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Prediction markets for Her

Will Kelsey Piper receive a Pulitzer Prize related to her coverage on any AI company/lab within the next 10 years?

May 23, 6:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

15.41%chance

3311183

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8133

1545

Will Taylor Swift change her name if she marries?

Sep 1, 10:03 PMDec 14, 4:59 AM

14.77%chance

595783

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2402

416

Will Kamala Harris resign in her first term?

Sep 19, 8:16 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

3.55%chance

255567

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5211

192

Will Avital Balwit be employed in 2030, after writing about her last 5 years of work?

May 20, 12:23 PMDec 25, 4:59 AM

79.74%chance

213616

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1984

504

Will the president elected in 2024 complete his or her term?

Jan 23, 6:41 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

80.35%chance

393506

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1335

864

Aella finds husband via her $100k bounty?

Apr 22, 9:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.47%chance

211473

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1476

678

Will Stacey Patton write a Substack addressing allegations that she writes her articles with AI by end of September?

Jul 12, 7:03 PMSep 30, 11:59 PM

24.73%chance

81459

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1745

573

Will Elizabeth Holmes serve at least 4 years of her prison sentence?

May 23, 11:31 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

91.08%chance

161450

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2172

794

Will my friend get pregnant (market her request)

Aug 3, 11:57 PMSep 2, 11:55 PM

35.37%chance

17766

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1352

740

Will an official mugshot of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be published before her death?

Aug 27, 4:33 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

19.54%chance

14244

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1004

897

Will Claudia Sheinbaum publicly advocate for Solar Geoengineering during her term as president of Mexico?

Oct 22, 10:49 AMDec 2, 7:59 AM

56.25%chance

6134

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1134

882

Will Aella reference Impro in her latest Substack article series on status?

Jul 3, 4:41 AMDec 31, 5:40 AM

52.18%chance

483

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1045

957

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