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Top stories

BYD Adds Malaysia Plant and Luxury Track as China EV Exports Surge

BYD Adds Malaysia Plant and Luxury Track as China EV Exports Surge

Authors

16

9 months ago

Prediction markets for H5

Will the WHO declare an H5N1 pandemic before 2030?

Feb 5, 9:16 PMDec 31, 11:00 AM

18.93%chance

7331123

OptionVotes

YES

NO

20294

5208

Did/will H5N1 come from a laboratory?

Jul 6, 3:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

6.96%chance

303085

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3498

511

Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency of International Concern for H5N1 before 2030?

Feb 5, 9:23 PMDec 31, 11:00 AM

57.67%chance

261495

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1169

779

Bird flu H5N1 outbreak in Australia in 2025 or 2026?

Oct 25, 3:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.25%chance

71299

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2190

457

Will the US approve an H5N1 vaccine for any group of people before a pandemic starts?

Feb 15, 5:06 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

90.48%chance

211175

OptionVotes

NO

YES

448

71

If the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency of International Concern for H5N1, will they declare an H5N1 pandemic within a year?

Feb 5, 9:37 PMDec 31, 11:00 AM

32.86%chance

16871

OptionVotes

YES

NO

359

264

If H5N1 achieves global human-to-human spread, will it be a dud?

Jan 2, 4:17 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

41.86%chance

9464

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1179

848

What will be the reciprocal IFR of H5N1, if there is a pandemic?

Feb 15, 5:06 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

34.52%chance

8245

OptionProbability

YES

NO

405

317

Will there be a major outbreak of avian flu before the end of 2027?

Jan 24, 5:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.13%chance

225

OptionVotes

YES

NO

106

94

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