cause Kokotajlo to increase AGI timeline estimate?
Apr 9, 4:48 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
89.9%
chance
20
579
Option
Votes
NO
YES
298
34
Which LLM has more parameters?
Mar 14, 6:29 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
5
262
Option
Probability
GPT-4.5
Grok 3
91
9
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