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Prediction markets for Hat

Will Bonney join the Straw Hats after Egghead

Dec 31, 9:19 AMApr 3, 11:17 PM

11.53%chance

28473718

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3708

763

Will a member of the Straw Hat crew die before they find the One Piece?

Feb 16, 11:44 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

38.93%chance

22423017

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1017

973

Melania’s hat will become a trend

Jan 20, 7:02 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

13.49%chance

228454

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2533

395

Will any other straw hat ever get conquerers haki?

Apr 27, 7:45 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

95.61%chance

768054

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4741

232

Will a non Devil fruit user on the Straw Hats eat a Devil Fruit?

Jul 18, 11:33 PMJan 2, 3:59 AM

30.54%chance

555361

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1375

749

Will there be another new member of the Straw Hat Pirates before the end of One Piece?

Mar 15, 8:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

88.68%chance

372915

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3330

1672

Will Fujitora join the Straw Hats?

Apr 22, 9:36 PMJan 30, 4:59 AM

11.78%chance

382795

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1758

814

Will Kizaru help the Straw Hats during the Egghead Arc?

Nov 29, 10:38 PMDec 1, 11:59 PM

90.1%chance

151368

OptionVotes

NO

YES

325

47

Will Luffy and the Straw Hat Pirates be the first crew to find the One Piece in the current era?

Mar 19, 5:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

81.1%chance

131318

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1853

651

Is the giant straw hat in Mary Geoise related to the iron giant in Egghead?

Apr 2, 11:12 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

60.35%chance

7305

OptionVotes

NO

YES

311

219

Will the Straw Hat of Luffy/Shanks be destroyed by the end of the One Piece manga?

Jun 13, 5:14 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

39.26%chance

4250

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1244

804

Will "The Lizardman and the Black Hat Bobcat" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Jul 17, 12:51 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

118

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

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