OptionProbability
GPT-3.5
GPT-4
GPT-4o
GPT-4o mini
o4-mini
Any model released in 2025
Claude 3 Haiku
Llama 4 Scout
Llama 4 Maverick
Grok 4
Every model released before 2025
Claude 3.5 Haiku
Claude Sonnet 4
Gemini 2.0 Flash
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
GPT-4.1 nano
o1
Grok 3
Claude 3 Opus
Gemini 1.5 Flash
Gemini 2.5 Pro
Claude 3.5 Sonnet
Gemini 2.5 Flash
GPT-4.1 mini
o3-mini-high
o3
Claude Opus 4
Claude 3.7 Sonnet
o1-mini
GPT-4.5
Grok 3 Mini
DeepSeek-V4
GPT-4.1
Gemini 1.5 Pro
GPT-5
Every model released before 2026
o4
Any model released in 2026
Any model released in 2027
GPT-6
Every model released before 2027
100
93
92
91
90
89
88
87
86
85
84
83
80
76
70
62
59
50
38
22
OptionVotes
YES
NO
265
1484
674