H100 News

Did DeepSeek lie about the GPU compute budget they used in the training of v3?

Jan 25, 5:04 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

12.58%chance

7132050

OptionVotes

YES

25925

4669

Who will be TIME Person of the Year 2025?

Sep 8, 4:38 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4413064

OptionProbability

Prominent civil activist or religious leader (Snowden, Assange, Greta, Dalai-Lama, The Pope)

Prominent politician, judge or military leader of any country (former or current). Includes unrecognized territories such as Gaza or ISIS.

Prominent businessman, VC, investor, CEO or chairman of a board

Anyone or anything strongly associated with AI (Sam Altman, ChatGPT, Claude, “AI”, “LLM”, “H100”, etc)

Other / anything or anyone not included in other answers (“Freedom Fighters”, “You”, “American Soldier”, etc)

Prominent artist (actor, musician, writer), influencer (MrBeast, etc), journalist, athlete, chess or poker player

Prominent scientist, academic or inventor (not including AI researchers)

What hardware will GPT-5 be trained on?

Sep 26, 12:09 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

215614

OptionProbability

Nvidia H100

Nvidia H200

Other

Nvidia GB200

Nvidia B100/B200

Nvidia GH100 - INVALID

Nvidia GH200

Microsoft Athena

Will AI accelerators improve in FLOPs/watt by 100x of an NVidia H100 by 2033?

Jun 25, 1:25 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

85.56%chance

173384

OptionVotes

YES

243

Will xAI reach 50 million H100-equivalents in 5 years?

Jul 22, 6:31 PMJul 24, 3:59 AM

53.86%chance

122013

OptionVotes

YES

1080

926

Will an AI datacenter in the US be sabotaged before 2029?

Sep 23, 8:41 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

52.25%chance

13865

OptionVotes

YES

1046

956

Will China develop domestic GPU with comparable performance to NVIDIA H100 by 2026?

Jul 2, 8:41 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

86.25%chance

13638

OptionVotes

YES

250

Did DeepSeek use a cluster of more than 5,000 H100s in 2024?

Jan 25, 9:02 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

29.79%chance

10259

OptionVotes

YES

154

In 2028 how much will it be to rent the 8x NVIDIA H100 SXM server per hour from LambaLabs

Apr 2, 6:18 AMJan 2, 12:59 PM

6110

Revenue per deployed H100 exceeds $100'000 by end of 2027

May 19, 12:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.19%chance

4105

OptionVotes

YES

122

Canada hosts 2 GW / 2M H100-equivalent AI cluster by 2028?

Apr 8, 2:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.18%chance

437

OptionVotes

YES

127

Will Jose Luis Ricon run more than 864 quintillion floating point ops on a NVIDIA h100/b200 (or better) by EOY2026

Feb 4, 6:10 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.98%chance

320

OptionVotes

YES

120

H100 News

Prediction markets for H100

Prediction markets for H100

Prediction markets for H100

Did DeepSeek lie about the GPU compute budget they used in the training of v3?

Who will be TIME Person of the Year 2025?

What hardware will GPT-5 be trained on?

Will AI accelerators improve in FLOPs/watt by 100x of an NVidia H100 by 2033?

Will xAI reach 50 million H100-equivalents in 5 years?

Will an AI datacenter in the US be sabotaged before 2029?

Will China develop domestic GPU with comparable performance to NVIDIA H100 by 2026?

Did DeepSeek use a cluster of more than 5,000 H100s in 2024?

In 2028 how much will it be to rent the 8x NVIDIA H100 SXM server per hour from LambaLabs

Revenue per deployed H100 exceeds $100'000 by end of 2027

Canada hosts 2 GW / 2M H100-equivalent AI cluster by 2028?

Will Jose Luis Ricon run more than 864 quintillion floating point ops on a NVIDIA h100/b200 (or better) by EOY2026

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