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Prediction markets for Group Chat

Who will lead the AGI race end of 2025?

Nov 20, 10:01 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

615740

OptionProbability

Google/DeepMind

OpenAI

Anthropic

xAI

Microsoft

A Chinese company

Meta

Mistral

Cohere

Amazon

Other

46

30

19

3

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

Was Jeffrey Goldberg deliberately added to the "Houthi PC" Signal group chat?

Mar 24, 9:25 PMJan 3, 11:59 PM

5.48%chance

213816

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4153

241

Tulsi Gabbard charged with perjury by end of 2026?

Mar 27, 8:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.17%chance

17744

OptionVotes

YES

NO

236

42

Will we see an increased premium put on siloed/private online socialization by the end of 2027?

Dec 27, 6:10 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

63.64%chance

26690

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1025

925

Tulsi Gabbard convicted of perjury?

Mar 27, 8:40 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.23%chance

7662

OptionVotes

YES

NO

334

30

Will the Infinite Jest Reading Group finish the book by EoY 2025?

Mar 28, 1:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

75.19%chance

8462

OptionVotes

NO

YES

174

57

Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?

Aug 10, 5:55 PMDec 18, 2:59 PM

59.88%chance

19407

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1081

928

AI voice chat servers before 2026?

May 13, 11:31 AMMar 8, 10:59 PM

82.67%chance

17351

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1180

932

Which member of the Grace is 4 Guys Too Group Chat will have their wedding first?

Mar 21, 4:50 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

2349

OptionProbability

Major

Tucker

SK

Tim

Other

Eric

Michael

Vivek

Ansh

21

19

18

14

9

7

7

2

2

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