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Prediction markets for Halving

Bitcoin reaches a new record high of $69,000 - will it halve or double in value first?

Mar 5, 4:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

636664

OptionProbability

Double in value to $138,000

Halve in value to $34,500

71

29

Bitcoin High Price Between 2024 and 2028 Halvings (USD)

Jan 13, 12:54 PMApr 30, 3:59 PM

144861

OptionProbability

Between 102,400.01 and 163,840.00 inclusive

Between 163,840.01 and 262,144.00 inclusive

Between 262,144.01 and 419,430.40 inclusive

Between 419,430.41 and 671,088.64 inclusive

Between 671,088.65 and 1,073,741.82 inclusive

40,000.00 or less

Between 40,000.01 and 64,000.00 inclusive

Between 64,000.01 and 102,400.00 inclusive

More than 1,073,741.82

57

28

6

3

2

1

1

1

1

In Fall 2026, will US computer science departments find their enrollment halved compared to previous years?

Jul 20, 5:16 AMDec 20, 11:59 PM

4.08%chance

224520

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4966

211

Will the number of human engineers in front end dev jobs be halved by 2027?

Apr 8, 8:43 PMDec 31, 6:29 AM

11.93%chance

393848

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1748

831

Will the number of truck drivers in the US more than halve before 2029?

Jul 19, 1:22 PMJun 29, 10:01 PM

14.14%chance

463278

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2050

600

Apple halves weight of Vision Pro by 2030

Feb 14, 4:50 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

74.53%chance

512258

OptionVotes

YES

NO

992

984

Will Timothee Chalamet win an Oscar before the 5th Bitcoin halving?

Dec 8, 8:19 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

37%chance

161917

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1160

340

Will the number of human engineers in front end dev jobs be halved by 2030?

Apr 8, 8:44 PMDec 31, 6:29 AM

35%chance

381866

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1416

634

Will the US halve its emissions by 2030?

Sep 11, 10:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22%chance

17774

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1293

892

When will the fifth bitcoin halving occur?

Apr 20, 12:25 AMAug 27, 4:59 AM

5326

OptionProbability

After 2028-01-01 00:00:00 UTC

After 2028-02-19 00:00:00 UTC

After 2028-04-19 00:00:00 UTC

After 2028-06-19 00:00:00 UTC

89

63

43

17

Will the Elfstedentocht happen again before the 5th bitcoin halving?

Feb 3, 8:30 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

20.34%chance

8110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

240

81

Will the Elfstedentocht happen again before the 6th bitcoin halving?

Feb 3, 8:31 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

53%chance

312

OptionVotes

NO

YES

91

89

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