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Prediction markets for Helios

Will Helion Energy deliver 50 MW of fusion-generated electricity to Microsoft before 2029?

May 10, 8:52 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

17.66%chance

414675

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3003

1084

Will Helion provide nuclear fusion power to a data center before end of 2028?

Jun 21, 10:56 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

17.82%chance

193806

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2148

466

Will Helion Deliver 10 Megawatts of Fusion Power to Microsoft by 2029?

May 10, 7:44 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

14.21%chance

192616

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3076

1378

Will Helion deliver 10 MW of fusion-generated electricity to Microsoft before 2031?

May 14, 8:35 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.47%chance

151430

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1249

922

Will Helion deploy a commercial fusion reactor before 2040?

Sep 27, 8:19 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

44.68%chance

231140

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1153

734

Will another manmade probe cross the heliopause before 2075?

Sep 17, 2:51 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

88.49%chance

14501

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1232

937

Will Helion Energy deliver 50 MW of fusion-generated electricity to Microsoft by 2099?

May 14, 10:17 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

33.37%chance

11418

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1077

955

Will Helion Energy deliver 50 MW of fusion-generated electricity to Microsoft by 2039?

May 14, 10:16 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

45.01%chance

10267

OptionVotes

NO

YES

140

110

Will anyone associated with Helion be convicted of defrauding Helion investors by 2043?

May 16, 11:19 PMMay 18, 6:59 AM

15.14%chance

11234

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1139

954

Will Helion Energy deliver 50 MW of fusion-generated electricity to Microsoft by 2049?

May 14, 10:17 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

52.11%chance

10210

OptionVotes

NO

YES

152

101

When will Helios fly?

Jan 18, 5:31 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

2187

OptionProbability

2027

Never

2028

2026

2029

2030

Other

2025

24

19

17

15

12

6

5

2

Exit valuation of Helios Climate Industries (YC S23)?

Sep 14, 6:39 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

240

OptionProbability

Less than $10M or bankrupt

$10M - $100M

$100M - $1B

$1B+

60

14

14

11

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