OptionProbability
Will someone drive across the country in FSD with no human input of any kind by mid 2026
Will I still have grok in my car, through mid 2026
Will I will be able to get my Tesla model Y 2023 to automatically back out of my driveway to the side of the road by mid 2026 (without me in it)
Will I be able to drop my car at the entrance to a garage and have it park by mid 2026 (possibly out of sight lines) (without me in it)
I'll see an Optimus or other Tesla robot in San Mateo CA in public not at the dealership by mid 2028
US Customer takes delivery of Cybercab with no steering wheel by end of 2026
Will I be able to use a non xAi model in the car, via same mechanism as grok, by mid 2026
Will there be any conditions where I'm able to sleep in my 2023 Model Y (FSD currently 14.2.1) while it drives, on a public road by mid 2026?
Max configurable speed for self driving will be above 85 by mid 2025
Tesla robotaxi rideable in SF by the public by mid 2025
I'll be able to call a Waymo to my house in San Mateo by mid 2025
I'll be able to call a fsd Tesla vehicle to my house in San Mateo by mid 2025
100
96
58
48
28
20
16
1
0
OptionVotes
NO
YES
1071
490
2989
335
2026
April
March
February
73
15
11
532
19
1008
356
162
62
GPT-4.5
Grok 3
91
9
287
35