OptionProbability
[AUS] A Driver DNF due to reliability problems (e.g., engine, power unit etc.)
[AUS] Red flag during qualifying
[AUS] At least 3 DNF
[AUS] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton (race)
[TEST] Cadillac sets the slowest lap time of the whole testing session
[AUS] P1 & P2 by same team
[AUS] winner has no WDC title
[AUS] Audi reaches Q2 (Qualifying)
[AUS] Ferrari finishes on the podium
[AUS] An Audi driver finishes in top 10 (race)
[AUS] Verstappen finishes in top 10 (race)
[CHN] Yellow flag first lap Sprint
[CHN] Yellow flag first lap main race
[CHN] Ferrari on the podium of the sprint race
[CHN] Bearman scores points in the sprint race (top 8)
[CHN] Mercedes 1-2 in the main qualifying
[CHN] VSC or Physical Safety car during the sprint race
[CHN] A Ferrari is P1 at the end of lap 1 (main race)
[CHN] Physical Safety Car during the main race
[CHN] Mercedes 1-2 in the main race
[CHN] Bearman scores points in the main race (top 10)
[CHN] 5 or more DNF in the main race
[JAP] Physical Safety Car during the race
[JAP] Team other than Mercedes or Ferrari gets a podium
[JAP] Antonelli wins the race
[MIA] Non-Mercedes pole position in sprint qualifying
[MIA] McLaren 1-2 in the sprint race
[MIA] Leclerc podium in the sprint race
[MIA] Physical Safety Car in the main race
[MIA] A Mercedes finishes outside the top 5 in the sprint race
[MIA] Gasly reaches Q3 (main race qualifying)
[MIA] Antonelli wins the main race
[MIA] A McLaren on the podium in the main race
[MIA] Race start time is changed or cancelled due to weather conditions
[CAN] Three different teams on the podium (main race)
[CAN] Mercedes 1-2 in the sprint qualifying
[CAN] Red flag during sprint qualifying
[CAN] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton in the sprint race
[CAN] 5 or more DNS/DNF in the main race
[CAN] An Alpine finishes in top 10 in the main race
[CAN] Hamilton finishes on podium in the main race
[CAN] Hamilton outfinishes Verstappen (main race)
[MON] Pole Sitter wins the race
[MON] Red flag during qualifying
[MON] Red flag during the race
[MON] A driver overtakes their teammate on track
[MON] Safety car (non-virtual) during the race
[MON] Pole position margin is less than 50 milliseconds
[MON] Three different teams on the podium
[MON] Hadjar finishes in top 5 (race)
[MON] A Williams scores points (top 10)
[MON] 3 or more DNF/DNS
[BAR] An Audi reaches Q3
[BAR] Hamilton on the podium
[BAR] Verstappen finishes in top 5
[BAR] 3 or more DNF/DNS
[BAR] At least one driver that finishes in top 5 does 3 pit stops (or more)
[BAR] At least one podium finisher from team other than Ferrari or Mercedes
[AUT] Qualifying lap invalidated due to track limits
[AUT] Both Ferraris in top 5 in qualifying
[AUT] Both Racing Bulls finish in top 10 (race)
[GBR] Physical Safety Car during the race
[GBR] Sprint race is won by a driver ranked top-8 in the championship
[GBR] Yellow flag first lap (main race)
[GBR] Both Ferraris in top 4 in the main qualifying
[GBR] Both Ferraris finish the main race in top 4
[GBR] Hadjar finishes ahead of Verstappen (main race)
[GBR] Both Racing Bulls finish the main race in top 10
[GBR] Antonelli and Russel gap within 10 seconds at the end of the main race
[SPA] Red flag in qualifying
[SPA] Antonelli wins the race
[SPA] An Audi reaches Q3
[SPA] Physical Safety Car during the race
[SPA] A Ferrari on the podium
[SPA] Hadjar finishes the race in top 10
[SPA] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton
[SPA] Yellow flag first lap
[HUN] Impeding penalty during qualifying
[HUN] Pole position margin is less than 50 milliseconds
[HUN] An Aston Martin reaches Q2
[HUN] An Audi reaches Q3
[HUN] Russel qualifies outside the top 4
[HUN] Antonelli on the podium
[HUN] Hulkenberg finishes the race in top 10
[HUN] Both Racing Bulls finish the race in top 10
Leave it open for the upcoming GP
[AUS] Physical Safety Car during the race
[AUS] Yellow flag first lap
[AUS] Both Aston Martins qualify in the last row (21st and 22nd)
[TEST] Cadillac in the top 5 of the timesheets on any single day
[TEST] Ferrari sets the most laps during the whole testing session
[TEST] Mercedes sets the fastest lap time of the whole testing session
[TEST] First red flag caused by a driver error/spin etc. (not mechanical failure)
[AUS] Both Aston Martins retire after formation lap before race start
[AUS] The car finishing on P5 gets lapped
[AUS] Both Aston Martins don't finish the race
[AUS] Hadjar finishes on the podium
[CHN] Ferrari qualifies 1st or 2nd in the sprint qualifying (at least one driver)
[CHN] Red flag during sprint qualifying
[CHN] Mercedes 1-2 in the sprint race
[CHN] Gasly scores points in the sprint race (top 8)
[CHN] An Audi reaches Q3 (main race qualifying)
[CHN] Impeding penalty during qualifying for the main race
[CHN] An Audi scores points in the main race (top 10)
[CHN] A Red Bull Racing driver finishes in top 5 (main race)
[CHN] Winner wins by 11.00 seconds or more?
[JAP] Both Aston Martins DNF
[JAP] Yellow flag first lap
[JAP] Red flag in qualifying
[JAP] Impeding penalty during qualifying
[JAP] Team other than Mercedes gets pole position in qualifying
[JAP] Bearman reaches Q3
[JAP] 5 or more DNF (including DNS)
[JAP] Linblad scores points (top 10)
[JAP] Bortoleto scores points (top 10)
[JAP] Hadjar finishes ahead of Verstappen (face)
[JAP] A McLaren retires/DNS due to reliability issues
[JAP] Verstappen on the podium
[MIA] Impeding penalty during sprint qualifying
[MIA] Red flag during sprint qualifying
[MIA] Colapinto scores points in the sprint race
[MIA] Hadjar scores points in the sprint race
[MIA] Physical Safety Car in the sprint race
[MIA] McLaren pole position in qualifying for the main race
[MIA] Red flag during qualifying for the main race
[MIA] A Mercedes qualifies outside the top 5 (main race qualifying)
[MIA] Hadjar doesn't reach Q3 (main race qualifying)
[MIA] Verstappen on the Podium in the main race
[MIA] 5 or more DNF/DNS
[MIA] Both Ferrari finish in top 6 in the main race
[CAN] Physical Safety Car during the main race
[CAN] An Audi reaches SQ3 (Sprint Qualifying)
[CAN] Impeding penalty during sprint qualifying
[CAN] Mercedes 1-2 in the sprint race
[CAN] A Ferrari on the podium in the sprint race
[CAN] Physical Safety Car during the sprint race
[CAN] Yellow flag in the first lap of the sprint race
[CAN] Sainz scores points in the sprint race (top 8)
[CAN] Impeding penalty during qualifying for the main race
[CAN] Red flag during qualifying for the main race
[CAN] An Audi reaches Q3 (Main Race Qualifying)
[CAN] A Williams reaches Q3 (Main Race Qualifying)
[CAN] Yellow flag first lap of the main race
[CAN] Mercedes 1-2 in the main race
[CAN] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton in the main race
[CAN] Linblad scores points in the main race
[CAN] An Audi finishes in top 10 in the main race
[CAN] Oscar Piastri Finishes on Podium in the Main Race
[CAN] English broadcoast shows Colapinto's onboard camera view in the main race
[CAN] 7 or more DNS/DNF in the main race
[CAN] Piastri scores points in the main race
[MON] 5 or more on-track overtakes
[MON] Impeding penalty during qualifying
[MON] Wet or intermediate tyres used during the race
[MON] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton (race)
[BAR] Physical Safety Car during the race
[BAR] Yellow flag in the first lap of the race
[BAR] Mercedes driver wins
[BAR] Both McLaren qualify in top 4
[BAR] Antonelli pole position in qualifying
[BAR] Hulkenberg scores points (top 10)
[BAR] Antonelli and Russel collide during the race
[BAR] Both Mercedes drivers on podium
[AUT] Wet or intermediate tyres used during qual or race
[AUT] Red flag during qualifying
[AUT] Physical safety car during the race
[AUT] Impeding penalty during qualifying
[AUT] Mercedes 1-2 in qualifying
[AUT] Pole position margin is less than 50 milliseconds
[AUT] An Audi reaches Q3
[AUT] Both Ferraris on the podium (race)
[AUT] Antonelli finishes ahead of Russel (race)
[AUT] Gasly finishes on top 10 (race)
[AUT] At least 2 drivers that finish in the top 5 did 3 or more pit stops during the race
[AUT] An Audi finishes in top 10 (race)
[AUT] 5 or more DNF/DNS
[AUT] Russel and Antonelli collide during the race
[AUT] Yellow flag first lap
[GBR] All three tire compounds used on starting grid (main race)
[GBR] All 22 cars classified in the race
[GBR] Wet or Intermediate tyres used in any of quals or races (sprint and main)
[GBR] The same driver wins both races
[GBR] Red flag during the main race
[GBR] Same pole sitter in both the sprint qualifying and the main qualifying
[GBR] Pole position margin for the main qualifying is less than 50 milliseconds
[GBR] Hamilton wins the sprint race
[GBR] Both Ferraris on the podium of the sprint race
[GBR] Hadjar finishes in top 8 in the sprint race
[GBR] Physical or Virtual Safety Car in the sprint race
[GBR] Russel qualfies 5th or lower in the main qualifying
[GBR] An Audi reaches Q3 (main qualifying)
[GBR] 4 or more DNF/DNS (main race)
[GBR] Antonelli and Russel collide during the main race
[SPA] Mercedes 1-2 in qualifying
[SPA] Wet or intermediate tyres used during qualifying or race
[SPA] 5 or more DNF/DNS
[SPA] Mercedes 1-2 in the race
[SPA] Norris finishes the race in top 6
[SPA] Antonelli and Russel collide during the race
[HUN] Physical Safety Car during the race
[HUN] Yellow flag first lap
[HUN] Red Flag during qualifying
[HUN] 4 or more DNF/DNS
[HUN] Ferrari pole position
[HUN] Both Racing Bulls reach Q3
[HUN] Video drone hits the sign over the track around turns 8-10
[HUN] A Ferrari on the podium
[HUN] Antonelli and Russel collide during the race
[HUN] McLaren 1-2 in the race
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
10
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Kimi Antonelli
Lewis Hamilton
George Russell
Max Verstappen
Other
Charles Leclerc
Lando Norris
Sergio Perez
Carlos Sainz
Alex Albon
Fernando Alonso
No trophy awarded in 2026
Yuki Tsunoda
Oscar Piastri
74
10
6
4
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
A team principle gets replaced during the season
Hamilton gets a podium finish
Lewis Hamilton wins a feature race
race cancelled or moved due to military operations
WDC winner wins their first title
Kim Kardashian shown on F1TV in Ferrari garage during main race or qualifying broadcast
A driver misses a race due to health reasons
Esteban Ocon replaced before season end
Hadjar scores at least half as many points as Verstappen
A technical directive changes regulations to stop a dominant team or forces to change something important in the cars (e.g., flexible wings in 2025, Ferrari in 2022 with TD39)
Abu Dhabi and Qatar races cancelled
No pit crew injuries during any race.
Hannah Schmitz departure from RBR announced
Ferrari finishes 2nd in the WCC
WDC 1 & 2 from same team
Eight GP without a full safety car deployment.
A driver gets permanently replaced during the season
Lewis Hamilton gets a podium
A rear-end accident because of super-clipping
Bottas scores more points than Perez
WDC winner wins it by 10 points or less
WCC is won with 5 or more races to go
A RB or RBR driver is swapped out permanently
A driver at Red Bull Racing gets replaced during the season
Neither Cadillac nor Audi finish WCC at the bottom
A driver gets a race ban due to penalty points
WDC is won with 5 or more races to go
Christian Horner starts a team principle position
Mohammed Ben Sulayem steps down as head of FIA
Lando Norris finishes WDC in the top 3
Lance Stroll announces retirement
The top three drivers in the WDC will be from three different teams
Reduced points awarded at Grand Prix (25% to 75% race completed)
Lewis Hamilton announces retirement
Bahrain and Jeddah races take place later in the season
Max Verstappen wins the WDC
Aston Martin wins WCC
Fernando Alonso wins a race (feature or sprint)
Williams misses the first public test on Feb 11-13
100
100
100
100
85
79
69
69
68
68
67
55
55
54
53
52
51
50
45
41
41
37
36
30
28
26
22
22
19
18
18
10
10
8
7
3
2
2
0
OptionProbability
Kimi Antonelli
George Russell
Lando Norris
Charles Leclerc
Lewis Hamilton
Max Verstappen
Oscar Piastri
Isaak Hadjar
Pierre Gasly
Alex Albon
Gabriel bortoleto
Arvid Lindblad
Oliver Bearman
Esteban ocon
Nico Hulkenberg
Liam lawson
Carlos Sainz
Franco colapinto
Lance Stroll
Fernando Alonso
Sergio perez
Valtteri Bottas
100
100
99
99
99
81
57
18
8
8
8
8
7
7
7
6
5
5
4
3
2
2
OptionProbability
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Antonelli?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Leclerc?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside'?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Hamilton OUT FINISH Vallteri Bottas?
2026/05/24 (Canada) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/05/24 (Canada) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
2026/05/24 (Canada) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Ocon
2026/06/07 (Monaco) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/06/07 (Monaco) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Russell?
2026/06/07 (Monaco) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Leclerc?
2026/06/07 (Monaco) - Will Ocon OUT FINISH Perez?
2026/06/14 (Barcelona) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/06/14 (Barcelona) - Will Albon OUT FINISH Alonso?
2026/06/14 (Barcelona) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Bearman?
2026/06/14 (Barcelona) - Will Bortoletto OUT FINISH Bottas?
2026/06/14 (Barcelona) - Will Hamilton OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/06/14 (Barcelona) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Ocon?
2026/06/14 (Barcelona) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Sainz?
2026/06/14 (Barcelona) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Leclerc?
2026/06/14 (Barcelona) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/06/14 (Barcelona) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/06/14 (Barcelona) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Leclerc?
2026/06/28 (Red Bull Ring) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/06/28 (Red Bull Ring) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/06/28 (Red Bull Ring) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Leclerc?
2026/07/19 (Belgium) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/07/26 (Hungary) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/07/19 (Belgium) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
2026/07/19 (Belgium) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/07/26 (Hungary) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/07/26 (Hungary) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Leclerc?
2026/07/26 (Hungary) - Will Leclerc OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/07/26 (Hungary) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/08/23 (Netherlands) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/08/23 (Netherlands) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/12/06 (Abu Dhabi) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/08/23 (Netherlands) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Verstappen?
2026/09/06 (Italy) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/09/13 (Spain) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/09/26 (Azerbaijan) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/10/11 (Singapore) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/10/25 (USA) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/11/01 (Mexico) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/11/08 (Brazil) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/11/21 (Las Vegas) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/11/29 (Qatar) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/12/06 (Abu Dhabi) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/09/06 (Italy) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Verstappen?
2026/10/11 (Singapore) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Verstappen?
2026/09/06 (Italy) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/09/13 (Spain) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/09/26 (Azerbaijan) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/10/11 (Singapore) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/10/25 (USA) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/11/01 (Mexico) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/11/08 (Brazil) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/11/21 (Las Vegas) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/11/29 (Qatar) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/12/06 (Abu Dhabi) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/08/23 (Netherlands) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Hamilton OUT FINISH Leclerc?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Piastri OUT FINISH Leclerc?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Leclerc?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Piastri OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will 'Row 2 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 2 Outside'?
2026/05/24 (Canada) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/05/24 (Canada) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Antonelli?
2026/05/24 (Canada) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Antonelli?
2026/05/24 (Canada) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Antonelli?
2026/05/24 (Canada) - Will Piastri OUT FINISH Antonelli?
2026/06/07 (Monaco) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/06/07 (Monaco) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Russell?
2026/06/07 (Monaco) - Will Stroll OUT FINISH Alonso?
2026/06/07 (Monaco) - Will Bottas OUT FINISH Bearman?
2026/06/14 (Barcelona) - Will Colapinto OUT FINISH Gasly?
2026/06/14 (Barcelona) - Will Hadjar OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/06/14 (Barcelona) - Will Hulkenberg OUT FINISH Lawson?
2026/06/14 (Barcelona) - Will Leclerc OUT FINISH Linbald?
2026/06/14 (Barcelona) - Will Perez OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/06/14 (Barcelona) - Will Stroll OUT FINISH Verstappen?
2026/06/14 (Barcelona) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/07/05 (Great Britain) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/07/19 (Belgium) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Leclerc?
2026/07/26 (Hungary) - Will Hamilton OUT FINISH Antonelli?
2026/07/26 (Hungary) - Will Hamilton OUT FINISH Leclerc?
2026/07/26 (Hungary) - Will Leclerc OUT FINISH Norris
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
75
71
63
53
52
52
52
52
52
52
52
52
52
52
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
49
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Under 65 yo
Under 60 yo
Straight
Has a STEM degree of any type
Has any degree in physics, math, cs, or engineering
Is an American citizen
If male, taller than 5' 9", woman 5' 4" (~us 50th percentile)
Has a Wikipedia page created in 2023 or earlier
Serious rumors of the actual name announced will appear on Twitter at least 12 hours before nomination (subjective-ish)
Under 55 yo
Speaks a foreign language
Wears glasses (ever in a recent-ish public photo)
Has been a CEO
Is married
Under 50 yo
Has children
Self described person of color
Has ethnic Asian heritage
Has a regional or foreign accent (subjective) (not standard US; midlantic counts as an accent now)
Software Engineering background
Was not an American citizen at birth
Went to a private high school
Is known to have a dog or cat, or to have had one in the past
Has a profile on google scholar (as of end 2023)
Born in the cold season (oct-mar) in northern hemisphere or reverse if southern
Citation count on google scholar is 1k+
Has a github account which is known to be theirs (even w/out contributions)
Has an active and identifiable twitter/x account at least a year at the time their name leaks as the new CEO
Vegan or vegetarian (pescatarian, etc not included)
Signatory of CAIS AI risk statement
Has an acceptance or rejection from ycombinator in his/her history
Has attended Davos
Is publicly Atheist, agnostic, or a non-believer
Grey hair (now, even partial grey like Sundar counts)
Non-native English speaker
CEO will take office after Q2 2027
Born outside of the USA, Canada, and Europe
Is an only child
Born in the USA
Has ethnic European heritage
Diversity Points Score: 1
Has visited or lived in China
Has ever been divorced
Has PhD
Has a graduate or undergrad degree from any non US university
Has a nickname and is often addressed by it (example: Larry for Lawrence)
Under 45 yo
Has written and published a book either academic or non
Bald (Norwood Hamilton IV or more) in actual appearance at announcement
Has ethnic Native people (any continent) heritage
Has spent at least a month continuously in mainland China
Has submitted and received 2+ patents
Announcement of the appoint happens on a Friday
Diversity Points Score: 0
Under 40 yo
Has Jewish heritage
Neither parent attended college
Was a college-level athlete
Has any public mention of playing pickleball
Has at least 3 children
Is publicly Christian
Diversity Points Score: 2
Diversity Points Score: 5 or more
Blue eyes
Has a Wikipedia page created in 2015 or earlier
Diversity Points Score: 3
Diversity Points Score: 4
If man, taller than 6'1", if woman taller than 5'10" (us ~95th percentile)
Tattoo
Has served in us govt
Has passed a bar exam
Female
Born in the northeast
Announcement of the appoint happens on a Monday
Raised in a single parent family
Left-handed
Tattoo visible during inauguration speech
Grew up in poverty
Catholic
Physics Background
Green eyes
Is Hispanic
Both parents had PhDs
LGBT*+
Has military experience
Has worked or attended school in Israel
Is Muslim
Unnatural hair colour
Has ethnic African heritage
Has the same family name as a previous google/alphabet CEO
Has a physical disability
Has been to space
Has an ADOS background
Pronouns are not standard
Has a speech impediment
Trans
Is an AI
Has a Manifold account
97
90
89
85
84
84
83
82
69
68
67
65
65
62
62
61
58
57
56
55
53
52
52
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
49
46
46
46
45
45
44
44
43
43
40
40
38
37
37
37
36
35
35
33
32
32
31
30
29
29
29
29
29
28
28
28
28
28
27
27
27
27
25
24
23
22
22
22
22
19
19
18
18
17
17
17
17
16
15
15
13
13
11
10
9
8
7
3
3
2
2
2
OptionProbability
Kimi Antonelli
Lewis Hamilton
George Russell
Max Verstappen
Charles Leclerc
Lando Norris
Oscar Piastri
Fernando Alonso
Carlos Sainz
Gabriel Bortoleto
Pierre Gasly
Franco Colapinto
Yuki Tsunoda
Isack Hadjar
Nico Hulkenberg
Sergio Pรฉrez
Valtteri Bottas
Arvid Lindblad
Other
75
11
5
4
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionVotes
YES
NO
1720
750
OptionVotes
YES
NO
1279
782
OptionProbability
Kimi Antonelli ๐ฎ๐น๐๐ค
Lewis Hamilton ๐ฌ๐ง๐๏ธ๐จ
Georges Russel ๐ฌ๐ง๐๐
Charles Leclerc ๐ซ๐ท๐ฅ๐ท
Lando Norris ๐ฌ๐ง๐ฆ๐ซ
Oscar Piastri ๐ฆ๐บ๐ฆ๐ฆ
Max Verstappen ๐ณ๐ฑ๐ฃโโ๏ธ๐
Isack Hadjar ๐ซ๐ท๐ฃโโ๏ธ๐ณ๏ธ
Other
33
17
11
8
8
8
5
5
5
OptionProbability
Incheon, South Korea
Osaka, Japan
Seoul, South Korea
Elmont, New York
Vancouver, British Columbia
Inglewood, California
Arlington, Texas
Montreal, Quebec
Toronto, Ontario
Amsterdam, Netherlands
Mexico City, Mexico
Charlotte, North Carolina
Berlin, Germany
Kaohsiung, Taiwan
Hamilton, Ontario
66
66
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
46
34
OptionVotes
NO
YES
1000
1000
