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GUARD Act News
Prediction markets for GUARD Act
Prediction markets for GUARD Act
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his second term?
Mar 5, 4:55 PM
Jan 21, 3:59 AM
39.14%
chance
96
10404
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1071
939
Will there be a conflict over the South China Sea between two claimant states by the end of 2025?
Mar 23, 6:29 AM
Dec 31, 4:01 PM
24.94%
chance
44
3462
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1550
726
Trump's first cabinet member fired, failed, or resigned Pete Hegseth?
Apr 21, 8:52 PM
Jan 19, 11:59 PM
41.06%
chance
34
2484
Option
Votes
YES
NO
120
83
Trump deport people in 2025?
Apr 18, 1:44 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
8
650
Will there be a conflict over the South China Sea between two claimant states by the end of 2035?
Mar 23, 6:32 AM
Dec 31, 4:01 PM
70.01%
chance
15
481
Option
Votes
YES
NO
997
957
Will there be a conflict over the South China Sea between two claimant states by the end of 2030?
Mar 23, 6:31 AM
Dec 31, 4:01 PM
65.91%
chance
16
384
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1104
925
Will a Filipino, Chinese or US national be killed on or near Sabine Shoal before 2027?
Aug 27, 3:27 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
64.22%
chance
1
35
Option
Votes
NO
YES
134
75
Will a Filipino, Chinese or US national be killed on or near Sabine Shoal before 2026?
Aug 27, 3:23 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
50%
chance
0
0
Option
Votes
NO
YES
100
100
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