He Would Never News

Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?

Sep 1, 3:51 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

26.43%chance

22434827083

OptionVotes

YES

19146

4533

When will Java have Value Classes/Value Types?

Jun 22, 6:51 AMJun 29, 3:59 PM

1558910

OptionProbability

December 31, 2028

December 31, 2027

Never

December 31, 2026

December 31, 2025

December 31, 2024

Will I find someone I like more than my ex by 2031?

Nov 10, 6:14 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

60.47%chance

19242620

OptionVotes

YES

10568

9573

Will AI be life-changing for muggles by the end of 2029?

Oct 10, 8:46 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

86.88%chance

11430322

OptionVotes

YES

2576

389

Starmer vs Burnham decision market - will Labour win a majority in the next general election?

Jun 20, 10:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

155892

OptionProbability

**Assuming Burnham is Labour leader**, Labour wins a majority

**Assuming Starmer is Labour leader**, Labour wins a majority

10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35%chance

325852

OptionVotes

YES

1365

735

Does China have an ASML EUV machine? (as of June 19, 2026)

Jun 19, 3:31 PMJun 19, 11:59 PM

15%chance

163326

OptionVotes

YES

7778

5347

Will I run a marathon in 2026?

Jan 2, 10:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.38%chance

152437

OptionVotes

YES

1138

881

Will I be able to pay for my kids' college fund through poker?

Mar 8, 2:14 AMMar 14, 7:59 AM

6.69%chance

11707

OptionVotes

YES

717

120

China provides Russia >100k AI chips by 2030?

Oct 30, 12:17 PMJul 1, 10:59 PM

52.33%chance

6247

OptionVotes

YES

1115

1009

Thomas Tuchel decision market - will England make it to the final of the Euros?

Jul 18, 9:53 PMJul 31, 11:59 PM

OptionProbability

**Assuming Tuchel sacked** England make it to the final of the Euros

**Assuming Tuchel NOT sacked** England make it to the final of the Euros

If Benito Mussolini had never risen to power, would you still have been born?

Oct 6, 7:59 AM

110

He Would Never News

Prediction markets for He Would Never

Prediction markets for He Would Never

Prediction markets for He Would Never

Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?

When will Java have Value Classes/Value Types?

Will I find someone I like more than my ex by 2031?

Will AI be life-changing for muggles by the end of 2029?

Starmer vs Burnham decision market - will Labour win a majority in the next general election?

10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]

Does China have an ASML EUV machine? (as of June 19, 2026)

Will I run a marathon in 2026?

Will I be able to pay for my kids' college fund through poker?

China provides Russia >100k AI chips by 2030?

Thomas Tuchel decision market - will England make it to the final of the Euros?

If Benito Mussolini had never risen to power, would you still have been born?

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