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Top stories

BYD Adds Malaysia Plant and Luxury Track as China EV Exports Surge

BYD Adds Malaysia Plant and Luxury Track as China EV Exports Surge

Authors

16

10 months ago

Prediction markets for H5

Will the WHO declare an H5N1 pandemic before 2030?

Feb 5, 9:16 PMDec 31, 11:00 AM

18.65%chance

7331323

OptionVotes

YES

NO

20494

5162

Did/will H5N1 come from a laboratory?

Jul 6, 3:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

6.96%chance

303085

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3498

511

Bird flu H5N1 outbreak in Australia in 2025 or 2026?

Oct 25, 3:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.46%chance

92575

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1508

663

Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency of International Concern for H5N1 before 2030?

Feb 5, 9:23 PMDec 31, 11:00 AM

57.37%chance

271500

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1162

784

Will the US approve an H5N1 vaccine for any group of people before a pandemic starts?

Feb 15, 5:06 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

90.48%chance

211175

OptionVotes

NO

YES

448

71

If the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency of International Concern for H5N1, will they declare an H5N1 pandemic within a year?

Feb 5, 9:37 PMDec 31, 11:00 AM

32.86%chance

16871

OptionVotes

YES

NO

359

264

If H5N1 achieves global human-to-human spread, will it be a dud?

Jan 2, 4:17 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

41.86%chance

9464

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1179

848

What will be the reciprocal IFR of H5N1, if there is a pandemic?

Feb 15, 5:06 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

34.52%chance

8245

OptionProbability

YES

NO

405

317

Will there be a major outbreak of avian flu before the end of 2027?

Jan 24, 5:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.67%chance

335

OptionVotes

YES

NO

116

86

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