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H3 News

    Prediction markets for H3

    Ethan Klein (h3h3Productions) Stock (Permanent)

    Nov 15, 4:33 AMAug 11, 9:43 PM
    5820830

    OptionProbability

    NO

    YES

    1531

    601

    Which of these chess openings will be played in the Candidates?

    Jan 5, 8:25 AMApr 30, 11:59 PM
    172572

    OptionProbability

    Berlin Defense (1.e4 e5 2.Nf3 Nc6 3.Bb5 Nf6)

    Queen's Gambit Accepted (1.d4 d5 2.c4 dxc4)

    Grünfeld Defense (1.d4 Nf6 2.c4 g6 3.Nc3 d5)

    Caro-Kann Defense (1.e4 c6)

    King's Indian Defense (1.d4 Nf6 2.c4 g6 3.Nc3 Bg7 4.e4 d6)

    Trompowsky Attack (1.d4 Nf6 2.Bg5)

    Nimzo-Larsen Attack (1.b3)

    Dutch Defense (1.d4 f5)

    Alekhine's Defense (1.e4 Nf6)

    Scandinavian Defense (1.e4 d5)

    Evans Gambit (1.e4 e5 2.Nf3 Nc6 3.Bc4 Bc5 4.b4)

    Sicilian Wing Gambit (1.e4 c5 2.b4)

    Elephant Gambit (1.e4 e5 2.Nf3 d5)

    Blackmar-Diemer Gambit (1.d4 d5 2.e4 dxe4 3.Nc3)

    Danish Gambit (1.e4 e5 2.d4 exd4 3.c3)

    Rousseau Gambit (1.e4 e5 2.Nf3 Nc6 3.Bc4 f5)

    King's Gambit (1.e4 e5 2.f4)

    Ware Opening (1.a4)

    Englund Gambit (1.d4 e5)

    Latvian Gambit (1.e4 e5 2.Nf3 f5)

    Tennison Gambit (1.Nf3 d5 2.e4)

    Clemenz Opening (1.h3)

    St. George Defense (1.e4 a6)

    Fred Defense (1.e4 f5)

    Orangutan (1.b4)

    Cochrane Gambit (1.e4 e5 2.Nf3 Nf6 3.Nxe5 d6 4.Nxf7)

    Bongcloud (1.e4 e5 2.Ke2)

    Halloween Gambit (1.e4 e5 2.Nf3 Nc6 3.Nc3 Nf6 4.Nxe5)

    Stafford Gambit (1.e4 e5 2.Nf3 Nf6 3.Nxe5 Nc6)

    Grob (1.g4)

    Sodium Attack (1.Na3)

    91

    85

    76

    64

    64

    50

    48

    42

    21

    17

    15

    10

    10

    10

    10

    10

    8

    7

    6

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    Which opening moves are losing for White?

    Jul 8, 1:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    142372

    OptionProbability

    g4

    Nh3

    a4

    b4

    f4

    h4

    Na3

    f3

    a3

    b3

    c3

    h3

    d3

    e3

    g3

    Nc3

    c4

    Nf3

    d4

    e4

    74

    59

    57

    57

    57

    55

    51

    50

    48

    48

    48

    48

    34

    34

    33

    33

    14

    14

    4

    4

    Which opening moves are winning for White?

    Jul 8, 4:16 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    112062

    OptionProbability

    c4

    d4

    e4

    b3

    a3

    c3

    d3

    e3

    f4

    g3

    h3

    Nc3

    Nf3

    b4

    a4

    Nh3

    h4

    Na3

    f3

    g4

    14

    14

    14

    13

    11

    11

    11

    11

    11

    11

    11

    11

    11

    10

    9

    9

    8

    7

    6

    6

    Which of these rockets will reach orbit in 2026?

    Feb 3, 3:57 PMDec 31, 3:15 PM
    161646

    OptionProbability

    Ariane 64

    Proton M

    Falcon Heavy

    Starship

    Zhuque 3

    Long March 12A

    LVM3

    Zhuque 2

    Vikram 1

    Long March 5

    H3

    Nuri

    Tianlong 3

    Kinetica-2

    Long March 10A

    Agnibaan

    Soyuz 5

    Isar Spectrum

    RFA One

    Ceres-2

    Nebula-1

    Hyperbola-3

    Long March 10B

    Miura 5

    Epsilon S

    Antares 330

    Eclipse

    Pallas 1

    Qased

    Chollima 1

    GYUB

    Stoke Space Nova

    Kairos

    Astra Rocket 4

    Gilmour Space Eris

    Rocket Lab Neutron

    Terran R

    Daytona 1

    Skyrora XL

    Orbex Prime

    100

    100

    94

    90

    83

    83

    76

    76

    76

    72

    66

    66

    66

    66

    66

    66

    66

    60

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    34

    34

    24

    17

    15

    12

    11

    11

    10

    10

    8

    6

    1

    Will Hasan and H3H3 Ethan rebuild their bridge before the end of 2026?

    Oct 19, 6:51 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    2.4%chance
    10587

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    638

    16

    Will Hasan and H3H3 Ethan rebuild their bridge within 1 year of an Israel Palestine ceasefire happens?

    Oct 19, 6:51 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    4.44%chance
    5366

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    464

    22

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