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Prediction markets for Group Chat

Was Jeffrey Goldberg deliberately added to the "Houthi PC" Signal group chat?

Mar 24, 9:25 PMJan 3, 11:59 PM

4.42%chance

224316

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4653

215

Tulsi Gabbard charged with perjury by end of 2026?

Mar 27, 8:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.05%chance

19815

OptionVotes

YES

NO

299

33

Will we see an increased premium put on siloed/private online socialization by the end of 2027?

Dec 27, 6:10 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

63.64%chance

26690

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1025

925

Tulsi Gabbard convicted of perjury?

Mar 27, 8:40 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.23%chance

7662

OptionVotes

YES

NO

334

30

Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?

Aug 10, 5:55 PMDec 18, 2:59 PM

59.88%chance

19407

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1081

928

Will Pete Hegseth be impeached by EOY 2027

Jan 14, 2:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15%chance

10374

OptionVotes

YES

NO

238

42

Which member of the Grace is 4 Guys Too Group Chat will have their wedding first?

Mar 21, 4:50 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

2349

OptionProbability

Major

Tucker

SK

Tim

Other

Eric

Michael

Vivek

Ansh

21

19

18

14

9

7

7

2

2

Will credible evidence emerge before 2027 that Meta can access the content of WhatsApp messages despite end-to-end encry

Jan 27, 10:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.34%chance

9260

OptionVotes

YES

NO

294

34

When will Manifest 2026 upload videos of presentations to Youtube?

Jun 3, 6:58 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9115

OptionProbability

During 2026

Within a month

Not Before June 2027

46

39

15

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